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  • #940,681
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:32pm Dec 3, 2014 11:32pm
Quoting justin7
{quote} think of the more corrupt manipulated scenario and that's probably what will happen. i think it's more likely it pops for another sell off and then retraces hard. that would make more sense for the big money
yes, look at all the movement that has been priced into this already.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #940,682
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:34pm Dec 3, 2014 11:34pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} agree, big money going to take profit off the table unless Draghi does something outrageous and drastic more so than already and what is in the works very is very low chance imo.. will give us the likelihood of retrace.
He might do, you didn't hear the news?
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,683
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:36pm Dec 3, 2014 11:36pm
USDJPY
Price completed ABCD H4 1.618 Ext at 61.8 Ret M1, I will be looking at any reversal candles or candlestick patterns for bounce.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy H4 AND M1.png Size: 140 KB
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #940,684
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:36pm Dec 3, 2014 11:36pm
I am going to save you a lot of trouble and tell you know what is the forecast for the ECB and hopefully save you a lot of money.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,685
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:38pm Dec 3, 2014 11:38pm
I will do it differently. Does anyone here know why the Euro was sold before the ECB meeting today?
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,686
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:38pm Dec 3, 2014 11:38pm
what bout ecb news today any idea?
  • #940,687
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:39pm Dec 3, 2014 11:39pm
Quoting vidhyaking
what bout ecb news today any idea?
Major news, yes
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,688
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:40pm Dec 3, 2014 11:40pm
I will answer myself then.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,689
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:42pm Dec 3, 2014 11:42pm
There were comments by ECB members Lancker and I-forgot-the-other-guy's-name about making a bigger QE that includes sovereign bonds purchasing. You might say so what but it was never done before in the euro zone. The market simply priced-in that probability along with more analysts forecasting Draghi will hint this QE today that will begin in 2015. There were no major manipulations yet in EURUSD, just pricing in.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,690
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:42pm Dec 3, 2014 11:42pm
Quoting Panco
I will do it differently. Does anyone here know why the Euro was sold before the ECB meeting today?
maybe this http://www.marketpulse.com/20141204/...rops-1-23-ecb/


from twitter John Kicklighter ‏@JohnKicklighter 5h5 hours ago
Looking at open interest on short-term $EURUSD options. Very little put interest below 1.2200, virtually none below 1.2000. ECB QE hope low
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #940,691
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:45pm Dec 3, 2014 11:45pm
So the market is already prepared for this. I cant post any links here but the press conference is extremely crucial. If Draghi does hint sovereign bonds purchasing it will be taken to the German Constitutional Court as the OMT did back in September 2012. If Draghi does nothing and waits for next week's TLTRO EURUSD will boom because of those that priced-in the new QE will get out the market and lift EURUSD higher.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,692
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:46pm Dec 3, 2014 11:46pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} maybe this http://www.marketpulse.com/20141204/...rops-1-23-ecb/
I gave you the full picture rather than just a brief summary.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,693
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:47pm Dec 3, 2014 11:47pm
Quoting Panco
There were comments by ECB members Lancker and I-forgot-the-other-guy's-name about making a bigger QE that includes sovereign bonds purchasing. You might say so what but it was never done before in the euro zone. The market simply priced-in that probability along with more analysts forecasting Draghi will hint this QE today that will begin in 2015. There were no major manipulations yet in EURUSD, just pricing in.
we have a winner! someone who understands the market , thank you
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #940,694
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:47pm Dec 3, 2014 11:47pm
It will be a very tough decision and I am sure he will be sweating. I don't know what everyone are so sure EURUSD will drop as there is no guarantee a this sovereign bonds buying will be hinted today. Many analysts I have to say believe he will. The big money is already short, the question is whether it will pull out.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,695
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:48pm Dec 3, 2014 11:48pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} youre funny, you and your Picture... IDK... i don't think we can retrace this...from what i see, it is too heavy to retrace...we will probably retrace from lower...retracing this, means the ECB will not Erase July rules today, the question is: so why do the dirty job earlier than expected? why not wait at 1.2450 for today ECB report?...
we didn't wait for the D-day like we did with FED (end of QE3) cuz the big cheaters has already received the ECB leaked information from Hackersland...ECB is corrupt from everywhere. we all know it...just type ECB leak on Google... they already all sold it from 1.2500 ... TP 1.22?... if they took Profit we would not park at 1.2305 but rather at 1.2440-80 instead...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #940,696
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:48pm Dec 3, 2014 11:48pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} we have a winner! someone who understands the market , thank you
Thank you. I would have posted the link here but I can't, sorry.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,697
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:50pm Dec 3, 2014 11:50pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} we didn't wait for the D-day cuz the big cheaters has already received the ECB leaked information from Hackersland...ECB is corrupt from everywhere. we all know it...just type ECB leak on Google... they already all sold it from 1.2500 ... TP 1.22?... if they took Profit we would not park at 1.2305 but rather at 1.2440-80 instead...
I can say the same for yesterday's ADP report that was released 4 minutes earlier. Information always leaks but that doesn't mean you cant profit from their moves.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,698
  • Dec 3, 2014 11:55pm Dec 3, 2014 11:55pm
Bottom line, this is not an ordinary meeting. A lot of stops are about to be taken out and the traders just don't know it yet. It can plat either way but it will be very, very volatile
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,699
  • Edited 12:02am Dec 4, 2014 12:01am | Edited 12:02am
Let me tell you something about a price manipulation that is happening now. There is a three billion dollar option that will expire at 15:00 GMT in USDJPY at 120. The option holder will get the money only if USDJPY remains below 120 until 15:00 GMT. There were no major economic data in the past few hours but the pair is very close to reaching it, even now as we speak. I am certain there is a joint effort to take out the option so they holder loses three billion dollars. And the poor holder is trying to fight them off. This is price manipulation and you are seeing it live.
"The Market is Not Evil, it Simply Separates Dumb People From Their Money."
  • #940,700
  • Dec 4, 2014 12:07am Dec 4, 2014 12:07am
it's as ordinary a meeting or news event as any other. market goes up market goes down. just have to wait at this point for levels to be established now. theres nothing i can trade from this point below. i won't be looking to trade during the news tommorrow until i find out if it's good or bad
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