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Financial Markets Observatory Lab

  • #1
  • First Post: Nov 3, 2014 3:49am Nov 3, 2014 3:49am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Some notes/charts about the indicator ''US Gov.Bond 30y'' vs. ''Gold spot'': the graphical pyramid was completed???

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are some notes about the ratio (in two chart-formats) between the prices of '''US Gov.Bond 30y''' vs. '''Gold spot'', in order to obtain infomations about the trend type of the Gold from the top of 2011, according to preliminary data published in (#1) & (#2).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The main graphical elements are as follows (see the attached charts).
✔ The ratio-curve shows two impressive trends from 1980, with a completed pyramid-like structure: a.) 21 years, from 1980 to 2001 (Gold Sell ʕ•ᴥ•ʔ Off & price-stagnation); b.) 11 years (about 50% of previous ratio price-action), from 2011 to 2011 ( Gold Sky��Rocket ).
✔ The key elements of the stop of bullish action of ratio during the phase 1980-2001, are the followings: a.) long-term bearish ema-knot in set-up with the return-level inside the blue ascending channel (yellow circle); b.) ratio below the white ascending channel (2003); c.) ratio below the blue ascending channel (2003-2004).
✔ Two interesting graphical bullish cups are marked on the basic ema-format: -) gray cup (1986-1992) with a perfect re-test of its 50% level (see the target); -) blue cup (1993-1997; see the test of its neck-line after the target in 1998).
✔ The bear of ratio 2001-2011 is very fast & hard (see the descending thin yellow or red line), with curve inside a bold & red descending channel, and with a new low-area about in-line with the lows of 1980!!!
✔ An interesting peak structure is the large bearish cup (1999-2003), with currente ratio-curve well below the target (low of 2006 & top of 2008).
✔ A first reversal event of curve there is in 2012 (curve above thin descending line).
✔ A second reversal reversal event of curve there is in 2013 (bullish ema-knot in yellow circle).
✔ An advanced reversal attempt on long-term ema-format, and imminent reversal attempt on basal ema-format, there is with the break-test of the bold & red descending channel.
✔ Reversal events are recognizable also on MACD & TRIX curves.

Notes.
☒ The graphical pyramid of ratio-curve is completed. For a long term phenomenon about the ratio vs. equity benchmarks see reference (#3).
Bearish side shows a slope 2X fast vs. bullish side; according with this phenomenon, the previous historical run of Gold-spot was ~1970-1980, or ~11y (#4).
There is an high probability of new decreases of Gold in the next months.
Current levels of Gold are in perfect test with the published Graphical��Ɖetonator (#1): 1179-1144.
Below this level, there are the folowing price-clusters (#1): 1089-1029; 924; 893-878.5-861; 695-691.
According to ''US/Gov.Bond30y'' vs. ''Gold spot'' ratio, is it possible the start in 2011 of a new two-decades of bearish-side evolution of Gold ???
Or it is possible a big correction of Gold below the Graphical��Ɖetonator, and with the ''US/Gov.Bond30y'' vs. ''Gold spot'' ratio toward the dark-red zone (low of 2006 & top of 2008)??? In this last case (according to price study in reference #1), there is a possible test of the area 1089 (50% Fib. projection) and 924 (current triple lows target).
If the Gold-spot do not goes below the Graphical��Ɖetonator, there will be a return movement toward the zone of current triple-lows (see reference #1 for upper price-cluster).
Follows these alert levels/events:
✔ Graphical��Ɖetonator and next price-clusters !!!
✔ Switzerland‬ referendum on Gold in SNB (#5).
✔ The possible ''US/Gov.Bond30y'' vs. ''Gold spot'' ratio well above the bold & red descending channel (toward the zone 2006-low/2008-top).

References.
#1.-https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266402749_Financial_Markets_Observatory_Lab._Some_notescharts_about_the_graphical_structures_of_Gold_Au
#2.-https://www.researchgate.net/publication/267327026_Financial_Markets_Observatory_Lab._Some_notescharts_about_some_indicators_of_Gold_Miners_Index
#3.-https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260121930_Financial_Markets_Observatory_Lab._Some_notescharts_about_the_very_long-term_Au_vs._Dow_Jones_30_Index
#4.-https://www.researchgate.net/publication/260284924_Financial_Markets_Observatory_Lab._Short_update_of_Gold__Au__analysis
#5.-https://www.facebook.com/SalVi.SalvatoreVicidomini/posts/855899071108424

Chart sources.
❖ StockCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #2
  • Nov 10, 2014 6:48am Nov 10, 2014 6:48am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about some curves of evaluation of financial Gold.

Aim of the post.
☒ The evaluation of financial price of Gold is the main aim of this post, in order to obtain additional info on financial trend of Gold (#1, #2, #3).
This evaluation was carried out with the followings curves:
Kitco Gold Index curve (#4, #6) is the price of Gold measured not in terms of US$, but rather in terms of the same weighted basket of currencies that determine the US$ Index (#7).
T-note & CPI method (#5) is the spread between 10y US/TBond yield vs. CPI, used as a contrarian evaluator of Au.;
Dabchick curve (#4) is calculated by Gold price in US$ X Bank of England Effective Exchange Rate Index (or ERI) divided by a constant obtained from the previous values of Jan.1982.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The main graphical elements are as follows (see the attached charts).
✔ The Kitco curve shows a bearish price action as for Gold in US$, but more conservative in the phase of the recent triple lows. This is consistent with the overall weakness of Gold, but exacerbated by the strength of the US$ against other currencies.
✔ The T-note & CPI method exhibits a recent important reversal of curve with a critical break of the last descending line (green-circle; sell-sign on Gold in autumn 2012). Moreover the curve is inside a multiple set-up zone, very important for the next evolution of this contrarian indicator (see }).
✔ Dabchick curve also shows a bearish action more conservative vs. Gold in US$ in the phase of the recent triple lows. An important level is the gray-cup target, a little below current Dabchick low.
These charts shows that the current weakness of Gold, is exacerbated by the strength of the US$ against other currencies.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4744.5760
#2.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2521.1844
#3.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4477.9529
#4.-http://img39.imageshack.us/img39/2130/zxykesaddaphapekampa019.jpg
#5.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4849735#post4849735
#6.-http://www.kitco.com/kitco-gold-index.html
#7.-http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index

Chart sources.
❖ Kitco; St.LouisFED.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 715 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 390 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 505 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg3.jpg Size: 272 KB
  • #3
  • Nov 17, 2014 7:14am Nov 17, 2014 7:14am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Gold and inverse of US$ Index.

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are two format of the comparation between Gold and US$ Index (#4), in order to obtain additional info on financial trend of Gold (#1, #2, #3).
The US$ Index is inverted (= 1/US$).
The first chart is in linear format; the second is in natural log. format.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The Gold exhibits an interesting anticipatory behaviour in some key points of curve (6/9).

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4744.5760
#2.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2521.1844
#3.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4477.9529
#4.-http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Dollar_Index

Chart sources.
❖ St.LouisFED.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 194 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 194 KB
  • #4
  • Nov 19, 2014 7:26am Nov 19, 2014 7:26am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Gold vs. other currencies, vs. Platinum and Silver, and in CPI-adjusted format.

Aim of the post.
☒ In order to obtain additional info on financial trend of Gold or Au (#1, #2, #3), in this post there are some notes about the graphical comparation (as ratio) among Gold prices vs. currencies other than US$-Index (#4, #5; see previous post in #6).
Moreover there are also comparative charts (as ratio) vs. Platinum (Pt: previous posts #7, #8, #9), Silver (Ag: previous post #10) and Oil (WTI Light Crude & Brent).
In the final part there is also a complete curve of Gold CPI-adjusted (see previous post #11).
The comparative charts are in simple ratio, linear scale ed long-term ema-format.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The main graphical elements are as follows (see the attached charts).
For the comparation vs. currecies there are two key levels marked with dark gray zones: -) 2008-top level; -) the second key low of the recent triple lows (Dec.2013-Jan.2014 on Gold in US$). Moreover there are also some circles marking the long-term bullish/bearish ema-knots.
✔ Au vs. € shows a recent structure of triple lows (= TL) ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The ratio between two gray-zones is ~1.54X (for Au in US$ the ratio is ~1.35X); ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure, but with local loss of momentum (TL).
✔ Au vs. GBP shows a TL descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.68X; ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure.
✔ Au vs. ¥ (#12) shows a TL ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.31X; ema-knot do not exhibits a definite & completed long term bearish structure (see S.A. Rand).
✔ Au vs. Cd$ shows a TL ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.43X; ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure, but with local loss of momentum (TL).
✔ Au vs. Au$ shows a TL descending, as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.38X; ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure.
✔ Au vs. S.AfricanRand shows a TL ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.79X; ema-knot do not exhibits a definite & completed long term bearish structure.
✔ Au vs. SwFranc shows a TL ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.16X; ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure, but with local loss of momentum (TL).
✔ Au vs. SwKrone shows a TL ascending and not descending as in Au/US$. The gray-zones ratio is ~1.43X; ema-knot exhibits important bearish structure, but with local loss of momentum (TL).
The ratio of GBP and Au$ shows the same TL structure of US$. For this reason the short-term bearish of Au shows a momentum-loss currency-dependent; the long-term bearish is not confirmed for ¥ and S.A.Rand.
The comparation between Au vs. Pt & Ag shows some interesting bullish elements of ratio-curves, as follows.
✔ The bearish evolution of multiple lows of Au vs. Pt (in blue) 1986-1999, was perfectly realized at double lows of 2001-2008, according to obtained target (see violet column).
✔ The bullish evolution of double lows of Au vs. Pt (red) 2001-2008, was perfectly realized during the mega-bull of ratio in 2008/2009. Also the little gray-cup 2009-2011, was perfectly realized (see top of 2012 vs. gray-column level)
✔ Ratio curve of Au vs. Pt now is inside the upper quarter of a giant side rectangle marked with yellow bands, with ema-knot in a preliminar new strong buy signal (III event from the start of the current mega-bull) !!! Moreover, ratio curve is well above the two key descending trend lines.
Ratio curve again below the 50% of yellow side rectangle will be a strong signal of Au ‎weakness vs. Pt.
Ratio curve above the upper yellow band will be a strong signal of Au strength vs. Pt (and of Au vs. global economy ???).
Current status of Au vs. Pt is bullish, with some preliminar signals of strength increase of Gold.
✔ Au vs. Ag curve is well above the white descending channel, but in full ascending test of the gray channel (not completed reversal in bullish status of ratio).
✔ From 1994 until now, the Au vs. Ag curve shows an impressive blue (horizontal rectangle) multiple tops (1995-1996-2003-2008-2009) vs. multiple lows (1998-1999-2007), with an important (deep) break in 2011. Current ratio level is well above the 50% of this giant blue rectangle.
✔ Ema-knot is in long term bullish status from 2011.
A continuation-bull of Au vs. Ag above the 50% level of giant blue rectangle increases the probability of an important bullish leg toward the 40y tops, with a final numerical ratio target at 106.5 (+/-2%; in ema-format), a signal of great Au strength vs. Ag (and of Au vs. global economy ???).
Only a return below the 50% level is a signal of great Au ‎weakness .
The comparation between Au vs. OIL shows some interesting bullish elements of ratio-curve, as follows.
✔ Curve is above the 50% level of the bullish leg 2008-2009 of ratio;
✔ Curve is in long-term preliminar bullish ema-knot;
✔ Curve exhibits a reversal behaviour during the descending test of the key-zone 12/14 pts (in dark gray);
✔ A first main descending trend-line now is well below the curve; curve is in full-ascending test of the second main descending trend-line.
A continuation-bull of curve above the gray zone is an important signal of ‎strength of Au vs. Oil (and of Au vs. global economy ???).
The CPI-Adj. curve of Gold exhibits the following graphical elements.
✔ There are two main channels: bearish; horizontal. The bearish channel exhibits only one break (monstre lows of years 1780/1790), but the horizontal exhibits two bearish breaks (years ''20 & ''70), with an historical double lows.
✔ After the double breaks of horizontal channel, there was a first Sky🚀Rocket of Gold toward the top of 1980, a MeltDown phase with re-test of base of horizontal channel (lows of 1780/1790), and a second Sky🚀Rocket (current price-evolution from 2001).
✔ The two Sky🚀Rocket phases resulted in the formation of an ascending rectangle, now in evolution, with a wonder upper test at current top of Gold in 2011.
✔ The bearish channel was broken in years 1970, toward the hysterical top of 1980, and with the big retracement inside the bearish channel, but in the first 1/3-1/2 of its area (test on lows of 1780/1790).
✔ The bullish behaviour of CPI-adj. Gold on the giant structures (two channels and the historical double lows) caused the reversal of secular bear-trend of this curve, with the start of a new trend (see ascending channel). For this reason, and according to current level, Gold CPI-adj. is in structural bullish status.
✔ Descending tests of the upper edge of the horizontal channel, are perfectly compatible with the current mega-bull. Only a return inside the bearish channel, will break the current consolidated multi-decennial bullish structure. Equally important is the historical structure of the GOLD-old CPI-Adj (#13), from which it can see the breakdown of all the main levels, and the current attempt to achieve the highest ever.
✔ It is not the first time, in history, that Gold has taken a significant upward trend, but in past events (Century 1800) the time-factor was by far predominant on price-factor, with an ascending slope very slightly.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4744.5760
#2.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2521.1844
#3.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4477.9529
#4.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7876930#post7876930
#5.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7859306#post7859306
#6.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6451007#post6451007
#7.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6450313#post6450313
#8.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4899060#post4899060
#9.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=5717699#post5717699
#10.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4298833#post4298833
#11.-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/29011478-post301.html
#12.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6335438#post6335438
#13.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4601278#post4601278

Chart sources.
❖ StockCharts; ShareLynx.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 976 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 971 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg3.jpg Size: 538 KB
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  • #5
  • Nov 24, 2014 1:57pm Nov 24, 2014 1:57pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the performance of Social Networks & Smartphone devices as ETF (3 years).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are some charts about the performarces of ETF based on smartphones (FONE; #2) & social networks (SOCL; see: #1, #3), compared to some main US benchmarks as QQQ, OEF and ITOT.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.

References.
#1.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7076116#post7076116
#2.-http://www.ftportfolios.com/Retail/etf/etfsummary.aspx?Ticker=FONE
#3.-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/30557291-post387.html

Chart sources.
❖ BigCharts; StockCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 477 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 487 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 394 KB
  • #6
  • Dec 3, 2014 6:48am Dec 3, 2014 6:48am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs Canadian Dollar (Forex: €/Cd$).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there is the very long term chart of the ForEx cross Euro vs. Canadian Dollar (#1), with some main graphical structures.
The aim of this post and the followings on € crosses, is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#2).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached chart.

References.
#1.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6145977#post6145977
#2.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169

Chart sources.
❖ BNetDania.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg6.jpg Size: 1.3 MB
  • #7
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:32pm Dec 4, 2014 2:32pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs Australian Dollar & New Zealand Dollar (Forex: €/Au$; €/Nz$).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are the very long term charts of the ForEx crosses of Euro vs. Australian Dollar (#1) & New Zealand Dollar (#2), with some main graphical structures.
The aim of this post and the followings on € crosses, is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#3).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.

References.
#1.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6145977#post614597 7
#2.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6142156#post6142156
#3.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169

Chart sources.
❖ BNetDania.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 1.1 MB
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  • #8
  • Edited Dec 7, 2014 4:38am Dec 6, 2014 2:12pm | Edited Dec 7, 2014 4:38am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs Danish krone, Norwegian Krone, Swedish Krone (Forex: €/DKK; €/NOK; €/SEK).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are the very long term charts of the ForEx crosses of Euro vs. Danish krone, Norwegian Krone, Swedish Krona.
The aim of this post (and the previous & followings on € crosses), is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#1).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average is a combination of the following curve (green lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169

Chart sources.
❖ NetDania.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #9
  • Dec 7, 2014 4:42am Dec 7, 2014 4:42am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs UK Pound & Swiss Franc (Forex: €/GBP; €/ChF).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are the very long term charts of the ForEx crosses of Euro vs. UK Pound (#2) and Swiss Franc, with some main graphical structures.
The aim of this post (and the previous & followings on € crosses), is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#1).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average is a combination of the following curve (green lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169
#2.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6446308#post6446308
#3.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6146588#post6146588

Chart sources.
❖ NetDania.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #10
  • Dec 7, 2014 8:18am Dec 7, 2014 8:18am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs some minor currencies.

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are the very long term charts of the ForEx crosses of Euro vs. some minor currencies.
The aim of this post (and the previous & followings on € crosses), is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#1).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169

Chart sources.
❖ XEcom.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #11
  • Dec 7, 2014 12:23pm Dec 7, 2014 12:23pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about Euro vs Japanese Yen (Forex: €/¥).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there is the very long term chart of the ForEx cross of Euro vs. Japanese Yen (#2), with some main graphical structures.
The aim of this post (and the previous & followings on € crosses), is to update a previous work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanization of € (#1).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See the attached charts.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average is a combination of the following curve (green lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169
#2.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6414431#post6414431

Chart sources.
❖ NetDania.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #12
  • Edited 12:26pm Dec 11, 2014 7:14am | Edited 12:26pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about a work-hypothesis of monetary-Japanisation of Euro currency (Forex: €/US$).

Aim of the post.
☒ This post is the up-date of a previous study (#1; first edition in #2) on a work-hypothesis (realized in Dec.2012 about) of monetary-Japanisation of €: an evolution of € as ¥ in the past two decades (from 1990). This speculative work-hypothesis is based on a hypothetical ''passing of the torch'', from Japanese Yen to Euro, as a strong currency in the world. This phenomenon would accompany-anticipate a Japan-like socio-economic transformation of the Eurozone from the 2009/2011.
The cross of this post is €/US$, in linear & monthly candles format.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average, is a combination of the following curve (green lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.
Moreover there is also a net CoT chart of the €-Index (= € future), in order to complete the data.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ If this model is correct, then we should observe some monetary phenomena in the future:
✔ €/¥ in up-trend; curve is in long-term and advanced (?confirmed?) revesal-attempt !!! (#3).
✔ €/GBP in up-trend (#4).
✔ €/US$ in up-trend (see notes below & attached chart).
✔ GBP/US$ in down-trend; long-term confirmed (#6).
✔ US$/¥ in up-trend; curve is in long-term & advanced reversal-attempt (#8).
✔ Stop of the bear-trend in €/SwF; in 2012, the Swiss central bank has effectively attempted to freeze the cross !!! (#4).
✔ €-Index in up-trend (see the attached charts, and also #5).
✔ ¥-Index in down-trend; confirmed in 2014.
✔ US$-Index in side(?up?)-trend.

The main graphical structures of €/US$, are as follows (data of November close 2014).
✔ Main bottoms & tops distribution, are ascending (structural bullish status).
✔ Giant red cup 1979-1992 (bottom year: 1985; mid-level: ~1.04; area: 0.83 pts; upTarget 2.29 +/- 2.5%). This graphical structure is in confirmed bullish-status.
✔ Giant gray cup 1995-2004 (bottom year: 2000; mid-level: ~1.10; area: 0.545 pts; upTarget 1.925 +/- 2.5%). This graphical structure is in confirmed bullish-status.
✔ Price curve is well above the 50% levels of red & gray cups (see the interesting set-up zone marked with white ''}'').
✔ Orange square (recent bearish-side evolution) 2008-now (bottom year: 2010; mid-level: 1.39/1.40; area: 0.423 pts; upTarget 2.033 & downTarget 0.767 +/- 2.5%). This structure exhibits an interesting bearish-side evolution, with decreasing tops and in-line 4-lows; current prices are in test n.4 of its base (bearish break-attempts).
✔ M/10 is well above the current price level (bearish mid-term status).
✔ The net CoT chart of €-Index shows a bearish spread, Commercials (or Hedgers) vs. Financials (or Large Traders or Trend Followers) about in-line/a little below, to the previous top of this spread. A new widening of spread Commercials-Financials, will impact strongly bearish on €-Index. But a continuation-loss of momentum at top of this spread, with a close of the spread toward zero-line, will impact bullish on €-Index, with a re-start attempt of the main ascending trend.

☒ According to the above main graphical structures, there are the followings price-clusters.
▲ ~2.29 - upTarget of red cup.
▲ ~1.925-2.033 - upTargets of gray & orange cups.
▲ ~1.615 - top of orange square.
▲ ~1.370-1.455 - top of red cup + top of gray cup + 50% of orange square (violet ''}'').
➤ November 2014 close-price.
▼ ~1.205/1.185 - base of orange-square.
▼ ~1.10-1.00 - 50% levels of red & gray cups and level of the main ascending line (yellow) linking 1985 to 2000 bottoms (white ''}'').
▼ ~0.820-0.767 - base of gray cup + downTarget of orange square.
▼ ~0.620 - base of red cup.

☒ Notes.
The global structure of €/US$ is bullish in very long-term frame, according to the prices well above the white ''}'', and according to the price behaviour of main tops & bottoms (ascending).
Moreover the descending action of prices inside the orange square, exhibits a not-impulsive behaviour (corrective???).
All showed data are in preliminary accordance (structure of €/US$ & other forex crosses) with the work-hypothesis of €-Japanisation.
A first and important stop to the current long-term bullish action, there will be with prices well below the orange square, with fast target inside the white ''}'' set-up.
Only well below the white ''}'' there will be the complete invalidation of monetary-Japanization of €.
A structural re-start of the main bullish trend of €/US$, there will be only with prices above the violet ''}''.
The evolution of the spread Commercials-Financials, must necessarily be followed in this key stage of €.
Financial markets need a new currency by which to make carry trade, as done in recent years with the Japanese currency?

References.
#1.- https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5192.4169
#2.-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/35416491-post312.html
#3.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7926366#post7926366
#4.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7926061#post7926061
#5.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7926212#post7926212
#6.-https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DEXUSUK
#7.-https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DEXJPUS

Chart sources.
❖ FinViz; NetDania; TimingCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #13
  • Edited 6:34am Dec 15, 2014 6:21am | Edited 6:34am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the key levels of the WTI oil, on very long term charts.

Aim of the post.
☒ This post is a short up-date of the very long term graphical situation of WTI OIL (#1, #2, #3).
The format of charts used is linear, base10 semiLog., and base 'e' or natural semiLog. (calculator: #4).
This chart sequence is not an analysis, but a preliminar map of some key levels of prices on time-frame multi-decadal.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average, is a combination of the following curve (yellow lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ According to chart attached, the main price-levels of WTI OIL, are as follows.
✔ CHART/01
82.28-83.09: low of Sep.2011 & low of June.2012.
78.00 +/-2%: 50.0%FIB 1985/2008.
74.67: top July.2006.
61.95 +/-2%: 38.2%FIB 1985/2008.
65.80 & 58.80: dinamic levels of the two descending red-lines at the start of 2015.
58.80: dinamic levels of the ascending blue-line at the start of 2015.
41.80 +/-2%: 23.6%FIB 1985/2008.
✔ CHART/02
74.95: low of 2011 yearly inside candle.
73.30: 50% loss from top of 2008.
60.00 +/-2%: giant PriceXVolume column.
48.90: % down target of 2011 yearly inside.
35.07: numerical down target of 2011 yearly inside.
35.35-32.70: lows of 2008/2009.
✔ CHART/03
70.00: low of 2010.
65.00: dinamic level of the red descending line.
55.00-52.00: top of 2004 & low of 2007.
40.00-38.00: top of 1990 & low of 2008/2009.
✔ CHART/04
54.00-52.00: dinamic level of the red descending line (see also lows of 2006).
~40.00: top of 1990.
~35.35-32.70: lows of 2008/2009.
✔ CHART/05
Same levels of the previous chart, adding the followings:
~60.40: dinamic level of the yellow ascending line at the start of 2015.
~39.00-38.00: dinamic level of the blue ascending line at the start of 2015 (see blue & mid ascending line of the Chart/06).
✔ CHART / 06A & 06B
These are the big pictures of OIL prices from 1940 about.
☒ The downside price-clusters were obtained; now we follow the curve behaviour.

References.
#1.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2917.2808
#2.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=5398282#post5398282
#3.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=5401987#post5401987
#4.-http://www.rapidtables.com/calc/math/Ln_Calc.htm

Chart sources.
❖ EconoMagic; FreeStockCharts; MRCI.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #14
  • Dec 22, 2014 7:01am Dec 22, 2014 7:01am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the situation of Russian stock market.

Aim of the post.
☒ This post shows a short view of Russian stock market with some long-term charts.
The ETF benchmarks are as follows:
EZU -http://www.ishares.com/us/products/239644/ishares-msci-emu-etf
FEU -https://www.spdrs.com/product/fund.seam?ticker=FEU
FEZ -https://www.spdrs.com/product/fund.seam?ticker=FEZ
ERUS -http://www.ishares.com/us/products/239677/ishares-msci-russia-capped-etf
RSX -http://www.vaneck.com/funds/RSX.aspx

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See attached charts.

Chart sources.
❖ FreeStockCharts; StockCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #15
  • Jan 20, 2015 6:32am Jan 20, 2015 6:32am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the ForEx BlackSwan of Swiss Franc (CHF), powered by Swiss National Bank in January 15, 2015.

Aim of the post.
☒ This post shows a short review of charts (frame: 15min.) of the ForEx crash, during the BlackSwan of Swiss Franc.
This this event was caused by the breakage of the forced value of Euro/CHF at 1:20000.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► main U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: QQQ; ONEQ; DIA; OEF; SPY);
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ See attached charts.

Chart sources.
❖ FreeStockCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 855 KB
  • #16
  • Edited 1:50pm Jan 20, 2015 1:37pm | Edited 1:50pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the ForEx BlackSwan of Swiss Franc (CHF), powered by Swiss National Bank in January 15, 2015, based on a qualitative analysis of CoT curves.

Aim of the post.
☒ The Swiss National Bank's decision of Jan.15 2015 (#4) to abandon the block of Euro/CHF value (minimum level: 1.20000), has caused one of the largest daily & weekly movements in ForEx history.
The main market mouvers was already informed & prepared of the arrival of this big event?
This monstre news has been used in advance by the main market players, or this news was a global BlackSwan (#3)?
In order to obtain data for these questions, in this post there is a qualitative study of the curves of the report '''The Commitments of Traders (CoT)''' by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (#1, #2) of the Swiss Franc future. In this report (each Tuesday) are reported open interest, separately by Reportable and Non Reportable positions. For Reportable positions, additional data is provided for Commercial and Non Commercial holdings or Large.
Non Reportable are also called Small Traders/Players. These players invest directly on the future, with small size of contracts (Non Reportable).
Commercial Traders/Players are also called Hedgers, and use the futures market primarily to hedge their business activities on the underlying (in this case the CHF).
The Large Traders/Players (Trenders or Financials) invest directly on the future, according to its main trend, but with important size of contracts (Reportables).

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The main graphical elements of CoT curves are as follows.
✔ The current spread of net CoT positions of Commercial vs. Large is important, compared to the previous dark-gray area; moreover shows a typical bearish array, with Commercial in positive area and Large in negative area.
✔ The Small or Non Reportable player shows an important (historically) short net positioning on CHF future.
✔ Open Interest of CHF future is in normal zone (see 2006-2007).
✔ The curves ''All positions of Commercial and of Large''', divided by Long & Short, according to total net CoT positions.

☒ Notes.
✔ Total Reportable players are in a wrong position, according to their net curves vs. the mostre Sky��Rocket of CHF.
✔ Non Reportable players are in a very wrong position, according to historical behaviour of its net CoT curve.
✔ All players were in wrong position, although this was the largest daily (and weekly?) movement in the history of ForEx.
✔ According both to the CoT curves and the following decisions of some Central Banks in monetary policy, the decision of SNB is much more similar to a measure due to a panic-like situation.
✔ For this reason (panic-like decision, unplanned), the decision has displaced all the major players in the market.
✔ The panic in the SNB was caused by unsustainable to maintain Euro/CHF blocked to the level of 1.20000, especially in case of approval of QE by the ECB in the upcoming meeting in late January.
✔ This suggests(???) that in the current globalized ecosystem of the capital markets, it is almost impossible the persistence of central banks of limited size, such as Switzerland within Europe, and several other EurAsian countries out of EuroZone (and out of RubleZone & YuanRenminbiZone).

References.
#1.-http://www.cftc.gov/MARKETREPORTS/COMMITMENTSOFTRADERS/INDEX.HTM
#2.-http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commitments_of_Traders
#3.-http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/blackswan.asp
#4.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=8008596#post8008596

Previous Posts/Charts.
Au$, Cd$, GBP, €
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6149656#post6149656
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4813638#post4813638
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/28742255-post286.html
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/28743823-post287.html
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/25660689-post459.html
US$, ¥
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4814175#post4814175
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost.php?p=4534039&postcount=111
NZ$, ZAR
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4819018#post4819018
CHF-Index
-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=4821375#post4821375
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/25660689-post459.html
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/24453109-post340.html
-http://www.finanzaonline.com/forum/24452597-post3152.html

Chart sources.
❖ MRCI; TimingCharts.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 732 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg2.jpg Size: 628 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg3.jpg Size: 836 KB
  • #17
  • Feb 2, 2015 2:14pm Feb 2, 2015 2:14pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the short-term situation of IOO ETF (SP100 Global).

Aim of the post.
☒ In this post there are some notes about the short-term chart of IOO ETF.

General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☒ The main graphical elements are on the attached charts.
M/10 or Multiple 10mo. average, is a combination of the following curve (yellow-orange lines): sma, ema, fwma, vwma, AL-ma, triangular-ma, Wilders-ma, Envelope-ema.

Chart sources.
❖ TradingView.

Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg6.jpg Size: 1.2 MB
  • #18
  • Edited 7:37am Feb 7, 2015 7:25am | Edited 7:37am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the qualitative effects of US and Japanese Quantitative Easings on Dollar, Euro, Yen and Gold.

☒ Aim of the post.
The main aim of this post is related to the effect on US Dollar by the financial ecosystem of Quantitative Easings (see also: #3, #4) powered by US FED from the 2008 with the start of Paulson Financial Rescue Plan, until now.
In order to obtain a more complete set of data about the US QE effects, also Japanese Yen, Euro (see also post #5), Swiss Franc (only for a chart comparation), and Gold (#2), have been used for this qualitative study.
Moreover, also the Japanese QE has been considered.

☒ General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

☒ The main graphical elements of curves are as follows.
✔ The US Dollar Index shows a neutral trend during US QE Phase I (cup-like structure or ''V''-shape in 2008/2009), but an ''incredible'' up-trend during the US QE Phase II & Japan QE, with an attempt of Sky��Rocket at the start of EU QE (#1). Some graphical signs were in according to the bullish view (similarity between swings 1985/1992 vs. 2001/2008: #6)
✔ Euro future shows a global side-bearish evolution from the start of US QE phase I, with a confirmation during phase II. There is an acceleration of descending evolution of Euro from the start of Japan QE, with a monstre Sell ʕ•ᴥ•ʔ Off during the start of EU QE.
✔ The Japanese Yen future shows an important devaluation at the start of Japan QE, with a strong increase at the start of US QE Phase II.
✔ The start of US QE phase I (and the following start of Japan QE) have impacted like a Sky��Rocket on the Gold curve, from the bottom of 2008 to the top of 2011 about. The next evolution of Gold is similar to Euro future, with a continuous bearish behaviour (US QE phase II + Japan QE), until to thr start of EU QE, with an important up monthly bar.
✔ The US & Japan QE have devaluated a lot of currencies & commodities except the US$ !!! But this result was unexpected? Unexpected by economists and/or unexpected even by the Fed?

☒ Notes.
This new financial ecosystem of currecies, was caused by FED? If yes, why?
-) A US financial protection vs. next commodities & inflation boom.
-) A US system, to economically destabilize some critical areas in the world.
The fact however, is that the US QE (and Japan QE), have strengthened the US$ and weakened other major currencies.

☒ References.
#1.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.1559.5840
#2.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4744.5760
#3.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.5158.7524
#4.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.1062.7524
#5.- http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/2.1.2314.4003
#6.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=6851519#post685151 9

☒ Chart sources.
❖ MRCI.

☒ Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠™║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KèSaddhaPhàPéKampà: #BundaBunda €MP¥R€ ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 366 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 444 KB
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  • #19
  • Feb 28, 2015 9:44am Feb 28, 2015 9:44am

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the Renaissance Capital's 2014 IPO Review: Global & US markets.

☒ Aim of the post.
In this post there are the reports of Renaissance Capital [#1] about the IPO markets of 2015 (see previous posts #4).

☒ General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

Main graphical elements.
☑ GLOBAL report [#2].
Supported by stable equity returns, global IPO issuance reached the highest levels since 2010. Annual IPO proceeds increased 48.7% to $204.8 billion. North America was the largest contributor to IPO issuance with the United States accounting for 39% of global proceeds. Europe, the Middle East and Africa also experienced jumps in IPO proceeds after facing struggles in recent years due to sovereign debt concerns and economic instability, while IPO issuance in Latin America stagnated as Brazil entered an economic recession and political unrest dampened investor sentiment. Once again, financial companies raised more IPO proceeds than any other sector while the technology sector raised its highest level of annual proceeds ever, thanks to the mega IPO of Chinas largest e-commerce firm Alibaba Group Holdings (BABA). Global IPO returns were also impressive in 2014; the average IPO generated a 15.0% return from their offer price. With issuance accelerating and returns strengthening, we expect to see global IPO markets continue to gain momentum and grow in 2015.
☑ US report [#3].
Over the last year, the US IPO market set a 14-year record against a mostly low-volatility backdrop. With 273 IPOs, 2014 was the most active period of issuance since 406 companies went public in 2000. It was the second year of uninterrupted IPO activity, up 23% over 2013, due to a doubling of biotech issuance. Proceeds of $85 billion, inflated by Alibabas $22 billion offering, were up 55% over 2013. While various global events, such as Russias incursion into the Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East, caused nervousness in global markets, they largely failed to disrupt the US IPO applecart. Average IPO performance of 16% for the year was close to the ten-year mean, but well below the 41% average return in 2013. Despite a handful of mostly small-capitalization IPOs that rose over 100%, investors hewed to strict valuation discipline, with 40% of IPOs pricing below the range. All this sets us up for a solid 2015 IPO market, as a healthy pipeline and still-positive US economic backdrop should support another year with more than 200 IPOs.

☒ References.
#1.-http://www.renaissancecapital.com/
#2.-http://www.renaissancecapital.com/news/renaissance-capitals-2014-global-ipo-annual-review-22553.html
#3.-http://www.renaissancecapital.com/news/renaissance-capitals-2014-us-ipo-annual-review-22514.html
#4.-http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?p=7595857#post7595857

☒ Chart sources.
❖ RenaissanceCapital.

☒ Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KSaddhaPhPKamp: #BundaBunda MPR ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 1.2 MB
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg1.jpg Size: 1.1 MB
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  • #20
  • Mar 2, 2015 12:27pm Mar 2, 2015 12:27pm

► #Financial #Markets #Observatory #Lab. ◀


Notes and charts about the Gold [Au] reserves of the main countries (2000-2014).

☒ Aim of the post.
According to the post of FuturesMag (#1), in this post there are the charts of the Gold (Au) reserves of the main countries, 2000-2014.

☒ General stocks-benchmarks usefull for this post.
► global U.S. stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: EUSA; ITOT; IWB; IWV; IYY; THRK);
► global World stocks-benchmarks (charts & notes: ACWI; DGT; IOO; NYSE W.L.I.; ONEF; VT).

☒ Main graphical elements.
See attached charts.

☒ References.
#1.-http://www.futuresmag.com/2015/03/02/top-20-largest-gold-reserves-country-through-2014

☒ Chart sources.
❖ TradingEconomics.

☒ Sorry for my bad English. I hope that this post is at least minimally useful [Contact].
Tuned on main trend, but follows short-medium term signs from underlying prices, for a correct & real-time set-up.
It is very important do not anticipate the main trend of the underlying financial instruments.
☻/♪ ❖ EARTH.pk, Alert 2.O !!! ❖
/▌
/|
I.M.O. by Sa!Vi ►►♥█║▌│││█║℠║▌║▌▌║█❤◀◀
#KSaddhaPhPKamp: #BundaBunda MPR ❣!!!❣
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Sa!Vyjpg0.jpg Size: 942 KB
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