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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #49,081
  • Oct 16, 2014 3:13am Oct 16, 2014 3:13am
Quoting Liam0530
yup, im also long a few trades . sucks
yup, it does suck, but the one good thing you could count on for sure without a doubt about the bulls is:

they will always come back
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  • #49,082
  • Oct 16, 2014 3:27am Oct 16, 2014 3:27am
Quoting Liam0530
yup, im also long a few trades . sucks
hey, hang in there. as long as you are willing to wait a few days, you should be ok....

i just closed out of GBP/AUD position and so gained some margin in the process, and am using that margin now to go long USD/JPY. 15m TF looks like a "rebound", and 4H TF is questionable.

but it seems worth the risk to me...

good luck, and g0d bless
Please check out my blog at https://from-zero-to-hero . net
  • #49,083
  • Oct 16, 2014 3:29am Oct 16, 2014 3:29am
Quoting smash1820
{quote} hey, hang in there. as long as you are willing to wait a few days, you should be ok.... i just closed out of GBP/AUD position and so gained so margin in the process, and am using that margin now to go long USD/JPY. 15m TF looks like a rebound, and 4H TF is questionable. but it seems worth the risk to me... good luck, and g0d bless
thanx and good luck to you, and oh yeah im definately still in this trade! got a nice one in from 105.3 also :nerd:
  • #49,084
  • Oct 16, 2014 3:44am Oct 16, 2014 3:44am
Quoting Liam0530
thanx and good luck to you, and oh yeah im definately still in this trade! got a nice one in from 105.3 also :nerd:
Yeah, good... nice. I would suggest holding on to the trade until AT LEAST the 4 hour time frame completes it's oscillation.

... Eventually, this thing will break 110 again, and sooner than later, at that...
Please check out my blog at https://from-zero-to-hero . net
  • #49,085
  • Oct 16, 2014 3:58am Oct 16, 2014 3:58am
Quoting smash1820
Yeah, good... nice. I would suggest holding on to the trade until AT LEAST the 4 hour time frame completes it's oscillation. ... Eventually, this thing will break 110 again, and sooner than later, at that...
I would say, ~105.85 is the place to buy, as of now... if you are able to get that price!
Please check out my blog at https://from-zero-to-hero . net
  • #49,086
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:12am Oct 16, 2014 4:12am
Quoting smash1820
{quote} I would say, ~105.85 is the place to buy, as of now... if you are able to get that price!
That's the place it's rejecting from
  • #49,087
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:19am Oct 16, 2014 4:19am
It shouldn't go any lower than 105.50 today. If it does touch there then we shall see a major bounce.
  • #49,088
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:31am Oct 16, 2014 4:31am
Looks like we are going to touch the bottom again.
  • #49,089
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:31am Oct 16, 2014 4:31am
Setting up long position @ 105.50
  • #49,090
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:45am Oct 16, 2014 5:45am
Sorry bulls, but the market is no longer expecting a rate hike in 2015. Federal funds futures are now being bought heavily in the mid-2016 range. This bull run is probably dead and y'all need to stop trying to catch a falling knife.
  • #49,091
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:56am Oct 16, 2014 5:56am
Quoting DonaldPump
Sorry bulls, but the market is no longer expecting a rate hike in 2015. Federal funds futures are now being bought heavily in the mid-2016 range. This bull run is probably dead and y'all need to stop trying to catch a falling knife.
All currencies are affected by a global economic slowdown, including the Yen. The Fed are just being slightly more realistic in terms of where they are at, which has led to this huge sell off knee jerk reaction. But the Dollar is still seen as more of a safe haven currency than the Yen. Also, the latest manufacturing, exports and employment figures from the US look quite promising, in comparison. Once the panic settles and investors alter their strategies we shall see the USD resume it's climb in this particular pair. If you look back on your charts to when situations like this have happened over the past few years, the USD has always recovered very quickly.
  • #49,092
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:58am Oct 16, 2014 5:58am
Buy 0.4 lot AUD/JPY @ 92.00

H1 and H4 bullish divergence confirmed.
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  • #49,093
  • Oct 16, 2014 5:59am Oct 16, 2014 5:59am
Quoting amikaking
Buy 0.4 lot AUD/JPY @ 92.00 H1 and H4 bullish divergence confirmed. {image} {image}
So what. That can be undone in a few pips.
  • #49,094
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:10am Oct 16, 2014 6:10am
Quoting Mpt
{quote} So what. That can be undone in a few pips.
short term it might bounce, anyway its not a good idea to short in a demand zone and given this divergence scenario

target around 93.00
  • #49,095
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:15am Oct 16, 2014 6:15am
Quoting amikaking
{quote} short term it might bounce, anyway its not a good idea to short in a demand zone and given this divergence scenario target around 93.00
I have no idea what a "demand " zone is, other than your own expectation.
  • #49,096
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:39am Oct 16, 2014 6:39am
Quoting amikaking
{quote} short term it might bounce, anyway its not a good idea to short in a demand zone and given this divergence scenario target around 93.00
I think i see what u mean....
  • #49,097
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:43am Oct 16, 2014 6:43am
Long 1,0565
  • #49,098
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:45am Oct 16, 2014 6:45am
Quoting Mpt
{quote} I have no idea what a "demand " zone is, other than your own expectation.
u can keep quiet unless u can come out with your own analysis and not talking crap here
  • #49,099
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:45am Oct 16, 2014 6:45am
I hope 50 % fibo will hold this for while. SL below last lows TP 107
  • #49,100
  • Edited 7:02am Oct 16, 2014 6:50am | Edited 7:02am
Quoting Dr.Blue
{quote} All currencies are affected by a global economic slowdown, including the Yen. The Fed are just being slightly more realistic in terms of where they are at, which has led to this huge sell off knee jerk reaction. But the Dollar is still seen as more of a safe haven currency than the Yen. Also, the latest manufacturing, exports and employment figures from the US look quite promising, in comparison. Once the panic settles and investors alter their strategies we shall see the USD resume it's climb in this particular pair. If you look back on...
Yeah, I agree. If the market was overly concerned about the postponement of the rate hike, there would be an even greater reaction than this - IMO. The U.S. remains more attractive than Japan - that hasn't changed. Plus, this downward move is looking worn out (IMO).
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