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Sonic R. System

  • #77,141
  • Edited 1:18pm Oct 29, 2014 1:04pm | Edited 1:18pm
Quoting Patron
{quote} USDCAD M15 And now a bit of imagination ... As tah say: "The MMs push the price to the upper band of the channel to later swell their profits, and sending abruptly price to round number, 1.11000. And Robbers Banks, we were hoodwinked upward and then rob us with impunity!!" PS: The drawings of the chart are fictitious, any resemblance to reality is purely coincidental. But I do not rule anything happens quite similar. {image}
USDCAD M15
As always, the news has ruined my pretty pictures.
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What will happen?
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #77,142
  • Oct 29, 2014 1:10pm Oct 29, 2014 1:10pm
Quoting traderathome
USDJPY Long Trade Open: M15 Classic. As I see things unfolding here, I perceive the whole number as well established support. All moves down to, or thru it, have been followed by immediate and strong moves back up. I have been back and forth on this. I am still bullish, as in the last trade I closed before my SL might have gotten hit. At that point I was of the mind to back off and wait at least until after FOMC. Since then, the Dragon continues angling upwards, as does the Trend, and the Dragon remains above the Trend. The conclusion I continue...
USDJPY Long Trade Closed:

Closed for gain of 50.3 pips average/total.
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  • #77,143
  • Oct 29, 2014 1:36pm Oct 29, 2014 1:36pm
GBPJPY Short Trade Open:

M15 Classic entries, post-LS. This is based on several points: 1) JPY pairs are overpriced, imho and 2) this pair is especially overpriced, imho and 3) take a look at the Week chart. No TP/SL at this time. JPY releases still ahead this week and could result in high volatility.
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  • #77,144
  • Oct 29, 2014 1:42pm Oct 29, 2014 1:42pm
Scout entry based on Sonic indicators volume activity : each time price wanted to go higher there was much activity and price dive down . After new high and low it was surely bears time I had one position before too but price hit my sl !
... I know I know there was another new high and low too but I had only enough margins for just two positions in green same reason why this week my losses and wins results was so close
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People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #77,145
  • Edited 3:22pm Oct 29, 2014 1:54pm | Edited 3:22pm
For that little candle in M15 with that big volume bar I go for a scout for long . In M5 I see very high activities down there ...
Edit : eurusd
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People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #77,146
  • Edited 2:51pm Oct 29, 2014 2:23pm | Edited 2:51pm
EURGBP: A Crash Course in Market-Maker-O-Nomics (More Profitable Than Abenomics)

Real interesting PA.

Looks like the MMs are holding the price down, while accumulating longs. The lows are getting higher and the tops are prevented from being higher. And,,.......nice volume indicating how actively the MMs are at the work of accumulating longs,.....after they moved the price well below a whole number. too, I might add.
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Edit (a bit later....):

Okay, now that the MMs have filled their lunch pail up with longs, it is time to put it down and get back to work; remove the price ceiling and start manipulating the price back upwards to build in a profit on those longs.

Ahhhh....a "free market, based on supply and demand"!

Of course, it means a good supply of suckers, a non-negotiable demand on the part of the MMs to be able to steal from them, and a market set up so the MMs are legally free to do so!
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  • #77,147
  • Edited 2:55pm Oct 29, 2014 2:25pm | Edited 2:55pm
Quoting Patron
{quote} USDCAD M15 As always, the news has ruined my pretty pictures. {image} What will happen? {image}
http://www.fxforaliving.com/web/port...anzabal-humor/

It is subtitled in Spanish. I have not found in English. But I rolled laughing.
Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #77,148
  • Oct 29, 2014 2:46pm Oct 29, 2014 2:46pm
Quoting wisemadguy
For that little candle in M15 with that big volume bar I go for a scout for long . In M5 I see very high activities down there ... {image}
Congrats!
I guess talking about EURUSD (does not look good chart, but can guess). I walked distracted, and if I inadvertently did not win it neither up nor down.
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This graph has its antecedents.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...24#post7822524
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #77,149
  • Oct 29, 2014 3:09pm Oct 29, 2014 3:09pm
Quoting Patron
{quote} Congrats! I guess talking about EURUSD (does not look good chart, but can guess). I walked distracted, and if I inadvertently did not win it neither up nor down. {image} This graph has its antecedents. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...24#post7822524 {image}
Sorry sorry , yes it was eurusd .
People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #77,150
  • Oct 29, 2014 5:44pm Oct 29, 2014 5:44pm
Batman usually comes before the big move
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  • #77,151
  • Oct 29, 2014 6:16pm Oct 29, 2014 6:16pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} EURGBP Long Trade Open: M15 Classic long "re-entry" on pull back. No TP/SL at this time. {image}
EURGBP Long Trade Update:

Added M1 Classic/M15 Scout to trade. Price was retraced twice into a support area and an M1 setup came on the second event. Still no TP/SL set.
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  • #77,152
  • Oct 29, 2014 6:51pm Oct 29, 2014 6:51pm
USDCAD Long Trade Open:

M1 Classic entry, pre-LS. There remains the possibility (chances getting better now) of a breakout upwards, as depicted on your Month chart and as previously posted about. If this happens, the few pips missed betwixt here and the launch pad yesterday really do not matter. No TP/SL yet. Come the LS today, volatility could increase, and the greedy MMs might be tempted to Whack it, which would make a nice up-to-date Stop Hunt on longs.
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  • #77,153
  • Oct 29, 2014 7:18pm Oct 29, 2014 7:18pm
Quoting traderathome
AUDUSD Short Trade Open: M15 Classic entry on price retrace to setup EP zone. There is a nice - but tight - three wave bear pattern starting at the highs of the US session today. My thinking is that the run down was genuine short selling - MMs building short positions - and now they are manipulating the price back up to resume doing more of the same ahead of the coming AUD high impact release in the next Asian session. No TP/SL at this time. {image}
AUDUSD Short Trade Cl;osed:

Closed for gain of 9.6 pips average, 182.6 pips total.

An update of this trade was posted since the initial post. In summary, I added while trade went red - shame on me - and there are several consequences as a result: 1) I lost some soldiers at the worst possible time, which 2) cost me considerable profit, and 3) I could have taken a modest SL, reversed the trade and made really good money both up and back down!
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  • #77,154
  • Edited 8:56pm Oct 29, 2014 7:49pm | Edited 8:56pm
CADJPY Short Trade Open:

M1 Scout entries. This trade is based primarily on my outlook that all the JPY pairs are top heavy now, and that PA on JPY pairs shows increased signs (PVSRA) of weakness. For this pair specifically, the price is close up to RWH and the Asian session MMs seem to be accumulating shorts up here at this time; extenuating circumstances that I feel make Scout entries plausible. Of course, the price could go higher, if not by the Asian session MMs, then by the LS MMs. Or, price could start dropping before the LS, and then the LS MMs hike the price back up, but maybe not so high. There are all sorts of possibilities as to how the price might move next. And Scouts like these are always of increased risk. Time will tell, but I am prepared to add further to this trade, between now and the JPY releases, if the MMs whip it higher and then strong PVSRA indications of bears follow.
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Edit: Soon after posting, the MMs did whip the price up. Still not to RWH. And the area between RWH and DR1 could be a target high for the day, but this is speculative. I have added Scouts to the trade, and will continue to do so if the MMs continue the price push upwards if I am at the computer to monitor the situation. Things could continue in this fashion right up to the CAD release Friday.
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Edit: The MMs continued to push the price up. A pending order was triggered. Will price continue up? I don't know, but it is reasonable that it will, especially since this latest high did show high activity. It is a PVSRA indication the MMs are going higher with it. This means a push above the half number is likely, maybe to DR1 or even higher. Often times a push like this does not stop until we see a volume bar that is comparable to the tallest volume bars since the start of the push. Time will tell.
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  • #77,155
  • Oct 29, 2014 9:34pm Oct 29, 2014 9:34pm
CADJPY: An Exhibition of "BARF!" Brought to You By Your Friendly Robber Banks/Market Makers

This cute name "BARF!"was lovingly given to this standard price manipulation of theirs by none other than the market making "Thieves of Wall Street".

Just gotta luv "free markets, based on supply and demand". It means, of course, a supply of suckers, the non-negotiable demand by the market makers to be able to steal from them, and a market that is set up so the market makers are legally free to do so, simply by manipulating prices!

What we have here is a "Classic" age old maneuver by the Robber Banks/MMs, and iron clad evidence they are corrupt thieves.
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  • #77,156
  • Edited 11:05pm Oct 29, 2014 9:47pm | Edited 11:05pm
Quoting Patron
{quote} Congrats! I guess talking about EURUSD (does not look good chart, but can guess). I walked distracted, and if I inadvertently did not win it neither up nor down. {image} This graph has its antecedents. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...24#post7822524 {image}
Correlation between pairs.

If you look at the EURUSD and AUDUSD, we see that they have been strongly correlated. I mean they have made a correction, background, equal, if we save two differences.
The EURUSD wave B has a more or less normal zigzag shape. Instead, the B AUDUSD had a complex triangle wave.
The other difference is that the AUD was stronger than the EUR, so the B (accumulation-distribution) adopted the more complex wave form of a triangle, to make more time within a smaller range.
In the end, both pairs C wave was aborted by the news.
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This chart also had its antecedent.
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #77,157
  • Oct 29, 2014 9:53pm Oct 29, 2014 9:53pm
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Bull volume analysis is decrease, hover above 50... PA screaming Short... Followed by a Nice Stophunt (Batman - feinan said that), and another wham bamp.... all resistance being wipe out by previous PA that encourage weak short holder to reverse into long, and more buyer jump into long position. Well, my finger is my safety, so I know when to hold, fold, or even add. one classic only, and it result 10%... I never did fancy analysis, just jump when PA, volume, and classic occur. Too much analysis is the sign that you losses your confidence. Here is the classic result on m15
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It's all started from page one
  • #77,158
  • Oct 29, 2014 10:24pm Oct 29, 2014 10:24pm
Quoting Gupito1508
{image} Bull volume analysis is decrease, hover above 50... PA screaming Short... Followed by a Nice Stophunt (Batman - feinan said that), and another wham bamp.... all resistance being wipe out by previous PA that encourage weak short holder to reverse into long, and more buyer jump into long position. Well, my finger is my safety, so I know when to hold, fold, or even add. one classic only, and it result 10%... I never did fancy analysis, just jump when PA, volume, and classic occur. Too much analysis is the sign that you losses your confidence....
Greeting Pak Gupito,

Your English is very good....just like native English. Good catch of pips.

Regards
While knowledge speak up, the wisdom listen down
  • #77,159
  • Oct 29, 2014 11:01pm Oct 29, 2014 11:01pm
Quoting Gupito1508
{image} Bull volume analysis is decrease, hover above 50... PA screaming Short... Followed by a Nice Stophunt (Batman - feinan said that), and another wham bamp.... all resistance being wipe out by previous PA that encourage weak short holder to reverse into long, and more buyer jump into long position. Well, my finger is my safety, so I know when to hold, fold, or even add. one classic only, and it result 10%... I never did fancy analysis, just jump when PA, volume, and classic occur. Too much analysis is the sign that you losses your confidence....
Hello Gupito. I congratulate you on the result.

But I do not agree on the nomenclature you use. The pattern that you term as "Classic" is not, but that is the end of a correction (for who wants to know: C wave, fourth wave, higher level).

After this correction, the fifth (and last) wave reached forming a double top in zone of resistance, and the news closely.

This is not a criticism, nor is personal, but general. There is a chronic weakness of this thread confuse this type of corrections, with classics. That is why I insist so much, we have to study the basics of waves and corrections. Then we can confuse or not, but it's a tool that would help us avoid mistakes.
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #77,160
  • Oct 29, 2014 11:08pm Oct 29, 2014 11:08pm
Patron,

I hate to say it, but in the last 24 hours you have posted ten times with all manner of "analysis", "corrections", "C waves", etc, etc., .......and not a single trade! The worst part of it is, it is too much analysis, which is mostly a waste of time - I readily admit that about my own analysis - but yours is a lot further from the Sonic R. way of looking at things.

Do try to get back on track here. We are not "analysis" driven here. We are Classic setup driven here. And for that, we need no analysis. Just good reactions to what the MMs do with price.

-tah
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