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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #2,941
  • Dec 10, 2014 2:24pm Dec 10, 2014 2:24pm
Fingers crossed we are pushing up
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  • #2,942
  • Dec 10, 2014 2:55pm Dec 10, 2014 2:55pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} sl hit. -20
very hard for me as welll.....

kurna..sorry in Czech
  • #2,943
  • Dec 10, 2014 3:04pm Dec 10, 2014 3:04pm
Quoting capetown
{quote} very hard for me as welll..... kurna..sorry in Czech
tomorrow is a new trading day with new chances.

good night everyone - and good luck twellve if you keep that positions overnight
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,944
  • Dec 11, 2014 12:30am Dec 11, 2014 12:30am
Hello and Good Morning Folks,

Dax arrived on a major support area (Daily chart) as you can see from yesterday's chart of doggette (was too lazy to use mine atm.. sorry) but you get the idea..

Bears have free way if this breaks but I am not so optimistic as it is a first touch.. in the past lines like these are usually passed by 2nd trial..

But we will watch and go with the flow anyway.. sharpen your reflexes.. the game begins in 30 minutes

...oh and one more thing: we have 3 black crows pattern on dax daily chart.. it is a good sign that the main trend is bearish but we have to wait for confirmation: a clean break of the black support line is a must!!!

...need some coffee..

Happy Trades
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,945
  • Dec 11, 2014 1:08am Dec 11, 2014 1:08am
Fdax

New Pending Order (Buy Limit): 9750

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,946
  • Dec 11, 2014 1:10am Dec 11, 2014 1:10am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} could you explain what you mean by this?
Hi USD bear.

re: bonds.

I was just looking at it from a flight to safety standpoint. The 15th of October is still in my mind... crazy bund move. Looked sort of similar.

Anyway for those interested, here's the DAX vs the German term structure of interest rates vs the term spread (difference between long and short dated bonds) over 18 years:

First up a 3d view of Germany's term structure:

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Now the same data but in 2d with DAX and term spread over the top.

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Corripe Cervisiam!
  • #2,947
  • Dec 11, 2014 1:35am Dec 11, 2014 1:35am
Quoting paddlepip
{quote} Hi USD bear. re: bonds. I was just looking at it from a flight to safety standpoint. The 15th of October is still in my mind... crazy bund move. Looked sort of similar. Anyway for those interested, here's the DAX vs the German term structure of interest rates vs the term spread (difference between long and short dated bonds) over 18 years: First up a 3d view of Germany's term structure: {image} {image} Now the same data but in 2d with DAX and term spread over the top. {image}
Very interesting paddlepip.. thanks for sharing..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,948
  • Dec 11, 2014 1:51am Dec 11, 2014 1:51am
Morning all

Nice graphics paddlepip; certainly got me.....
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #2,949
  • Dec 11, 2014 1:58am Dec 11, 2014 1:58am
good morning,

i´m still bullish. why?

dax is above 200d-line.
dax is above daily trendline.

http://td.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file

seasonal aspects do not support trendchange now (maybe january).
fundamental reasons (cheap oil, low interest rates, draghi put) are still valid. don´t forget we will have t-ltro data today.
i will buy dax etf again if we will reach 9700.


good luck!
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,950
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:01am Dec 11, 2014 2:01am
long @9778 sl -10 tp +30 (gap-close?)
sl = be now.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,951
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:06am Dec 11, 2014 2:06am
Quoting deltaone
long @9778 sl -10 tp +30 (gap-close?) sl = be now.
Maybe its just my charts but I have gap down at 9740 - have I now got corrupted charts as well.....
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #2,952
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:07am Dec 11, 2014 2:07am
Quoting deltaone
long @9778 sl -10 tp +30 (gap-close?) sl = be now.
tp hit. +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,953
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:11am Dec 11, 2014 2:11am
Quoting deltaone
long @9778 sl -10 tp +30 (gap-close?) sl = be now.

GM - I'm with you, TP at 50% retrace of yesterday's range = 9820

Edit: TP hit +36
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,954
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:12am Dec 11, 2014 2:12am
Quoting kiwis
{quote} Maybe its just my charts but I have gap down at 9740 - have I now got corrupted charts as well.....
hi kiwis,

when i play gap-close, i look at xetra only. xetra close was 9799,73.
due to my long bias i expected a bigger technical reaction to the losses of yesterday.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,955
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:13am Dec 11, 2014 2:13am
Quoting Islander
{quote} GM - I'm with you, TP at 50% retrace of yesterday's range = 9820
good morning, islander!

where have you been - on a long trip in order to buy good coffee?
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,956
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:16am Dec 11, 2014 2:16am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} hi kiwis, when i play gap-close, i look at xetra only. xetra close was 9799,73. due to my long bias i expected a bigger technical reaction to the losses of yesterday.
Appreciated Delta - back into the books to learn more I go
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #2,957
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:21am Dec 11, 2014 2:21am
Quoting paddlepip
{quote} Hi USD bear. re: bonds. I was just looking at it from a flight to safety standpoint. The 15th of October is still in my mind... crazy bund move. Looked sort of similar. Anyway for those interested, here's the DAX vs the German term structure of interest rates vs the term spread (difference between long and short dated bonds) over 18 years: First up a 3d view of Germany's term structure: {image} {image} Now the same data but in 2d with DAX and term spread over the top. {image}
nice analysis. thanks for sharing. that flight to safety made the last bond auction a good deal for germany: interest for 2y (schatz) -0,04%, so we are getting payed for taking other peoples money - and the bid was 1,9 times higher than the ask i always think "who the hell is doing that shitty deal" when i see this.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,958
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:24am Dec 11, 2014 2:24am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} good morning, islander! where have you been - on a long trip in order to buy good coffee?
LOL - mine comes from Puerto Rico, the home of the only tropical rainforest in the USA......been having a lot of power cuts due to big storms with lashings of rain.....

As you doubtless noticed, most of yesterday's fall was driven by the sell of in the Dow / S&P, so IMO potential for a morning rally, BUT beware of the dreaded Draghi curved ball in ~2 hours via the LTRO....
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #2,959
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:34am Dec 11, 2014 2:34am
Pending order cancelled..

New Short: 9847

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,960
  • Dec 11, 2014 2:37am Dec 11, 2014 2:37am
Quoting Islander
{quote} LOL - mine comes from Puerto Rico, the home of the only tropical rainforest in the USA......been having a lot of power cuts due to big storms with lashings of rain..... As you doubtless noticed, most of yesterday's fall was driven by the sell of in the Dow / S&P, so IMO potential for a morning rally, BUT beware of the dreaded Draghi curved ball in ~2 hours via the LTRO....
i see. yes, ecb days are great trading opportunities, love it. i´m a little sad that next year ecb turns to a six week modus. every third thursday of the month i was so happy...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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