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  • #938,201
  • Nov 23, 2014 10:29pm Nov 23, 2014 10:29pm
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Because Yellen makes the decisions. Let us make the decisions.
Okay... I got ya' Chicky... Lol. Reading you loud & clear.
  • #938,202
  • Edited 11:11pm Nov 23, 2014 11:00pm | Edited 11:11pm
Quoting Basement
Closed Short 12362 Opened Long 12363 Target 12415 Stop 12349
... well we don't see on that H1 chart but the sell logic is slowly ending...if we close 2400+ that hour it will be for sure...let's see what will happens...
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  • #938,203
  • Nov 23, 2014 11:14pm Nov 23, 2014 11:14pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} ... well we don't see on that H1 chart but the sell logic is slowly ending...if we go 2400 that hour it will be for sure...
Saying that sell logic would end on 2400 is not a good estimate. That's too premature considering the current trend and fundamentals. I'd look for 1.2440, which is the current pivot point. There was a very good chance that the EUR/USD wouldn't drop after its weekend fall; a breach of the support at 1.2350 would open it up to 1.2300, which is far too big of a drop considering it's only sunday. In essence, we're still in short term corrective mode; whether that'll lead to a more pronounced bounce would be the movement that occurs at the pivot point. It could go up or down at that point. If it goes down, we know the drill: make new lows with corrections until 1.2200.

If it goes up, look for 1.2500. But it's currently all but impossible to regain 1.2550 levels unless we have favorable news for the Euro. The sell off during Draghi's speech all but confirmed the resumption of the overarching bearish trend even on a short term basis (Draghi's speech was a bit dovish but not too much to start off a massive selloff unless the market makers have already decided to favor bears for the meanwhile).
  • #938,204
  • Edited Nov 24, 2014 12:11am Nov 23, 2014 11:25pm | Edited Nov 24, 2014 12:11am
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Saying that sell logic would end on 2400 is not a good estimate. That's too premature considering the current trend and fundamentals. I'd look for 1.2440, which is the current pivot point. There was a very good chance that the EUR/USD wouldn't drop after its weekend fall; a breach of the support at 1.2350 would open it up to 1.2300, which is far too big of a drop considering it's only sunday. In essence, we're still in short term corrective mode; whether that'll lead to a more pronounced bounce would be the movement that occurs at the pivot...
you are true here i spoke only about H1... on H4 we only ended the buy logic with friday's rocket, so it is true we can go much lower(2250)... just for today nothing is sure, this is why i Watch the small timeframe...if this thing break now we will easily see 2340...
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  • #938,205
  • Nov 23, 2014 11:47pm Nov 23, 2014 11:47pm
i can see double bottoms forming a "W", euro might be fueling up heading north again, any ideas?
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  • #938,206
  • Nov 24, 2014 12:14am Nov 24, 2014 12:14am
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Don't speculate trade with surety.
  • #938,207
  • Nov 24, 2014 12:36am Nov 24, 2014 12:36am
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Saying that sell logic would end on 2400 is not a good estimate. That's too premature considering the current trend and fundamentals. I'd look for 1.2440, which is the current pivot point. There was a very good chance that the EUR/USD wouldn't drop after its weekend fall; a breach of the support at 1.2350 would open it up to 1.2300, which is far too big of a drop considering it's only sunday. In essence, we're still in short term corrective mode; whether that'll lead to a more pronounced bounce would be the movement that occurs at the pivot...
maybe on a M30 chart we have a better view...this 2395-2400 price is just the first small test of the week for sellers...
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  • #938,208
  • Nov 24, 2014 12:57am Nov 24, 2014 12:57am
I'd have to agree I think the Euro apocalypse is on hold this week, why are so some many traders long right now? It's like 70-80% long on most of the
dealer books I can see, isn't this extremely bullish? Or are people so short term that it flips alot. I'm at a disadvantage here as a long term fundamentals investor
I usually trade once or twice a year, based on some extreme market move, in this case I shorted back in July at 1.35xx havn't moved much since then I was
waiting till 1.30xx but then I decided 1.25xx now I'm on to 1.18xx

But isn't a large long position by traders bullish?
  • #938,209
  • Nov 24, 2014 1:35am Nov 24, 2014 1:35am
1.2400 done next target 1.2440 IMO
rules are different here. Less risk, more profit .. !!
  • #938,210
  • Nov 24, 2014 1:39am Nov 24, 2014 1:39am
This kind of bullish mess will continue until a bounce in monthly TF. Bear will win if it can protect this nonsense.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #938,211
  • Nov 24, 2014 1:44am Nov 24, 2014 1:44am
If it can close this week around 2200 then next month close ~2500 would help bear to target below 1.20
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #938,212
  • Nov 24, 2014 1:51am Nov 24, 2014 1:51am
Quoting Rolandiko
Eur/usd and usd/jpy are moving downwards together at the same time,what could that mean? I short the 2 pairs. Which should I pull out? Any idea?
Many chance of eur usd going down but first it will touch 1.2440 and sorry i know nothing about other pair
rules are different here. Less risk, more profit .. !!
  • #938,213
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:12am Nov 24, 2014 2:12am
1.2405, 1.2420 and 1.2440 levels are expected to cap the pair's immediate up-move ahead of the German number; however, a break of 1.2360 seems more likely considering the weaker forecast.
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  • #938,214
  • Edited 2:46am Nov 24, 2014 2:23am | Edited 2:46am
Quoting Eda
I'd have to agree I think the Euro apocalypse is on hold this week, why are so some many traders long right now? It's like 70-80% long on most of the dealer books I can see, isn't this extremely bullish? Or are people so short term that it flips alot. I'm at a disadvantage here as a long term fundamentals investor I usually trade once or twice a year, based on some extreme market move, in this case I shorted back in July at 1.35xx havn't moved much since then I was waiting till 1.30xx but then I decided 1.25xx now I'm on to 1.18xx But isn't a large...
yes you probably notice at the start of the week it's full buyers(gap trading)...nothing surprising yet...about apocalypse, yes we can imagine how though it is to people to work more for nothing, being stolen by banks and people, and then we tell them there will be easing and they will have to work more again for losing more purchassing power... that's what Easing is supposed to do...European people must to pay for the government of their country + european governments bubble + Zoo country like the Greeks, and now we must pay with Cheap euro...the reality is we gave them(USA) the most brained, and all we get in exchange is the most unwanted analphabet african people, the worst of all is we have to pay for them too cuz they don't have a job, only childrens...to where i live i see all this sh.t, i can't exit my home without taking the risk being stolen or door enforcing... they alrdy broke my mailbox, they steal all of my mails days after days, burnt my garage with my car Inside just cuz they failed to break the lock...See what kind of people it is... the last week end the police just arrested some of them for illegal underground traffic... they did so many fishy things that even what they did to me doesn't count in the small policemen logic...ive lost my job for some of those sh.tty reason and im back trading...
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/22/bu...tion.html?_r=0
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  • #938,215
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:34am Nov 24, 2014 2:34am
a close below 2392 and 2381 is a bearish sign,, in 1.5 h close is a stronger sign
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  • #938,216
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:41am Nov 24, 2014 2:41am
Quoting gatorinla
a close below 2392 and 2381 is a bearish sign,, in 1.5 h close is a stronger sign {image}
attempting a jail break atm.
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  • #938,217
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:41am Nov 24, 2014 2:41am
Quoting FxTrdr
{quote} Many chance of eur usd going down but first it will touch 1.2440 and sorry i know nothing about other pair
As much as I had hopes for your trade that 1.2440 would be hit, as much did I doubt that as there is no reason for that. I saw the break to 1.2380 coming before the news and I tell you itīs going down further during the news. Everyone is complaining in Germany right now, all the company owners I know, so this will send EURUSD down further with high confidence in my opinion. But I am out for now, +12 pips scalped on the short, letīs see what happens....
  • #938,218
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:48am Nov 24, 2014 2:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} me too... ea 1.423x buy... atm it looks like down under sex for me.. stops below 4220... more setups lower, posted earlier
closing some for 70.. stops are still in the red, but trade is green with the tp's already taken. will reload once more if chance given
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #938,219
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:53am Nov 24, 2014 2:53am
I am long now. Will short if it reach 2493 today
  • #938,220
  • Nov 24, 2014 2:54am Nov 24, 2014 2:54am
Just wondering what reason are you long for? There is no fundamental sign that EURUSD is going up anytime soon. We are down down down further right away.... Some more short pips to gain in 5 minutes....
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