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  • #940,121
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:10am Dec 2, 2014 8:10am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Yep the other option for ecb to not take qe now is to suffer 30 years of deflation and no growth like the japanese had suffered 30 years ago... Them after 30 years ecb might eas as heavy as the boj is doing now... Put in perspective japan is on its way out of a 30 years deflation and europe is about to enter into a 30 year deflation cycle... Would europe stand by and do nothing and watch europe stuck in limbo like japan did for the last 30 years?? We shall see
Pros of QE, printing money devalues euro, benefits include increase in inflation and also devalued euro makes euro competitive to export, promoting growth

Cons of QE, fiscal deficits something merkel hates, and theories that asset price appreciations are fake... But its still a theory afterall, moral hazards and at last... The possibility of starting a currency war if It is not a globally collaborated effort of easing
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,122
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:12am Dec 2, 2014 8:12am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Yep the other option for ecb to not take qe now is to suffer 30 years of deflation and no growth like the japanese had suffered 30 years ago... Them after 30 years ecb might eas as heavy as the boj is doing now... Put in perspective japan is on its way out of a 30 years deflation and europe is about to enter into a 30 year deflation cycle... Would europe stand by and do nothing and watch europe stuck in limbo like japan did for the last 30 years?? We shall see
whats the negatives impact to euro if QE is started? -- answered
is it really a dead-end for ecb to launch QE?
despite a long journey back perhaps 1.2000/usd by next month.
regards, sants
  • #940,123
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:13am Dec 2, 2014 8:13am
Quoting thegmann
I remain bearish until daily close above falling trendline and 1.2506 fib level. Only then will I see a possible short term correction/reversal upwards. We are still within downward move and have been bouncing off every resistance on the way down. {image}
put my stops to BE and turned off comp had to run out yesterday...Ah well...lets hope another entry point before Thursday but I doubt well get back up to 1.25 again...classic pump n dump called it before. Hit falling trendline and fib level to the pip on daily.
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  • #940,124
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:13am Dec 2, 2014 8:13am
Quoting Sants
{quote} whats the negatives impact to euro if QE is started? -- answered is it really a dead-end for ecb to launch QE? despite a long journey back perhaps 1.2000/usd by next month. regards, sants
I posted a pros and cons read it
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,125
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:17am Dec 2, 2014 8:17am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Pros of QE, printing money devalues euro, benefits include increase in inflation and also devalued euro makes euro competitive to export, promoting growth Cons of QE, fiscal deficits something merkel hates, and theories that asset price appreciations are fake... But its still a theory afterall, moral hazards and at last... The possibility of starting a currency war if It is not a globally collaborated effort of easing
just in case you are in merkel's position whose cons to QE, what's the other option?
regards, sants
  • #940,126
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:22am Dec 2, 2014 8:22am
Quoting Sants
{quote} just in case you are in merkel's position whose cons to QE, what's the other option? regards, sants
There really isnt any left for merkel.. Problem is merkel is fighting a battle thats sure to lose in the long term... I mean yea okay fiscal stability was important around 2010-2012 during the whole eurozone debt crisis but... Europe's debt is in check thanks to her... But too much control to prevent the next debt crisis is in a way dangerous because you are keeping the economy away from growth....
I applaud merkel for her stance but her firm grip is showing signs that the grip is suffocating europe...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,127
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:46am Dec 2, 2014 8:46am
Quoting Tadej89
{quote} I'm totally opened for something like that. I know the odds are against me but fck it
yep and maybe that break will be sooner as we expected
  • #940,128
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:52am Dec 2, 2014 8:52am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} There really isnt any left for merkel.. Problem is merkel is fighting a battle thats sure to lose in the long term... I mean yea okay fiscal stability was important around 2010-2012 during the whole eurozone debt crisis but... Europe's debt is in check thanks to her... But too much control to prevent the next debt crisis is in a way dangerous because you are keeping the economy away from growth.... I applaud merkel for her stance but her firm grip is showing signs that the grip is suffocating europe...
#sorryformynoobsresponse
so what's merkel thinking right now to avoid further defisit budget by cons to QE according to you? avoiding personal headache?
i mean, government earns from the taxes, hows the government income is increasing if there's low inflation, low employment level and no growth at all.
shes just making the defisit growth eh?
  • #940,129
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:52am Dec 2, 2014 8:52am
Switch to long @2402
  • #940,130
  • Dec 2, 2014 8:58am Dec 2, 2014 8:58am
closing some ea 4703. looking to lighten eu short after 2336.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #940,131
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:05am Dec 2, 2014 9:05am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} There really isnt any left for merkel.. Problem is merkel is fighting a battle thats sure to lose in the long term... I mean yea okay fiscal stability was important around 2010-2012 during the whole eurozone debt crisis but... Europe's debt is in check thanks to her... But too much control to prevent the next debt crisis is in a way dangerous because you are keeping the economy away from growth.... I applaud merkel for her stance but her firm grip is showing signs that the grip is suffocating europe...
check out usd/rub!! Russian project 2015 recession
  • #940,132
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:09am Dec 2, 2014 9:09am
bought at 1.2400 - 410 easy 10 pips.
  • #940,133
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:09am Dec 2, 2014 9:09am
Quoting poseikwame
{quote} check out usd/rub!! Russian project 2015 recession
wow, how unexpected
ever heard of Arab spring?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #940,134
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:19am Dec 2, 2014 9:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wow, how unexpected ever heard of Arab spring?
Talk about arab spring.... Qatar and saudi is in trouble... With oul prices so low saudis will run out of money to keep the people in saudi quiet....
If oil prices stay this low long enough... Friggin arab countries maybe headed for another cycle of anarchaic revolution..
Egypt and syria is just the start....
Imagine these middle east countries faltering just like any oil dependent countries did ... Like Nigeria... Bolivia...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,135
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:19am Dec 2, 2014 9:19am
might look to scalp 1.2430 for 5 pips short
  • #940,136
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:21am Dec 2, 2014 9:21am
There is something about this move I don't like...and since NFP is tomorrow, it looks like "someone" wants to long from low levels into a bull spike. It wouldn't surprise me tomorrow, we will see.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #940,137
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:23am Dec 2, 2014 9:23am
Quoting OnlineAddict
There is something about this move I don't like...and since NFP is tomorrow, it looks like "someone" wants to long from low levels into a bull spike. It wouldn't surprise me tomorrow, we will see.
Nfp is not tomorrow... Nfp is Always first friday of the month... So no not tomorrow...
Double check you calendar buddy
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,138
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:25am Dec 2, 2014 9:25am
damn... Usdjpy so close to 120 target and price action around 118/119 suggest 120 may not be the solid target....
Might be higher at 140
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #940,139
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:26am Dec 2, 2014 9:26am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Talk about arab spring.... Qatar and saudi is in trouble... With oul prices so low saudis will run out of money to keep the people in saudi quiet.... If oil prices stay this low long enough... Friggin arab countries maybe headed for another cycle of anarchaic revolution.. Egypt and syria is just the start.... Imagine these middle east countries faltering just like any oil dependent countries did ... Like Nigeria... Bolivia...
all posted long ago. its called game changer, the lost 40 years.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #940,140
  • Dec 2, 2014 9:27am Dec 2, 2014 9:27am
a buy at 1.2390 if it gets there makes sense that's about manipulated enough past 1.2400 before it comes back up. can't see it going any lower than 1.2380
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