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Trend Trading System

  • #541
  • Dec 21, 2014 4:55am Dec 21, 2014 4:55am
Quoting fartist
{quote} Hi Gonzalon, Sorry i missed out your question. I'm not too sure what you mean by my annual yield. But if you're referring to my annual returns then i can't give you an accurate picture as i'm trading this approach for the last couple years. But for this year alone, i'm up about 60R as of now. I use the R measure as it's a more objective measure. With regards to swaps between different currencies, i don't really pay attention to it. Because the capital gains usually more than offset the negative swaps. fartist
Thanks for your explanation Rayner, really usefull as always! Looking forward to your next markete analysis!
  • #542
  • Dec 21, 2014 5:41am Dec 21, 2014 5:41am
Quoting fartist
{quote} Hi Gonzalon, Sorry i missed out your question. I'm not too sure what you mean by my annual yield. But if you're referring to my annual returns then i can't give you an accurate picture as i'm trading this approach for the last couple years. But for this year alone, i'm up about 60R as of now. I use the R measure as it's a more objective measure. With regards to swaps between different currencies, i don't really pay attention to it. Because the capital gains usually more than offset the negative swaps. fartist

Hello fart.I just found this amazing thread and i also using trend following system.How much % of R that u use on single trade?
Gold Expedition Return This Year: -15.9%
  • #543
  • Dec 21, 2014 7:16am Dec 21, 2014 7:16am
How can u trading a trend..since a trend did not show up...
  • #544
  • Edited 8:06am Dec 21, 2014 7:39am | Edited 8:06am
Quoting budak baru
{quote} Hello fart.I just found this amazing thread and i also using trend following system.How much % of R that u use on single trade?
Hi baru, (if that's how i can address you)

I typically risk no more than 1.5% a trade.

fartist
Whether you can or you can't, you are both right.
  • #545
  • Dec 21, 2014 7:39am Dec 21, 2014 7:39am
Quoting Nfp
How can u trading a trend..since a trend did not show up...
Hi Nfp,

sorry i didn't get your question.

fartist
Whether you can or you can't, you are both right.
  • #546
  • Dec 21, 2014 8:10am Dec 21, 2014 8:10am
Quoting fartist
{quote} Hi Nfp, sorry i didn't get your question. fartist

what is the trend for EU right now?
  • #547
  • Dec 21, 2014 8:24am Dec 21, 2014 8:24am
Quoting Nfp
{quote} what is the trend for EU right now?
Overall still bearish, but am not looking to trade it at the moment.
Whether you can or you can't, you are both right.
  • #548
  • Dec 21, 2014 12:18pm Dec 21, 2014 12:18pm
Quoting fartist
{quote} Hi Jossstick, Correct me if I'm wrong but I'm guessing you are probably looking at a jpy pair. So if you get 1.3, it refers to 130 pips. fartist
Yep, you were right!
Thanks, it helped a lot
  • #549
  • Dec 21, 2014 1:25pm Dec 21, 2014 1:25pm
Quoting ericnyamu
Change this trend trading system into an EA and it will be a best seller
The TURTLES didn't need any EA

But if you are interested, please read these 2 threads, nothing new under the sun

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=425041

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=430840
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #550
  • Dec 21, 2014 1:34pm Dec 21, 2014 1:34pm
Quoting Nowaishy
Hello everyone, Actually trend trading and positioning is the best so far with me, but I have a question and need help plz, how exactly to know that trend is about to reverse or retracement is about taking place Thanks Nowishy
Have a Merry Christmas

Attached Image
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #551
  • Dec 21, 2014 3:57pm Dec 21, 2014 3:57pm
seems when he asked that the trend was just starting. trend is still going now 4 months later across the majors. the market has answered favourably.....this time.....muhahahahaaaaaa
  • #552
  • Dec 21, 2014 4:26pm Dec 21, 2014 4:26pm
Quoting grrbear
seems when he asked that the trend was just starting. trend is still going now 4 months later across the majors. the market has answered favourably.....this time.....muhahahahaaaaaa
Which trend was starting as there was none mentioned in his post, or any reference to any starting to trend; I don't understand your post.
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #553
  • Dec 21, 2014 5:22pm Dec 21, 2014 5:22pm
Trend following isn't throwing couple of moving averages and finding an entry. It is more than that!

It is knowing what markets you are trading.

It is knowing how much you will risk each trade.

It is knowing when you will exit when you're WRONG.

It is knowing when you will exit when you're RIGHT.

It is mastering your emotions when you see trades go 1 to 5 risk reward only to stopped you out for a loss.

It is not taking profits prematurely but letting it run.

If you ask me, trend following is a mindset.

To be a consistently profitable trader you need not just 1 or 2 ingredients, but all of it.

Rome isn't built in a day, it takes time and hard work.

But if you're determined enough and follow through these principles, you will make it.

fartist
Whether you can or you can't, you are both right.
  • #554
  • Dec 21, 2014 5:56pm Dec 21, 2014 5:56pm
Quoting Erebus
{quote} Which trend was starting as there was none mentioned in his post, or any reference to any starting to trend; I don't understand your post.
i was new to trend trading last summer. so i guess i just thought since the reversal in the majors that happened around that time is still going on until today, that others also had 'easy pickings' like i experienced (albeit on demo)

back in august i began selling eu/gu/au on one combined basket chart and buying uf/uc/uj also on a combined basket chart. looking at the monthly and weekly of these basket charts it happened to be a good time to be trend trading the majors. although, now i am also waiting for the inevitable reversal and a change in bias which for me has not changed since the summer

so i happened to start trend trading at just the right time and am waiting for the challenges of trend reversal/uncertainty. but enough money could have been made by scaling in that it would be no problem to sit out for how ever many months it takes until there becomes another obvious move like happened this past summer. i think i am the type to just focus on a few pairs and pounce when the time is right. still learning though(!)

here are the charts of the two baskets. top charts are eu/gu/au, bottom charts are uf/uc/uj. any tips or criticism is welcome
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  • #555
  • Edited 7:20pm Dec 21, 2014 6:45pm | Edited 7:20pm
will also add that i watch the monthly/weekly/etc of each of the individual basket pairs in combination with the basket charts. i also trade them individually intraday but for trend trading i've just been trading the two baskets. it makes things simple and i can scale in by using multiple instances of the basket ea. i place trades on the m30 and if it moves in the intended direction i move the ea up a time frame and open another ea on m30 and so on until i've scaled in on up to four time frames

i like having all aspects of each position contained on its own time frame using the basket ea. also it keeps the charts clear of the bright green and red lines since offline basket charts only have a faint white line to represent current price and no other lines when positions are opened. plus stop loss lines are contained on its own time frame along with balance and other information. it's quite elegant i hope to continue trading like this
  • #556
  • Dec 21, 2014 11:36pm Dec 21, 2014 11:36pm
Quoting fartist
You may want to check out this video on how I use ATR to set my stoploss. Hope it helps! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLpggpKE6IY fartist
I might be wrong but seems like in the video that you enter a trade, position size unknown, and then you set a Stop Loss ??

The correct way is to define the Stop Loss first and use it to calculate Position Size according to Risk

I think you may have another video on that.

Congratulations on an excellent thread, looking forward to many happy trades for 2015

Regards, John
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #557
  • Dec 22, 2014 12:35am Dec 22, 2014 12:35am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} I might be wrong but seems like in the video that you enter a trade, position size unknown, and then you set a Stop Loss ?? The correct way is to define the Stop Loss first and use it to calculate Position Size according to Risk I think you may have another video on that. Congratulations on an excellent thread, looking forward to many happy trades for 2015 Regards, John
Hi Erebus,

Thank you for your warm remarks.

Yes, i understand where you're coming from. That video was meant to illustrate how i choose my stoploss level.

After i know how many pips is my stoploss based on the ATR, then i go about managing my position size.

fartist
Whether you can or you can't, you are both right.
  • #558
  • Dec 22, 2014 7:33am Dec 22, 2014 7:33am
Quoting fartist
Trend following isn't throwing couple of moving averages and finding an entry. It is more than that! It is knowing what markets you are trading. It is knowing how much you will risk each trade. It is knowing when you will exit when you're WRONG. It is knowing when you will exit when you're RIGHT. It is mastering your emotions when you see trades go 1 to 5 risk reward only to stopped you out for a loss. It is not taking profits prematurely but letting it run. If you ask me, trend following is a mindset. To be a consistently profitable trader you...
Absolutely!! If the mindset isn't there, a person can have the greatest strategy known to man and still mess it up. In trading, the biggest enemy you have is yourself.
  • #559
  • Edited 9:43am Dec 22, 2014 9:22am | Edited 9:43am
Hi Fartist,

Thanks for wonderful trading system. Tonight I will read entire thread regarding this system.

Please kindly check my first few trades with your system and let me know that are these correct or not.

Thanks.
Umee

GBPUSD
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EURJPY
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CHFJPY
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EURNZD
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I Win, I Lose, It's my Job... And I Love it!
  • #560
  • Dec 22, 2014 10:34am Dec 22, 2014 10:34am
One more question I want to ask that why we are not using SMA instead of EMA? I heard about 20 SMA and 50 SMA.
I Win, I Lose, It's my Job... And I Love it!
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