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AUDNZD

  • #421
  • Oct 31, 2014 12:52am Oct 31, 2014 12:52am
Quoting smash1820
{quote} its not stop hunting, apparently whatever the news was, it was VERY bearish for this pair ... but still nothing that next week can't make up for ALTERNATIVELY: IT COULD ALSO BE A MASSIVE SHAKEOUT AND/OR HEADFAKE

This is a shakeout. The lift on the ban impact's 3% of the company's bottom line. That's not significant in the big scheme of things. This is just shaking the tree while Europe and NA are sleeping.
Yay! Pips for everyone!
  • #422
  • Oct 31, 2014 12:58am Oct 31, 2014 12:58am
Quoting Pipsforall
This is a shakeout. The lift on the ban impact's 3% of the company's bottom line. That's not significant in the big scheme of things. This is just shaking the tree while Europe and NA are sleeping.
Precisely.

AUD/NZD may not recover by the end of week (ie: beginning of weekend, ie: around 5 PM on Friday), we may still be negative at that point, but by the end of next week, around 10/07, we should be up big from these levels. So my suggestion to everyone is still go long.

I honestly still don't know what this news was about, BUT, you know as they say, it is best to buy low and sell high, and it is best to buy when the news is worst, and so if this is ACTUALLY bad news, it's probably a good point to buy here!
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  • #423
  • Oct 31, 2014 1:03am Oct 31, 2014 1:03am
Quoting smash1820
{quote} Precisely. AUD/NZD may not recover by the end of week (ie: beginning of weekend, ie: around 5 PM on Friday), we may still be negative at that point, but by the end of next week, around 10/07, we should be up big from these levels. So my suggestion to everyone is still go long. I honestly still don't know what this news was about, BUT, you know as they say, it is best to buy low and sell high, and it is best to buy when the news is worst, and so if this is ACTUALLY bad news, it's probably a good point to buy here!

Here is the news, it's not that big. This pair is still moving to 1.15 if it can get over 1.13. haha

http://www.ft.com/intl/fastft/228952...ra-milk-powder
Yay! Pips for everyone!
  • #424
  • Oct 31, 2014 10:15pm Oct 31, 2014 10:15pm
What a swing! My stop got overrun at 1.1225 before a huge reversal. The pair is now back on an uptrend. The only problem is that I'm no longer in the trade. Such is life.
Given my still bullish longer term view, I am tempted to jump back in Monday. This would go against my rule never to re-enter a trade within a few days after closing it (for profit or for loss). But, may break the rule this time.
  • #425
  • Nov 2, 2014 4:56pm Nov 2, 2014 4:56pm
Mmmm. May want to rethink my entry to short from the level of the September 5th high (1.29) with a 1.10 take profit ... .

Or, in the alternative, throw caution to the wind!
Fireworks are fun ... as long as you don't blow your fingers off.
  • #426
  • Nov 2, 2014 5:03pm Nov 2, 2014 5:03pm
Yes, there was a very weird 50+ pip gap DOWN (I was expecting a gap UP), so I am already disappointed with the start to this week. I lost about 2/3 of my profits over the weekend!!

However, I remain BULLISH on this pair, and will remain so for at least the NEXT 4 WEEKS.

Right now would make a great entry for a 1-month swing trade or investment!

See here:
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AND

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  • #427
  • Nov 2, 2014 7:10pm Nov 2, 2014 7:10pm
Will hold back on my long re-entry today. AUD surprisinglly weak in reaction to soft China PMI data over the weekend (but why is this news?).
  • #428
  • Nov 2, 2014 7:18pm Nov 2, 2014 7:18pm
Quoting Taiyin8
Will hold back on my long re-entry today. AUD surprisinglly weak in reaction to soft China PMI data over the weekend (but why is this news?).
AUD data also weak!!
  • #429
  • Nov 2, 2014 7:30pm Nov 2, 2014 7:30pm
Yes, thanks. Missed that. Even more reasons to hold back.
  • #430
  • Nov 2, 2014 7:36pm Nov 2, 2014 7:36pm
Quoting Taiyin8
Yes, thanks. Missed that. Even more reasons to hold back.
dont forget the USD is still strong across board and by the look of things US is going to open high again...Greenbuck is running the game now!! AUD hmm though decision about a sudden recovery!! if it breaks the .8700 level which is just 7-8pips away!! then it proves it's on a one way ticket down!! it can only power up fundamentally and that isn't happening anytime soon!!
  • #431
  • Nov 5, 2014 11:01am Nov 5, 2014 11:01am
I short this pair because it's a clear tripple(quattro) top on the daily (in the short term), along with other bearish signals. With a MACD downward cross under way who knows what it's gonna bring? And with metal prices hitting new lows I reckon their employment numbers won't look good.
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  • #432
  • Edited 8:00pm Nov 9, 2014 7:15pm | Edited 8:00pm
should break (out) higher later/this week
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  • #433
  • Nov 9, 2014 7:29pm Nov 9, 2014 7:29pm
Feels like 0.876xx will be the top of the trading range this week. Will look to short around that area.
Be like water making its way through cracks.
  • #434
  • Nov 9, 2014 7:36pm Nov 9, 2014 7:36pm
Quoting ClumsyTrader
Feels like 0.876xx will be the top of the trading range this week. Will look to short around that area.
it gapped up. and so far is holding. be very careful.
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  • #435
  • Edited 8:01pm Nov 9, 2014 7:42pm | Edited 8:01pm
ooops sorry guys, I thought I posted this in the NZD/USD forum. wrong one

... But I guess my NU bullishness would also mean AN bearishness, right?
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  • #436
  • Nov 10, 2014 12:28am Nov 10, 2014 12:28am
Round 2, anyone??
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  • #437
  • Nov 10, 2014 12:42am Nov 10, 2014 12:42am
Gidday Smash

Lost a few pips when this pair took a dive

to 1.05

Pretty much held longs thinking no way

will it go below 1.10 Wrong Wrong

In to many charts

But will be looking for an entry

as there so much talk about parity a while back
  • #438
  • Nov 10, 2014 3:03am Nov 10, 2014 3:03am
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday Smash Lost a few pips when this pair took a dive to 1.05 Pretty much held longs thinking no way will it go below 1.10 Wrong Wrong In to many charts But will be looking for an entry as there so much talk about parity a while back
I thought the same, I bought at 1.14 thinking it had bottomed but I held it all the way down and back up to 1.13 for nearly a year, the swap was more than my loss,
Anyhow I made money riding it up and down on the way and came out on top.
Staring at PA and reading fundies on this pair is now second nature to me, I am of the opinion that techs on this pair mean nothing you must look at NZDUSD and AUSUSD.
  • #439
  • Nov 12, 2014 10:02pm Nov 12, 2014 10:02pm
pretty big short heading this way... from 1.106... 1H TF

Targeting 1.1 for 60+ pips
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  • #440
  • Nov 18, 2014 1:54pm Nov 18, 2014 1:54pm
Anyone think we've bottomed out, and are about to rally to the top of the recent trading range, 1.13ish?
Yay! Pips for everyone!
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