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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #3,861
  • Jan 7, 2015 4:11am Jan 7, 2015 4:11am
€-zone cpi is negative. prices will be under pressure due to cheap energy prices and restrictive fiscal policy.
together with the german inflation data this means €-qe i guess. good for stocks :nerd:
i´m still bullish for that reason. if there is no qe with the next ecb meeting, i will change my bias.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #3,862
  • Jan 7, 2015 4:15am Jan 7, 2015 4:15am
+55 is good enough for me to take a break till adp.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #3,863
  • Jan 7, 2015 4:27am Jan 7, 2015 4:27am
[quote=deltaone;7977926]€-zone cpi is negative. prices will be under pressure due to cheap energy prices and restrictive fiscal policy. together with the german inflation data this means €-qe i guess. good for stocks :nerd: i´m still bullish for that reason. if there is no qe with the next ecb meeting, i will change my bias.[/quot

As the chart for Brent Crude shows, the fall is an unprecedented move.......it took ~2 years to move up that amount (June 2009 to March 2011) and only 7 months to fall back.....this must have big implications for Stock Markets and when combined with the current unstable situation in Greece - aka "Grexit" - we should be in for some great volatility in the Dax
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Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #3,864
  • Jan 7, 2015 4:36am Jan 7, 2015 4:36am
Quoting deltaone
€-zone cpi is negative. prices will be under pressure due to cheap energy prices and restrictive fiscal policy. together with the german inflation data this means €-qe i guess. good for stocks :nerd: i´m still bullish for that reason. if there is no qe with the next ecb meeting, i will change my bias.
right, same view although I don't think Germany will accept QE, rather look at BUNDS as long as all time highs are scored there, almost 0-rates will push flows to equities.

BUND D1:
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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,865
  • Jan 7, 2015 5:44am Jan 7, 2015 5:44am
Quoting Islander
Quoting deltaone
€-zone cpi is negative. prices will be under pressure due to cheap energy prices and restrictive fiscal policy. together with the german inflation data this means €-qe i guess. good for stocks :nerd: i´m still bullish for that reason. if there is no qe with the next ecb meeting, i will change my bias.[/quot As the chart for Brent Crude shows, the fall is an unprecedented move.......it took ~2 years to move up that amount (June 2009 to March 2011) and only 7 months to fall back.....this must have big implications for Stock
...
Islander did you vote for a 10% rise in Dax?
Hoping for a good year, I might buy myself a rubber dinghy as a precursor to learning how to sail
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #3,866
  • Jan 7, 2015 5:53am Jan 7, 2015 5:53am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} right, same view although I don't think Germany will accept QE, rather look at BUNDS as long as all time highs are scored there, almost 0-rates will push flows to equities. BUND D1: {image}
Bear, please change your name to Bull and please post more often!
I've never understood what your charts are but I always enjoy reading what you have to say
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #3,867
  • Jan 7, 2015 6:08am Jan 7, 2015 6:08am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} Bear, please change your name to Bull and please post more often! I've never understood what your charts are but I always enjoy reading what you have to say
yes stupid name, but wont take too long to fit again
Don't post much as the trades are mostly out of usual interest like China stocks, German Bunds USDOLLAR and often holding positions.
I do scalp DAX and DOW but get nervous posting these very st trades.
Glad to explain my charts if you like, what's unclear?
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,868
  • Jan 7, 2015 6:21am Jan 7, 2015 6:21am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} yes stupid name, but wont take too long to fit again Don't post much as the trades are mostly out of usual interest like China stocks, German Bunds USDOLLAR and often holding positions. I do scalp DAX and DOW but get nervous posting these very st trades. Glad to explain my charts if you like, what's unclear?
Thanks Bear
I think it's just the fact that you post a 'Bund chart' and the thought of somebody trading government bonds on a forex forum strikes some 'fear' (or a sharp intake of breath) into the hearts of us mere mortals
I'm always trying to get a handle on the 'bigger picture'. Fundies, economics etc fascinate me and I want to get a handle on the 'flow of money'. I reckon it must be the path to 'freedom'
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #3,869
  • Jan 7, 2015 6:37am Jan 7, 2015 6:37am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} Thanks Bear I think it's just the fact that you post a 'Bund chart' and the thought of somebody trading government bonds on a forex forum strikes some 'fear' (or a sharp intake of breath) into the hearts of us mere mortals I'm always trying to get a handle on the 'bigger picture'. Fundies, economics etc fascinate me and I want to get a handle on the 'flow of money'. I reckon it must be the path to 'freedom'
they are all assets it doesn't matter, interrelations like interest rates vs equity prices are important imo to get an overall view of direction.
For equities I like to correlate with interest rates and Oil prices atm.
Although when scalping fundies mean nothing, even then I can't miss them for getting a sense of the larger trend.
sisse here on FF is an absolute master on fundies (think you follow him) but sadly his views are sparse.
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #3,870
  • Jan 7, 2015 7:13am Jan 7, 2015 7:13am
daily high @9594,8. 9600 and r1 only a few ticks ahead. when adp drives dax to new highs, i will go long:

http://tc.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #3,871
  • Jan 7, 2015 7:21am Jan 7, 2015 7:21am
Quoting deltaone
daily high @9594,8. 9600 and r1 only a few ticks ahead. when adp drives dax to new highs, i will go long: {image}
ein satz mit x: das war wohl nix. no new highs, no trade for me. taking a break till dow trading session..
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #3,872
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:13am Jan 7, 2015 9:13am
.
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  • #3,873
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:17am Jan 7, 2015 9:17am
Quoting jmss59
. {image}
closed +20
  • #3,874
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:31am Jan 7, 2015 9:31am
.
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  • #3,875
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:32am Jan 7, 2015 9:32am
Quoting jmss59
. {image}
+20
  • #3,876
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:34am Jan 7, 2015 9:34am
long @17491,7 sl -20 tp +60

sl = be now.

sl hit. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #3,877
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:40am Jan 7, 2015 9:40am
down sell
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  • #3,878
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:42am Jan 7, 2015 9:42am
Quoting jmss59
down sell {image}
closed +15
  • #3,879
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:49am Jan 7, 2015 9:49am
down buy
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  • #3,880
  • Jan 7, 2015 9:51am Jan 7, 2015 9:51am
ok, a chart:

http://tc.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file

sl = be now.

sl hit. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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