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NZD/USD

  • #8,021
  • Oct 15, 2014 4:26pm Oct 15, 2014 4:26pm
Quoting Dano12
good short 8070 77
reason?
  • #8,022
  • Oct 15, 2014 4:34pm Oct 15, 2014 4:34pm
58.1, wouldn't trade this with someone else's money! Go long and watch the NZD central bank run the price down. the only way I would have traded this is if the number had been close to 50 or below.
  • #8,023
  • Oct 15, 2014 4:55pm Oct 15, 2014 4:55pm
Quoting edge540
{quote} What on earth are you guys on about?Why don't you post something of value instead of all the blah blah blah blah?
As I told you Edge, the NZDUsd will get into this channel, one way or another... I dont even trust in myself and i lost a lot of money too... Well If i dont pay i never learn...
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  • #8,024
  • Oct 15, 2014 5:07pm Oct 15, 2014 5:07pm
Just a thought.
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There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #8,025
  • Oct 15, 2014 6:43pm Oct 15, 2014 6:43pm
Wave e complete at resistance.

Correction may become more complex but
looking for a safe short entry after a pullback pushing
through the bottom of the triangle this time.

So much AUD AND USD news coming out soon.
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  • #8,026
  • Edited 7:54pm Oct 15, 2014 6:53pm | Edited 7:54pm
Quoting eqshack
CHANGE IN GDT PRICE INDEX FROM PREVIOUS EVENT +1.4{image} % dairy auction
Thank you!

Good NZ data and weaker-than-expected US data (Speizer said) for this rise (good thing for me)
but for Asian session I think NZD/USD will drop a bit as usual (AUS MI Inflation Expectations drops).

I am waiting for his (Guy Debelle) speech (sell before this and buy after this if possible)
and US Jobless Claims today.
(sell NZD/USD after Yellen's speech tomorrow).
  • #8,027
  • Edited 9:20pm Oct 15, 2014 8:16pm | Edited 9:20pm
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart (HKT9:00 THURS,16OCT2014) for NZD/USD.

where
yellow circles and orange circles marked as reference.

*********
NZD/AUD
(HKT10:00)=0.9072
(HKT10:17)=0.9083

*********
  • #8,028
  • Oct 15, 2014 8:27pm Oct 15, 2014 8:27pm
IMO, 0.80 is likely going to be taken
  • #8,029
  • Oct 15, 2014 9:20pm Oct 15, 2014 9:20pm
NZDUSD 1H
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All posts are my personal opinion
  • #8,030
  • Oct 15, 2014 9:58pm Oct 15, 2014 9:58pm
Gidday NZ

Every long been hit

So tempting

You would think 0.80

pump an a big dump

must be due soon
  • #8,031
  • Edited Oct 16, 2014 6:36am Oct 15, 2014 11:13pm | Edited Oct 16, 2014 6:36am
Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart (1-3OCT2014) NZD/USD.


Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart (8-10OCT2014) NZD/USD.

For both charts,
there are 6 peaks for the flat-top hill period and then starts to drop.

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Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour (15-16OCT2014) NZD/USD (up to NOW).
So do the current flat-top hill period also get 6 peaks today?
(Now already 5 peaks, last candle is HKT12:00 16OCT2014.)

*********
Really, 6 peaks on the flat-top hill period from HKT18:00 15OCT2014 to HKT18:00 16OCT2014 (although the cycle did not finish) for the below chart.
Attached Image


Peaks :
1st : candle HKT21:00 15OCT2014
2nd : candle HKT22:00 15OCT2014
3rd : candle HKT0:00 16OCT2014
4th : candle HKT4:00 16OCT2014
5th : candle HKT10:00 16OCT2014
6th : candle HKT13:00 16OCT2014.

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(candle HKT18:00 16OCT2014 : last candle) : start the 1st step of staircase.
so for me, tomorrow or next monday can buy NZD back (not today as a step will take about 20candles for 1 hr candle chart).

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Attached Image

Attached Image

The above two charts show the 1st step of staircase (1 hr chart).
got 4 peaks.

*********

*********
  • #8,032
  • Oct 16, 2014 12:12am Oct 16, 2014 12:12am
Hello NZ

Anybody taking longs up here

Will they let it go through 0.80 or not

What does everybody think
  • #8,033
  • Oct 16, 2014 12:16am Oct 16, 2014 12:16am
Quoting eliteincome
Hello NZ Anybody taking longs up here Will they let it go through 0.80 or not What does everybody think
The NZ govt wants the Kiwi down at .6500,the exporters want it down there.The only people that want a high NZD are importers of consumer goods and unfortunately that doesn't make an economy.Sooner or later she's going to fall and my bet is soon.
  • #8,034
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:02am Oct 16, 2014 4:02am
Quoting edge540
{quote} The NZ govt wants the Kiwi down at .6500,the exporters want it down there.The only people that want a high NZD are importers of consumer goods and unfortunately that doesn't make an economy.Sooner or later she's going to fall and my bet is soon.
Thanks
  • #8,035
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:28am Oct 16, 2014 4:28am
Quoting edge540
{quote} The NZ govt wants the Kiwi down at .6500,the exporters want it down there.The only people that want a high NZD are importers of consumer goods and unfortunately that doesn't make an economy.Sooner or later she's going to fall and my bet is soon.
if NZD can hit 0.65, house price will surge.
  • #8,036
  • Oct 16, 2014 4:53am Oct 16, 2014 4:53am
Quoting zew
{quote} if NZD can hit 0.65, house price will surge.
Not necessarily,all the govt has to do is increase deposit requirements and that will help stifle the property market.Let's face it the average Kiwi has their head in the sand when it comes to a potential property crash,every other developed country has had a property meltdown and it could easily happen to us.The fact is property in NZ is grossly overvalued.
  • #8,037
  • Oct 16, 2014 7:52am Oct 16, 2014 7:52am
Now nzdusd at the intersection of the bullish channel and the old fashioned bearish channel.. What will take... I bet the bearish old fashioned will be.... Why? Fundamentals... The most important fact is that the Nzd NEVER touch 0,8000, the jobless claims lower than long time ago... And the dollar index now in the right value. RTM you was right, "the NZD dont will touch 0,8000 in a long time".
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  • #8,038
  • Oct 16, 2014 10:55am Oct 16, 2014 10:55am
Damn Capitan Wallstreet (Mr Bullard) The SP500 was 1835pts, after hi talks about the QE delay the SP rally to 1865 and goes green... This sort of "interviews" should be regulated!!!
  • #8,039
  • Oct 16, 2014 6:41pm Oct 16, 2014 6:41pm
Good morning!

I have just read a news :
https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/news/nz...194400034.html

It wrote :
~
"Sentiment generally is still negative on the kiwi dollar but every now and again we are seeing a bit of a bounce whenever there is a selloff in the US dollar."
OMF's Morgan expects the kiwi to trade between 78.90 US cents and 80.10 cents today.
Tonight, traders will be eyeing a speech by Fed chair Janet Yellen. The US also has house building data and consumer confidence reports.
~
  • #8,040
  • Edited 6:29am Oct 17, 2014 12:44am | Edited 6:29am
I think I should also draw some charts occasionally.
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The above charts are weekly candle charts for NZD/USD.
It is better let other people to comment the chart than I talk.
Go ahead.

*********
Refer to my previous post (#POST 8,034) :

Attached Image

The above chart is 1 hour chart for NZD/USD (last candle HKT17:00 17OCT2014).
4 peaks for the 1st step of staircase (maybe it will drop soon).

*********
(HKT18:30)NZD/AUD=0.9046

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