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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #2,661
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:58am Dec 4, 2014 1:58am
Quoting deltaone
long @10.001 sl -10 tp +30
Hi d1, I see pivot R1 on 10019 and all time high at 10043(as well as R2), and also 9990 seems like is not holding much today. So I'd like to ask you whether you could provide me some reasoning for your entry and whether all trade parameters were satisfactory at the entry. Thank you
  • #2,662
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:05am Dec 4, 2014 2:05am
Quoting ZA Rhino
{quote} That statement ladies and gentlemen is the sign of a true analyst.... I would guess that that there is only a minimal percentage (under 10%) outside of the EU. Is there any way of telling?
I made some research but no report on who is actually trading.. one could find out if top brokers with the highest amount of customers would be willingly to share their customers' history just including columns containing: symbol | nationality of traders | percentage, then we could gather all reports and make one total summary.. so far haven't found anything close to that..

Anyway.. was just thinking out loud..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,663
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:20am Dec 4, 2014 2:20am
Quoting Michelangelo
{quote} Hi d1, I see pivot R1 on 10019 and all time high at 10043(as well as R2), and also 9990 seems like is not holding much today. So I'd like to ask you whether you could provide me some reasoning for your entry and whether all trade parameters were satisfactory at the entry. Thank you
hi Michelangelo,

i have r1 at 10.015, r2 at 10.039 and ath at 10.50,89 (xetra).
bullish engulfing on 1m, upsiderisk on ecb days > downsiderisk in most cases.
not the best entry, but worth the risk i thought. time will tell...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,664
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:21am Dec 4, 2014 2:21am
Fdax (1H)

Will add to my long trades if price retraces a little bit more!

New Pending Order (Buy Limit): 9992
No SL, No TP yet

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,665
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:30am Dec 4, 2014 2:30am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I made some research but no report on who is actually trading.. one could find out if top brokers with the highest amount of customers would be willingly to share their customers' history just including columns containing: symbol | nationality of traders | percentage, then we could gather all reports and make one total summary.. so far haven't found anything close to that.. Anyway.. was just thinking out loud.. Happy Trades
the underlying assumption: nationality is correlated with trading
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,666
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:34am Dec 4, 2014 2:34am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} the underlying assumption: nationality is correlated with trading
Not irrelevant.. like there is one jamaican runner and a let's say turkish runner.. for who would you put your money? I think there could be a relation still..

Let's say most of the traders are Russians.. if something bad happens in Russia it is good for me to now how many Russians will feel bad and therefore act bearish or close their trades quickly.. it is one important data to fidn out I believe..

..again just thinking out loud..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,667
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:43am Dec 4, 2014 2:43am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Not irrelevant.. like there is one jamaican runner and a let's say turkish runner.. for who would you put your money? I think there could be a relation still.. Let's say most of the traders are Russians.. if something bad happens in Russia it is good for me to now how many Russians will feel bad and therefore act bearish or close their trades quickly.. it is one important data to fidn out I believe.. ..again just thinking out loud.. Happy Trades
to continue your example: i´d prefer to know the individual history of the runners (number of records/individual high score/latest results) before i would place my bet.

back to the ticks...
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,668
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:48am Dec 4, 2014 2:48am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} to continue your example: i´d prefer to know the individual history of the runners (number of records/individual high score/latest results) before i would place my bet. back to the ticks...
I agree for usa and jamaican runners you would need to do that but trust me you could bet blindly for the jamaican in my example.. if you know what I mean

.. but yeah let's get back to trading

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,669
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:55am Dec 4, 2014 2:55am
Do you think we see a retrace somewhere to DP?

Imo it would be healthier to retrace lil bit to stay after that over 10k
  • #2,670
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:56am Dec 4, 2014 2:56am
Fdax

My last pending order has been cancelled!

The 10.003 still acts like a huge magnet.. price will fall back there sooner or later today.. and once draghi speaks it could have a quick spike back to 9937.. Remember spacca loved that number lol...

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,671
  • Dec 4, 2014 3:11am Dec 4, 2014 3:11am
I had on system entry fire today - I have not taken it as I think we are in for a bumpy ride in an hour two.
"Fasten seat belt signs" light is on in my book.
One or other we are going to break this holding pattern....
Carpe Vinum.
  • #2,672
  • Dec 4, 2014 3:19am Dec 4, 2014 3:19am
Quoting ZA Rhino
I had on system entry fire today - I have not taken it as I think we are in for a bumpy ride in an hour two. "Fasten seat belt signs" light is on in my book. One or other we are going to break this holding pattern....
Where do you see the trigger point, the shoot up level? 1 tick above 10.036 looks good to me.. any thoughts?

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,673
  • Dec 4, 2014 3:28am Dec 4, 2014 3:28am
I have been bearish of late to be honest - I am now bullish and expect 10036, 10045, 10056 to fall in the same candle, from there, well only the bears know the true answer to that one...
Carpe Vinum.
  • #2,674
  • Dec 4, 2014 3:33am Dec 4, 2014 3:33am
Quoting ZA Rhino
I have been bearish of late to be honest - I am now bullish and expect 10036, 10045, 10056 to fall in the same candle, from there, well only the bears know the true answer to that one...
Just be aware of a re-visit to 10.003... don't get a sucker punch since dax is a crazy steer these days..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,675
  • Dec 4, 2014 4:01am Dec 4, 2014 4:01am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Look how scary smugs majority dax traders are.. immediately starting selling right after 10k.. I wonder what the percentage of the nationalities of all dax traders are.. so we could categorize panic levels of countries Happy Trades
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I think deltaone and macrino are the only ones in the whole world who are trading dax atm so the computer systems go for their stop losses Happy Trades
"wir deutsche fürchten gott, aber sonst nichts in der welt"

tp hit. +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,676
  • Dec 4, 2014 4:05am Dec 4, 2014 4:05am
Quoting deltaone
long @10.001 sl -10 tp +30 tp hit. +30
Now that ladies and gentlemen is an example of patience.
Carpe Vinum.
  • #2,677
  • Dec 4, 2014 4:16am Dec 4, 2014 4:16am
Quoting ZA Rhino
{quote} Now that ladies and gentlemen is an example of patience.
thanks. short break till ecb decision
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #2,678
  • Dec 4, 2014 5:01am Dec 4, 2014 5:01am
They didn't change bid rate as expected.. effect was weak therefore.. soon Draghi will make a very standard pep talk I assume.. I don't know what he could say so surprising that markets go nuts.. and since their "saving the euro zone" approach still has offered nothing remarkable, I expect that dow or the greed of dax traders may decide how dax will continue its journey..

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,679
  • Dec 4, 2014 5:03am Dec 4, 2014 5:03am
So who thinks Draghi will do QE from today and will that mean dax will rise or fall - confused now?
  • #2,680
  • Dec 4, 2014 5:12am Dec 4, 2014 5:12am
Quoting twellve
So who thinks Draghi will do QE from today and will that mean dax will rise or fall - confused now?
Well as far as I know he wouldn't do a QE (quantitative easing) since that would mean, trying to lower interest rates for liquidity but then the question raises, why they just didn't lower the bid rate then? Doing a QE would bring up a conflict, thereby I think that's not gonna happen and actually today's draghi talk is like to become a formality speech. My half cents.

Happy Trades
Focus only on what truly matters!
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