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EURUSD

  • #935,301
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:35pm Nov 13, 2014 2:35pm
Quoting nonlinear
Might just sit out tomorrow and wait for the smoke to clear....

Makes sense; Retail Sales has also an impact
Forex is a losers game.
  • #935,302
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:39pm Nov 13, 2014 2:39pm
Koch speaks: "This inflation outlook has important implications for my outlook for the appropriate evolution of monetary policy. Many observers have suggested that the FOMC should begin to tighten credit conditions by raising its target range for the fed funds rate at some point in 2015. Given the lags associated with monetary policy, such a move would lower anticipated inflation over the following one to two years—that is, serve to push inflation down and further away from the FOMC’s goal of 2 percent. So, under my current outlook, it will be inappropriate for the FOMC to raise interest rates during 2015.
Let me make a couple of comments about this conclusion. First, I’ve made no reference to the falling unemployment rate. I don’t see a falling unemployment rate as a reason to tighten policy unless that fall is generating unduly high inflationary pressures. The essence of my inflation outlook is that, despite recent and anticipated falls in the unemployment rate, I don’t see such pressures at this time.
Second, my conclusion is, of course, dependent on the data. My inflation outlook could rise. If so, my preferred date of interest rate “lift-off” would come forward in time—possibly into next year."
  • #935,303
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:40pm Nov 13, 2014 2:40pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
Short 2480, SL above 2500, target undecided.
Out +4, shorting from higher during asian session.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #935,304
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:42pm Nov 13, 2014 2:42pm
Quoting gstup
{quote} Hi, Can I ask why did you do that(shorting)? Best, G
I will be shorting until 1.2255. Then long between 1.2160-2250. If we go there, of course.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #935,305
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:42pm Nov 13, 2014 2:42pm
Quoting trader121
{quote} 1.2470 is key. If we go below that during asia session, we could see 1.2450 very soon.
I disagree. If we go below 1.2470, we will see 1.2469 even before 1.2450.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #935,306
  • Nov 13, 2014 2:54pm Nov 13, 2014 2:54pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} I disagree. If we go below 1.2470, we will see 1.2469 even before 1.2450.
Hi Chicky how is Buy and Hold? I did this strategy with Stocks a couple of years ago with limited success. As long as stocks kept rising everything went well.
Forex is a losers game.
  • #935,307
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:02pm Nov 13, 2014 3:02pm
Tomorrow, my personal target for euro/dollar is 2370/75.
I expected this pair to go down with pound but it was just because of french bank holiday this week.
let's see if it can close below 2450.
Good luck.
When Scalpers win, I lose and Vice varsa...
  • #935,308
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:07pm Nov 13, 2014 3:07pm
@Goldflake, EUR/GBP might stop its ascend and go down on tomorrow GDP and at the weekly pivot of 0.7963
I have a short order at 0.7963, stop loss 10 pips above, target 0.7915
"Luxury is one of the basic needs", (c), Don Corleone
  • #935,309
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:27pm Nov 13, 2014 3:27pm
Quoting Goldflake
Tomorrow, my personal target for euro/dollar is 2370/75. I expected this pair to go down with pound but it was just because of french bank holiday this week. let's see if it can close below 2450. Good luck.
That matches 100% with my view
Forex is a losers game.
  • #935,310
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:36pm Nov 13, 2014 3:36pm
Quoting trader121
{quote} Hi Chicky how is Buy and Hold? I did this strategy with Stocks a couple of years ago with limited success. As long as stocks kept rising everything went well.
Stocks represent also the property (tangible and intangible) plus many other things like company's growth, new/refined products, expansion, etc. But currencies tend to maintain a balance. Buy and Hold is also true for currencies, however, it has a limit because this market moves in cycles. One has to wait for the right time to buy or sell a currency to hold longer term.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #935,311
  • Nov 13, 2014 3:37pm Nov 13, 2014 3:37pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} you sure?... bro, you graphic just show wtf at the old 2748 level and it was a wrong trend signal xD, what about the MACD? it made a very late buy signal, a 50 pips up move doesn't mean we will go bullish trend, now we must see if fundamental will not cheat us...anyway the only thing clear we both have is the support line...we can't doubt of it. support/resistance is the only thing i can trust...
the support/resistance is like to drink a wine, if the wine is bad, it will end up knowing, and then people will not go buy.
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #935,312
  • Nov 13, 2014 4:04pm Nov 13, 2014 4:04pm
price is forming a triangle on the 4 hour chart we might see another break on the price
  • #935,313
  • Nov 13, 2014 4:45pm Nov 13, 2014 4:45pm
Quoting mr-roma
Bullish trend signal - EURUSD H4 {image}
max in my view 1.2577 . right now is too early to tell if its actually gonna get this far.... but we have lots of data coming out from eur and usd in coming day . so .... we will see :nerd:
  • #935,314
  • Edited 5:04pm Nov 13, 2014 4:47pm | Edited 5:04pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} I disagree. If we go below 1.2470, we will see 1.2469 even before 1.2450.
abs work out complete

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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may not ever go higher 1.25
  • #935,315
  • Nov 13, 2014 6:15pm Nov 13, 2014 6:15pm
If it is to push above 1.25, can we still expect it to get to 1.22?
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #935,316
  • Nov 13, 2014 6:56pm Nov 13, 2014 6:56pm
Quoting jcb94
If it is to push above 1.25, can we still expect it to get to 1.22?
Don't know about 1.2500, but if it goes below 1.2433 and stays there, maybe
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Thief of Wall Street
  • #935,317
  • Nov 13, 2014 7:05pm Nov 13, 2014 7:05pm
Quoting jcb94
If it is to push above 1.25, can we still expect it to get to 1.22?
I personally expect 1.22 from 1.2577 . But if it will go below 1.24 (I have sell stops there) it's opening way to 1.22 area . Hope now is time to finally reach my targets
  • #935,318
  • Nov 13, 2014 7:11pm Nov 13, 2014 7:11pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Don't know about 1.2500, but if it goes below 1.2433 and stays there, maybe {image}
Thank you for your reply and Lamira as well. I am currently short on the EUR/USD and I'm debating whether to close my position for very small profit or hold it in the hope it gets closer to 1.22 where my profit would obviously be much larger.
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #935,319
  • Nov 13, 2014 8:35pm Nov 13, 2014 8:35pm
:nerd:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro23.png Size: 42 KB
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #935,320
  • Nov 13, 2014 8:39pm Nov 13, 2014 8:39pm
oh man the GBPUSD is heck not having a good time.... i wonder how long the EURUSD can stay around where we are now especially when we get closer and closer to the ECB december announcement of more easing to come.....
i wonder how much longer the big boys want to milk this range until they let it collapse for good...

i got a feeling they might try to push EURUSD higher just to bring it back down to create a spike/fake breakout just to lure some sucker EURUSD bulls into falling in a trap....

possibly have a 4H close candle above the Daily hard resistance at previous low of 1.2510, then the next 4H to close back below it and continue to collapse....
seen it all too often if the big boys still sees the EURUSD bearish but wanting to lure in some bulls just to create a reason to push EURUSD to stop out these suckered in bulls...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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