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  • #940,781
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:40am Dec 4, 2014 1:40am
In USDCAD there is a 1.36 billion dollars option at 1.1400, also due to expire today.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,782
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:42am Dec 4, 2014 1:42am
Quoting Panco
{quote} I just checked and it is actually the only pair I have nothing on. Once 120 goes, USDJPY will gain some momentum, cant really tell how high it will go, maybe 10 - 15 pips. What I can say on GBPUSD is that there are some sell orders at 1.5720 and big buy orders at 1.5550 (very far, I know)
so option some kind like bear holds the bull to go higher and vice versa? what happen if it is expired? no more restriction for bull to move higher or bear to move lower?
  • #940,783
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:42am Dec 4, 2014 1:42am
In USDCHF the options are very far from the market, 0.9640 and 0.9900. They are much smaller, about 200 million.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,784
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:44am Dec 4, 2014 1:44am
Quoting Sants
{quote} so option some kind like bear holds the bull to go higher and vice versa? what happen if it is expired? no more restriction for bull to move higher or bear to move lower?
You got it spot on. That's why every day at 15:00 GMT there will be a reaction as the option expires because it is no longer defended. You will see it clearly when there is no economic data scheduled.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,785
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:44am Dec 4, 2014 1:44am
Quoting Panco
{quote} You got it spot on. That's why every day at 15:00 GMT there will be a reaction as the option expires because it is no longer defended. You will see it clearly when there is no economic data scheduled.
15:00 GMT is the expiration, its called the NY (New York) cut.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,786
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:45am Dec 4, 2014 1:45am
About the stops, EURUSD bulls have their stops at 1.2280
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,787
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:47am Dec 4, 2014 1:47am
Quoting Panco
{quote} You got it spot on. That's why every day at 15:00 GMT there will be a reaction as the option expires because it is no longer defended. You will see it clearly when there is no economic data scheduled.
how the option holder got money? counted per pips or per bid?
15:00 GMT without DST+1? so its 22:00 if my country is in GMT+7?
anw sorry for asking too much beginner questions, really no idea about options system
  • #940,788
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:47am Dec 4, 2014 1:47am
In AUDUSD, stops are seen at 0.8350.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,789
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:47am Dec 4, 2014 1:47am
Quoting shellsnail
{quote} Whoever made the bet probably did it in June or something when UJ was nowhere near 120. It's a barrier option so once it hits 120 he loses his money. He's probably shitting his pants since last month.
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #940,790
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:49am Dec 4, 2014 1:49am
There are huge stops in USDJPY at 120.20
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,791
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:52am Dec 4, 2014 1:52am
I have to go, this is all for today. The stops I mentioned could be hunted and are relevant for now. As you now realize, all information is available. This is the reason why ppl don't like using a stop (I strongly disagree but this is the reason).
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,792
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:53am Dec 4, 2014 1:53am
Gidday EUR/US

Watching CNBC etc

they talking 1,15

Still can not see it going their without some

good bounces

Wonder if we will see higher levels soon

flush out all the shorts:nerd:
  • #940,793
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:53am Dec 4, 2014 1:53am
I am long EURUSD from 1.2305 with small leverage. I am not suggesting you should copy me but this is my trade for the moment, I shared it before. If I am wrong I have a stop to pull me out. If I am correct, I hope the sky is the limit lol
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,794
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:54am Dec 4, 2014 1:54am
Good luck in the market everyone!
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,795
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:56am Dec 4, 2014 1:56am
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday EUR/US Watching CNBC etc they talking 1,15 Still can not see it going their without some good bounces Wonder if we will see higher levels soon flush out all the shorts:nerd:
Before I go, CNBC in my opinion is about rating and not helping traders profit. Think about it. This is 1.15 might be reached at the end of 2015 and there is plenty of time until then. They are basing it on the fact the Fed will raise rates and Draghi will expand QE. An educated guess.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,796
  • Dec 4, 2014 1:58am Dec 4, 2014 1:58am
Quoting Panco
I am long EURUSD from 1.2305 with small leverage. I am not suggesting you should copy me but this is my trade for the moment, I shared it before. If I am wrong I have a stop to pull me out. If I am correct, I hope the sky is the limit lol
I am with you the lowest possible price this can go is 1.2230 but up the possibilities are open starting from 1.2580
  • #940,797
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:03am Dec 4, 2014 2:03am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Thanks for the tip. Here is the shift added one. It project last 2 month close to close mid to this month. {image}
Hi, great stuff! Which indi do you use for this, would you mind sharing it? Thank you!

Edit: just saw your earlier answer, so will try to convert something else I find into this... advice would be obviously very welcome!
LD
Fail better.
  • #940,798
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:06am Dec 4, 2014 2:06am
Quoting DoskeII
{quote} not sure about option expiy timing, even they are very large, but December we usually see a reversal. Charts are all set, can we see Price Action too.. We;ll see.. Btw.. USDJPY at fib 61.8 level. [120.10-120.25] EUR at monthly 200 sma. [so far trend reversal level] .. ect. ... {image} {image}
200 ma monthly indicates trend, "up" which to most here will be surprised,50ma indicates tending strength and/or reversal, right now shes rolling over, hence the 6 solid months of selling , the 200 is yet to touch and shoukld prove very important I have a static level @ 2131

the sell on eu should be hold for now, possibility of a decent bounce is greater than breaching the 200, its december, and nfp week, any new trader should not be trading now, possibly until end of jan mid Feb, these levels are very big, and accordingly very tricky :nerd: there is the opotunity of bottom or top picking, but this option is very expensive
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #940,799
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:10am Dec 4, 2014 2:10am
references:

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  • #940,800
  • Dec 4, 2014 2:13am Dec 4, 2014 2:13am
clean break above 1.2319 and i might look to buy from that price
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