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  • #944,841
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:32am Dec 18, 2014 6:32am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} problem is, its still all in the shadow of the large FOMC down bar, if that means anything to you, however, the one thing is has going for it, is that its in the bar that took 5601 out, the high of the post fomc bounce, which held for a dozen hours or so, plus that bar is wickish also...so I have mixed feelings...
I'm with you on that ...
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #944,842
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:33am Dec 18, 2014 6:33am
bought some for 2336... stops below L, lets c..

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Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #944,843
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:34am Dec 18, 2014 6:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i see that.. no retrace after b/o is my concern {image}
Well retracement yes or no, this thing will go up significantly. Probably from all CHF pairs USDCHF will move strongest becouse it will get tripple combo hit.
1.ECB QE pushing down EUR, rallying dollar - USDCHF positive
2.CHF rate cut introduced on January, further USDCHF positive
3. Currently already pricing in rate cut thus USDCHF positive

Mind that SNB will have to do something on Jan 22, which is when they plan to introduce ZERP simply becouse 50 or 100 pips on EURCHF will not be enough to protect floor of when QE comes, i think they need to push it 2200, or even 2300 to get rid of shorts and have room to breathe. And i dont expect at all for ECHF to go down to 2000 when QE is announced becouse speculative pressure of EUR shorts and billions that SNB would have to throw in market to defend floor would be too expensive.

With that said i am long ECHF at moment 2040, first target 20 pips.
  • #944,844
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:37am Dec 18, 2014 6:37am
Quoting leeon
{quote} and here we have our answer on how to get inflation -> lower interest rates and devaluate your currency. it actually works. look for example russia and japan. many reports of how the prices are getting higher(japan) or even sky rocketing (russia). the point is that because your currency is getting weaker every day this means that each of your rubble/yen will buy less tomorrow (if you look at exports which are getting more expensive). this is why people will buy today which increases demand -> increases prices... there was an article on this...
Your both examples are inacurrate and cannot be compared in this context. If this was that simple, Japan would not be increasing pace of QE, would they?
  • #944,845
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:37am Dec 18, 2014 6:37am
EA finally rolled over. In from 5198, looking to get out at 486, but concerned that EU will jump up and EA will follow
  • #944,846
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:43am Dec 18, 2014 6:43am
Quoting nonlinear
EA finally rolled over. In from 5198, looking to get out at 486, but concerned that EU will jump up and EA will follow
I got in at 1.5317, that was major level there and that is the reason I am not shorting AUD at the moment, (still have short positions but higher). What will make it move most is AUD imo. Price just broke .618 so it could keep going lower for a while, look at D1 and W1.
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  • #944,847
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:44am Dec 18, 2014 6:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} an opinion alone is detrimental to trading. 2323.5 is 1/2 way between 2606 and 2041.. atm we are below what bulls need to cross starting at 2335.. atm all this with trend, is good for bears. get a LL
Gator, I see 2041, but from where to you derive 2606, please? Thanks.
  • #944,848
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:45am Dec 18, 2014 6:45am
Uj cant pass 118.80. Maybe jpy will try another strength movement to test 115/116 or even as low as 114.4x?
  • #944,849
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:47am Dec 18, 2014 6:47am
Quoting nonlinear
EA finally rolled over. In from 5198, looking to get out at 486, but concerned that EU will jump up and EA will follow
its near some support
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,850
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:48am Dec 18, 2014 6:48am
M15 taking charge to make LL
If there is any bull it will defend it before passing 2290 gate, no matter what.
Another bounce to 2330 will displace that plan
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #944,851
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:49am Dec 18, 2014 6:49am
Quoting rehorst
{quote} Gator, I see 2041, but from where to you derive 2606, please? Thanks.
we haven't killed 43xx yet.. 2606 is the mid, 2041
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,852
  • Dec 18, 2014 6:59am Dec 18, 2014 6:59am
EU should dip forward
http://prntscr.com/5i6tmz
  • #944,853
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:00am Dec 18, 2014 7:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we haven't killed 43xx yet.. 2606 is the mid, 2041
we moved nearly 300 pips hi/lo,

do u think a LL is possible this week? if not, we shouldnt see a LL this year ?
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #944,854
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:01am Dec 18, 2014 7:01am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} I got in at 1.5317, that was major level there and that is the reason I am not shorting AUD at the moment, (still have short positions but higher). What will make it move most is AUD imo. Price just broke .618 so it could keep going lower for a while, look at D1 and W1.
Gators correct on the support area, hoping EA will bust through that (been a good week so far). But when is AU going to ever find her bottom, lol she has ben on a major diet. Many of the dollar pairs seem primed for a large retrace...
  • #944,855
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:02am Dec 18, 2014 7:02am
Quoting genghistar
{quote} Hahaha...... Congrats.....how to not make money?? up, down and sideway all making dosh....Suggest you share your holy grail or you disappear with it or the holy grail may get revoke. GS.
Yardi did explain his technique. He said he uses daily chart...careful about candles...it looks like he compares GU and EU for prediction link
  • #944,856
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:03am Dec 18, 2014 7:03am
closing some 20 %more on a LL
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,857
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:07am Dec 18, 2014 7:07am
maybe some r in cable at 5655/60 now..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #944,858
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:08am Dec 18, 2014 7:08am
Quoting PhAnTi'
{quote} we moved nearly 300 pips hi/lo, do u think a LL is possible this week? if not, we shouldnt see a LL this year ?
sure its possible, then some http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...15#post7952815
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #944,859
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:10am Dec 18, 2014 7:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} someone needs a spanken. i didnt get the memo
good god. so someone thinks they're smart enough when all the major financial media like FT. bloomberg and thomson retuers called the floor on EURCHF at 1.2 as a "Peg"
great someone who thinks they know financial glossaries better than the financial press....
hes going in my collection of idiots
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #944,860
  • Dec 18, 2014 7:12am Dec 18, 2014 7:12am
Quoting nonlinear
{quote} Gators correct on the support area, hoping EA will bust through that (been a good week so far). But when is AU going to ever find her bottom, lol she has ben on a major diet. Many of the dollar pairs seem primed for a large retrace...
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