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  • #935,821
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:19am Nov 14, 2014 11:19am
Wow, still watching EC flat while Euro rises everywhere else. Uncanny
  • #935,822
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:20am Nov 14, 2014 11:20am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Looking at the weekly charts we're just hitting for a resistance at the low of last month.... If that turns out to be what i think it is.... Could be a full bodied sell off on the eurusd next week. Will reassess if otherwise...

I too think, that the move down is not fully done, but think same as Skyhook, who sees us in the C-wave up of an ABC-expanded-flat wave 4

Sentiment levels for EUR are extremely low (bearish) right now, and as the COT data reveal, the bet of the large specs is now very one sided.


The name of the game is still, not to bet too one sided on own opinion. At least one should know, at which level own analysis is moot. Stay open minded.

Often-times the gut-feeling an experienced trader has is more worth than 1000 pages of analysis, let alone fundamental thinking.



Have a nice weekend
  • #935,823
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:22am Nov 14, 2014 11:22am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Looking at the weekly charts we're just hitting for a resistance at the low of last month.... If that turns out to be what i think it is.... Could be a full bodied sell off on the eurusd next week. Will reassess if otherwise...

I barely look at weekly or monthly charts.

Since I use EW, too much of information is lost in this high timeframe candles
  • #935,824
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:33am Nov 14, 2014 11:33am
EUR/USD SHORT for me:

@1.25350 TP 1.24700
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #935,825
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:40am Nov 14, 2014 11:40am
I think there will a small gap (TF H1) on monday, so short position is good
Let the market comes to you!
  • #935,826
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:43am Nov 14, 2014 11:43am
Going short is a good idea cause the EURUSD still consolidation .
  • #935,827
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:49am Nov 14, 2014 11:49am
if nothing changes i believe the australasia session on sunday will short it to hell bring it well below @1.246/5
  • #935,828
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:49am Nov 14, 2014 11:49am
for sure a volatile day..

when everyone is short, it does not take much to trigger these moments.

1.23 is a 50% mid from the 2001 one. being so close, one could say we should get a feel for it
  • #935,829
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:50am Nov 14, 2014 11:50am
have a good weekend...PTL..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #935,830
  • Nov 14, 2014 11:50am Nov 14, 2014 11:50am
Quoting KGP
if nothing changes i believe the australasia session on sunday will short it to hell bring it well below @1.246/5
What is this based on?
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #935,831
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:00pm Nov 14, 2014 12:00pm
Quoting KGP
if nothing changes i believe the australasia session on sunday will short it to hell bring it well below @1.246/5
Psst.. It's friday.
  • #935,832
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:04pm Nov 14, 2014 12:04pm
Quoting jcb94
{quote} What is this based on?
my belief... usually after such data published on fridays the australasian session tends to "follow" it when its "clear".... also dont forget Abe...

as long nothing spectacular happens.

todays upward spike has no fundamental background (apart the "technicality reasons"... which on other hand... could be found even if eurusd was hitting 1.9 in an instance...said that i would also have to say that on the other hand TAs should never be underestimated as well...they go "side by side" with FA)
  • #935,833
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:05pm Nov 14, 2014 12:05pm
Quoting DasPips
{quote} Psst.. It's friday.
so?
  • #935,834
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:20pm Nov 14, 2014 12:20pm
I could see it going up to 2600 - 2625 before it goes back down.

Gotta run stops on people thinking it's a good spot to short imo
  • #935,835
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:20pm Nov 14, 2014 12:20pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} my belief... usually after such data published on fridays the australasian session tends to "follow" it when its "clear".... also dont forget Abe... as long nothing spectacular happens. todays upward spike has no fundamental background (apart the "technicality reasons"... which on other hand... could be found even if eurusd was hitting 1.9 in an instance...said that i would also have to say that on the other hand TAs should never be underestimated as well...they go "side by side" with FA)
Thanks. I am quite new to forex so i'm finding it useful to ask lots of questions so I see different view points and analysis!
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #935,836
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:23pm Nov 14, 2014 12:23pm
Quoting jcb94
{quote} Thanks. I am quite new to forex so i'm finding it useful to ask lots of questions so I see different view points and analysis!

you have to understand that this is my opinion and only that...
  • #935,837
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:31pm Nov 14, 2014 12:31pm
Does Draghi usually have a weird contrary spike on the EUR/USD? I still can't find the fundamentals driving this spike, the only thing I'm left with is thinking is MM trying to clear there books before heading down to 1.20xx,

I do see a pattern though in Draghi speaking and spikes? Is there a correlation or am I just imagining things?
  • #935,838
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:32pm Nov 14, 2014 12:32pm
Quoting Eda
Does Draghi usually have a weird contrary spike on the EUR/USD? I still can't find the fundamentals driving this spike, the only thing I'm left with is thinking is MM trying to clear there books before heading down to 1.20xx, I do see a pattern though in Draghi speaking and spikes? Is there a correlation or am I just imagining things?
Trust yourself, your on the right track!
Setup a trade plan where you are comfortable with the risks
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #935,839
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:32pm Nov 14, 2014 12:32pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} you have to understand that this is my opinion and only that...

I know but I still like to know what the opinions are and the reasons behind them.
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #935,840
  • Nov 14, 2014 12:34pm Nov 14, 2014 12:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its now been to 2473+.. closes below it and 2452 are now probably bearish rejections. the same if we went to 2522 or above, about closes being bearish below.. larger tf better... e/chf near 1.2 peg, low is 1.2016 atm, atm level 1.2027... playing it by ear.. 2320/3x coild be setting up the Swiss possibly giving up... waiting is cheap
early Monday dragis will speak. whats the odds of him saying all is ok? i say slim.. 2516/2576 is/was a norm, before 2336. -2522 close is probably bearish.
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