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  • #947,101
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:28am Dec 31, 2014 10:28am
Well guys in Long term i am short, but i don't believe that it will drop to 1.19 or 18 without any retrace from 1.2595. almost 600 pips and u believe it will go further down without any retrace? i will expect next week somewhere around 1.2280 / 12360 min. that's my opinion.
  • #947,102
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:30am Dec 31, 2014 10:30am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yeh i remember checking Barclays N1 trader that was aparently trading fundamentals mostly on GBP. He was actually trading news, long (ahead, after, in middle), so when GBP had run of few months bull news his account was doing good, then news suddenlty started go bear, and his account aswel went on bear side. He keept trading bull, becouse he was along those traders who believed in UK miracle as from fundamental perspective that things are changing bullishily big time in UK. Just saying, trading news is not trading fundamentals.
gbpxxx looks delightfull even now. if he traded that on the fundy...he aint touching cable solely.
other pairs are still green if he played it like you said
perhaps..just saying
  • #947,103
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:31am Dec 31, 2014 10:31am
Quoting RomanBubenik
Well guys in Long term i am short, but i don't believe that it will drop to 1.19 or 18 without any retrace from 1.2595. almost 600 pips and u believe it will go further down without any retrace? i will expect next week somewhere around 1.2280 / 12360 min. that's my opinion.
imo you shouldn't think like that, in FX anything is possible!! You better off plotting some key levels on your chart and see if they break or not, for eg: if 1.2059 doesn't hold, trip to 1.1894 is very possible.
Only my 20 cents.
Cheers.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #947,104
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:33am Dec 31, 2014 10:33am
put [email protected] with a new hope of new year eve ...
  • #947,105
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:33am Dec 31, 2014 10:33am
Quoting RomanBubenik
Well guys in Long term i am short, but i don't believe that it will drop to 1.19 or 18 without any retrace from 1.2595. almost 600 pips and u believe it will go further down without any retrace? i will expect next week somewhere around 1.2280 / 12360 min. that's my opinion.
Thats the way to loose money when you think short euro and trade long
  • #947,106
  • Edited 11:03am Dec 31, 2014 10:39am | Edited 11:03am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} Sure, today is last day of the year and tomorow the 1st day of 2015...31th to 1st... so ofc the market is only parking at the Daily PP 2154...its scalp trading land... {image}
We fail again at the 2144...they are on the way to make it go S3 2091...everyone know the previous S 2183 is R...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: We fall back....jpg Size: 190 KB
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #947,107
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:42am Dec 31, 2014 10:42am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} whats funnier... some banks released news about how they have small positions to dump the USD on fixing flows... funny shit is USD gets bought despite banks selling....
they should better give me that money !!! its disgusting to LONG EUR/USD...
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #947,108
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:45am Dec 31, 2014 10:45am
Quoting RomanBubenik
Well guys in Long term i am short, but i don't believe that it will drop to 1.19 or 18 without any retrace from 1.2595. almost 600 pips and u believe it will go further down without any retrace? i will expect next week somewhere around 1.2280 / 12360 min. that's my opinion.
When it will retrace I will take it like my chance ..... but now i am waiting waiting... i will no long EUR/USD even for few pips
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #947,109
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:49am Dec 31, 2014 10:49am
I am LONG USD/JPY 119.48 from yesterday thing nice place to buy
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #947,110
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:53am Dec 31, 2014 10:53am
Also happy new year for all traders here... wish many green pips in new year. Special wishes for Rizmeister and fxtyrant funny boys i am enjoying read your comments
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #947,111
  • Dec 31, 2014 10:54am Dec 31, 2014 10:54am
Quoting RomanBubenik
Well guys in Long term i am short, but i don't believe that it will drop to 1.19 or 18 without any retrace from 1.2595. almost 600 pips and u believe it will go further down without any retrace? i will expect next week somewhere around 1.2280 / 12360 min. that's my opinion.

I'm desperately hoping for e reversal, too. I was well in the trend and unfortunately got out right before the big selloff before cristmas. To me this chart looks totally oversold at the moment, even if the direction is right from a fundamental view, but I think ist exaggerated. It's not even 100% sure if Draghi can push through QE. If he can't, the rebound will be huge. I can tell you, the Germans will give him a hard time.
There is no Broker SL hunting, if your broker is non-dealing-desk.
  • #947,112
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:00am Dec 31, 2014 11:00am
Quoting AgatheBauer
{quote} I'm desperately hoping for e reversal, too. I was well in the trend and unfortunately got out right before the big selloff before cristmas. To me this chart looks totally oversold at the moment, even if the direction is right from a fundamental view, but I think ist exaggerated. It's not even 100% sure if Draghi can push through QE. If he can't, the rebound will be huge. I can tell you, the Germans will give him a hard time.
how so?
  • #947,113
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:07am Dec 31, 2014 11:07am
Quoting Nfp
my account blow up ...and i get fire!
Better luck next time, hope you learned your lesson not to go against the trend.
Market can stay oversold/overbought longer than you can stay sane
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #947,114
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:12am Dec 31, 2014 11:12am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} how so?
We have EZB Board members, and some civil pledges. I would not bet that he will be stopped, but QE is not completely through yet.

I just had a new theory: It's probably only a matter of time, until the last major resistance line will be broken. Banks must postion themselves now, because there will be almost no demand behind that resistance they can sell high volumes into. If i'm right, price will fall faster than a stone behind that level.
There is no Broker SL hunting, if your broker is non-dealing-desk.
  • #947,115
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:27am Dec 31, 2014 11:27am
Quoting AgatheBauer
{quote} We have EZB Board members, and some civil pledges. I would not bet that he will be stopped, but QE is not completely through yet. I just had a new theory: It's probably only a matter of time, until the last major resistance line will be broken. Banks must postion themselves now, because there will be almost no demand behind that resistance they can sell high volumes into. If i'm right, price will fall faster than a stone behind that level.
That's an easy one for Merkel and Schaeuble to sell: "Either, you accept QE, or you will suffer from the ESM... there's no alternative!".
  • #947,116
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:32am Dec 31, 2014 11:32am
QUESTION: If the U.S. increases interest rates will the eurusd go up? And if the stock market starts to "Crash" will that affect the direction of the eurusd? thank you.
  • #947,117
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:32am Dec 31, 2014 11:32am
ah well. it dragged me back in lets hope 2100 holds for a few

Quoting pipper
would be careful of shorting further as no lower wick on 8hr close.. could be wrong.. out of here {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.JPG Size: 12 KB
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #947,118
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:42am Dec 31, 2014 11:42am
Quoting PapaFern
QUESTION: If the U.S. increases interest rates will the eurusd go up? And if the stock market starts to "Crash" will that affect the direction of the eurusd? thank you.


The USD /EUR will rise
  • #947,119
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:45am Dec 31, 2014 11:45am
Quoting PapaFern
QUESTION: If the U.S. increases interest rates will the eurusd go up? And if the stock market starts to "Crash" will that affect the direction of the eurusd? thank you.
No, US intrest rate hike will strengthen USD, therefore EURUSD will go down in that case. Selling EURUSD seems like a nobrainer these days, however it's probably safer to wait for a last reversal. I thought about the stock market crash too. The last big crash in the DOW betwen 2007 and 2009 made EURUSD rise. I guess because we had a bigger demand for cash.

@Mr Hatch:

There is one last option: Splitting the EUR in two zones. Merkel is a bitch of power. She ditched Nuclear energy over night after Fukushima, and now she sees her voters go to a new political party that demands just that, splitting the EUR. I still bet that QE will come, but i'm not 100% sure.
There is no Broker SL hunting, if your broker is non-dealing-desk.
  • #947,120
  • Dec 31, 2014 11:50am Dec 31, 2014 11:50am
Quoting fxtyrant
happy new year folks, decided to give you all a gift. heres a demo account i created specifically to share with you guys, the trades there mirrors the trades i placed on my live account. http://www.myfxbook.com/members/fxty...andard/1104904 Please feel free to keep track. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year.
Thanks, I hope to learn some new trading tricks from you. Happy New Year.
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