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  • #932,121
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:00am Oct 28, 2014 11:00am
Quoting 3Davy
{quote} What does that mean?

Anyway big option barrier is a target for Banks an funds as if they have that as their target and it gets hit they get paid.. so the bigger the option barrier the more chance in a sense is it will be hit in a day or so.....

And its not surprising there being an option barrier at 12720 etc as we will move to critical level at around 12785/128.. people will try and take it lower low from the initial move.. but we break above Weekly S1 then that will be unlikely and we will retrace and go higher
  • #932,122
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:06am Oct 28, 2014 11:06am
Quoting egkid
why no one talk about 1.2747 while it's top important point!!
Do u see now how important 2747 and if u think u know the reason

no u still not wait and see in future
  • #932,123
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:07am Oct 28, 2014 11:07am
Wednesday 29th October
EUR/USD: 1.2645 (1.2BLN), 1.2680 (400M), 1.2700-25 (3BLN), 1.2750 (356M)
USD/CHF: 0.9475 (323M).
GBP/USD: 1.6200 (825M)
EUR/GBP: 0.7800 (250M),
AUD/USD: 0.8800 (229M).
NZD/USD: 0.7900 (564M)
USD/JPY: 107.00 (762M), 107.25 (325M), 108.00 (769M).
EUR/JPY: 136.45 (225M)
  • #932,124
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:10am Oct 28, 2014 11:10am
Target 2805
  • #932,125
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:14am Oct 28, 2014 11:14am
EUR/USD vol trades in london

  1. O/n 1.2700 at 7.0, O/n 1.2725 at 6.5 nd 6.75, Thurs 1.28 at 10.5 (gets FOMC)
  2. 8 day 1.2640 at 6.8, 2wk atm 7.65-7.5, 10 Nov 1.2630 sold 7.75
  3. 12 Nov 1.2645 at 7.55, 19 Nov 1.30 sold 7.0, 1mth atm sold 6.85-6.8
  4. 19 Dec 1.25 vs 1.2250 at 7.85/8.35 v/n, 3mth atm 7.5-6.9
  5. 6 Feb 1.2875 sold 6.95, 6mth vs 1yr atm 0.35, 1mth vs 6mth 0.25 on 350 v/n

  • #932,126
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:16am Oct 28, 2014 11:16am
Quoting nbfx
EUR/USD vol trades in london O/n 1.2700 at 7.0, O/n 1.2725 at 6.5 nd 6.75, Thurs 1.28 at 10.5 (gets FOMC) 8 day 1.2640 at 6.8, 2wk atm 7.65-7.5, 10 Nov 1.2630 sold 7.75 12 Nov 1.2645 at 7.55, 19 Nov 1.30 sold 7.0, 1mth atm sold 6.85-6.8 19 Dec 1.25 vs 1.2250 at 7.85/8.35 v/n, 3mth atm 7.5-6.9 6 Feb 1.2875 sold 6.95, 6mth vs 1yr atm 0.35, 1mth vs 6mth 0.25 on 350 v/n
How should this information be interpreted?
  • #932,127
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:19am Oct 28, 2014 11:19am
Quoting egkid
{quote} Do u see now how important 2747 and if u think u know the reason no u still not wait and see in future
1.2747? o.o so if it doesn't break we know where it go
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #932,128
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:25am Oct 28, 2014 11:25am
Quoting egkid
{quote} Do u see now how important 2747 and if u think u know the reason no u still not wait and see in future
Isn't it funny to brag about sth that has absolutely no significant importance at all? Why are you trying so hard? It went above 1.2760, clearly that level is not respected in any meaningful way? Do you have to brag every day for each of your post? I think you are a good trader but why do you require attention so badly egkid?

I think longs are safe if one has a stop around 1.2600 area, who knows what is going to happen?
  • #932,129
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:32am Oct 28, 2014 11:32am
From our point of view it gives a heads up of what strikes/expiries are trading and how risky they are thought to be.
  • #932,130
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:41am Oct 28, 2014 11:41am
Quoting P.technique
{quote} Isn't it funny to brag about sth that has absolutely no significant importance at all? Why are you trying so hard? It went above 1.2760, clearly that level is not respected in any meaningful way? Do you have to brag every day for each of your post? I think you are a good trader but why do you require attention so badly egkid? I think longs are safe if one has a stop around 1.2600 area, who knows what is going to happen?
That is the case blind man think all people is blind
yes u r right not significant importance at all

How shall i blame a blind man but let me do what i image it is right and go on ur own way
  • #932,131
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:43am Oct 28, 2014 11:43am
Quoting RussJ
{quote} Anyway big option barrier is a target for Banks an funds as if they have that as their target and it gets hit they get paid.. so the bigger the option barrier the more chance in a sense is it will be hit in a day or so..... And its not surprising there being an option barrier at 12720 etc as we will move to critical level at around 12785/128.. people will try and take it lower low from the initial move.. but we break above Weekly S1 then that will be unlikely and we will retrace and go higher
more or less you are correct although the options dont have so much input to the variance of the PA as they used to (long long long time ago) but still if you add up that from 1.2645 up to 1.725 (ironically the "area" PA was "fooling around" since at least Thursday last week) tomorrow's "number is considerable (nearly more than 4.5 bl) so i guess it much have a factor.


for all who asked me where i got the info its was well beyond the first "major" US data release on a site ... and got me thinking due to the size of options at that area (which was trading back then) while i was placing my positions back then... which were sort as i didnt expect such a bad set of results on the first US "rollout" (i was planning for long later on after the consumer confidence as i thought then that after miguels' initial rocket going downward twice the market will retract )
  • #932,132
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:49am Oct 28, 2014 11:49am
Quoting egkid
{quote} That is the case blind man think all people is blind yes u r right not significant importance at all How shall i blame a blind man but let me do what i image it is right and go on ur own way
OK champ, so you mean shorts are safe and today's high will prevent any attempt to break to the upside? Isn't it all about possibility in the end? The possibility of moving above today's high is significantly higher than going down, what this blind man sees is consolidation below today's high. Well most of the time it should keep going up but what do I know? Even if I am right, I won't come back and brag about it.

Trade well champ, as I said I believe you are a good trader. My criticism was not intended to throw dirt on your ability to trade but on the non-stop bragging, even when it wasn't the right time for it.
  • #932,133
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:51am Oct 28, 2014 11:51am
EUR/USD started climbing again and it looks like it is headed for target 1.2830, where there is a significant resistance. I'm assuming that it will begin testing that resistance again, but at this point whether it will be able to break above it is anyone's guess.
  • #932,134
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:55am Oct 28, 2014 11:55am
E/U as usual range whoring
  • #932,135
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:55am Oct 28, 2014 11:55am
Quoting nbfx
Wednesday 29th October EUR/USD: 1.2645 (1.2BLN), 1.2680 (400M), 1.2700-25 (3BLN), 1.2750 (356M) USD/CHF: 0.9475 (323M). GBP/USD: 1.6200 (825M) EUR/GBP: 0.7800 (250M), AUD/USD: 0.8800 (229M). NZD/USD: 0.7900 (564M) USD/JPY: 107.00 (762M), 107.25 (325M), 108.00 (769M). EUR/JPY: 136.45 (225M)

NBFX.. where are you getting this information with regards to tomorrows options from??? Thanks
  • #932,136
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:56am Oct 28, 2014 11:56am
Quoting pedro319
EURUSD Harmonic picture. Daily chart: Possibility for harmonic BFly Sell pattern still exists until the lows at 1.2500 are taken out but usually price would complete one of these .618 (broken), .707 (current) or .786 (1.2585) before moving up. Price has bounced from .707 daily chart (last week lows) but we haven't a reversal swing yet indicating upward move on this tf. A Daily close above 1.2707 Weekly pivot or pattern on smaller tf would give a more clear indication but I don't see any yet. In the case this is confirmed by PA this BFly Sell could...
EURUSD
We can see now more clearly how the inner ABCD is shaping inside the BFly Sell. daily chart. 1.3000 doesn't seem that awkward now. We should have some retracement before that, I will be looking at the hourly chart for confluence levels even with the 15 Mins and pivots, daily and 4 hrs for adding longs.
If the Fed meeting produces dovish comments, that could trigger some acceleration towards these targets.
Manage your risk and use invalidation points to exit trades
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  • #932,137
  • Oct 28, 2014 11:56am Oct 28, 2014 11:56am
Quoting P.technique
{quote} Isn't it funny to brag about sth that has absolutely no significant importance at all? Why are you trying so hard? It went above 1.2760, clearly that level is not respected in any meaningful way? Do you have to brag every day for each of your post? I think you are a good trader but why do you require attention so badly egkid? I think longs are safe if one has a stop around 1.2600 area, who knows what is going to happen?
back at ya. Why are you trying so hard to be a dick. surely u have already accomplished this. why, be here posting what has already happened, " u think a long is safe at 2600 stop area" great. it tells us a lot of what u dont.. like entry tp ect. keep spamming/harassing to prove u dont have a clue.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #932,138
  • Oct 28, 2014 12:01pm Oct 28, 2014 12:01pm
Ch is broken but not clear...
Just opinion!
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  • #932,139
  • Oct 28, 2014 12:04pm Oct 28, 2014 12:04pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} EURUSD We can see now more clearly how the inner ABCD is shaping inside the BFly Sell. daily chart. 1.3000 doesn't seem that awkward now. We should have some retracement before that, I will be looking at the hourly chart for confluence levels even with the 15 Mins and pivots, daily and 4 hrs for adding longs. If the Fed meeting produces dovish comments, that could trigger some acceleration towards these targets. Manage your risk and use invalidation points to exit trades {image}
Next hours till London will b nice one
  • #932,140
  • Oct 28, 2014 12:04pm Oct 28, 2014 12:04pm
Quoting P.technique
{quote} CPI data in the afternoon, that will decide the direction for the rest of the day and week.
enlightening, the closest one came to saying something w/o saying anything. nice trade. i guess it meant long w/o saying. last Wednesday, the old "i know where its going but cant say trade" the rest is mostly attacks
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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