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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #48,941
  • Oct 11, 2014 9:29am Oct 11, 2014 9:29am
Quoting wyley187
{quote} Its all about risk on/off...look at any of the yen crosses the last few days, ECB not adding more stimulus, IMF growth forecasts=equities,commodities,risky assets,carry trades DOWN, S&P 500 timidly broke a support friday. If risk aversion really gains traction it doesnt matter what the BOJ does or bad data from japan, you name it/jpy will go down, next to really fall will be the GBP/USD and aud/USD(true risk aversion trumps interest rate expectations or differentials) because the dollar is a safe haven, just not against the yen...of course...
I have a doubt. Always Gold prices have risen when people wants to avoid risks from stocks. If prices of gold raises, should not the AUDUSD pair rise too?
  • #48,942
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:14am Oct 12, 2014 2:14am
Hello JPY

Yeah ditched some longs

Bus a tad over loaded

Yen has a nasty retrace

Still got some an one short

You can only hold on to lemons for so long

All good chasing shorts but at some point

the abacus is required.Easy to have your profits chipped

away week after week.

Got pending longs set 106.5 TP 109
  • #48,943
  • Oct 12, 2014 2:46am Oct 12, 2014 2:46am
I have had success using Action Forex's Action Insight levels on all the pairs they cover and they are in agreement with your pending long, and mine. http://www.actionforex.com/action-in...sdjpy-outlook/

Quoting eliteincome
Hello JPY Yeah ditched some longs Bus a tad over loaded Yen has a nasty retrace Still got some an one short You can only hold on to lemons for so long All good chasing shorts but at some point the abacus is required.Easy to have your profits chipped away week after week. Got pending longs set 106.5 TP 109
  • #48,944
  • Oct 12, 2014 3:29am Oct 12, 2014 3:29am
Looking at the weekly, I am opening shorts on open for targets well below current prices. I am expecting the whole move from 101 to be retraced.
  • #48,945
  • Oct 12, 2014 8:29am Oct 12, 2014 8:29am
total chaos here , nkt
  • #48,946
  • Oct 12, 2014 12:53pm Oct 12, 2014 12:53pm
Inserted Video
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #48,947
  • Oct 12, 2014 4:15pm Oct 12, 2014 4:15pm
woah

nice start huh?
  • #48,948
  • Oct 12, 2014 4:40pm Oct 12, 2014 4:40pm
Hi everybody
USD/JPY is fiddling around daily Kumo. Strong resistance there, it will go down if pierced, IMO. What do you think?

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  • #48,949
  • Oct 12, 2014 5:11pm Oct 12, 2014 5:11pm
Nice selling in just first hour of the week, 106.9 and 106.5 here we come
50 pip drop godamn.... This pair has really become something

long at 108.0 and 107.5
  • #48,950
  • Oct 12, 2014 5:21pm Oct 12, 2014 5:21pm
Bulls fighting - potential for 10760

UJ M1
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  • #48,951
  • Oct 12, 2014 5:22pm Oct 12, 2014 5:22pm
Bull is totally incapacitated.....what a drop!!
  • #48,952
  • Oct 12, 2014 6:06pm Oct 12, 2014 6:06pm
107.0 and .1 is next key support level to stop further dropping..
  • #48,953
  • Oct 12, 2014 6:46pm Oct 12, 2014 6:46pm
usd is getting weaker, could go down more
  • #48,954
  • Oct 12, 2014 6:49pm Oct 12, 2014 6:49pm
Japan & US market are on holiday..........guess Asian and euro market will be the key driver for the day.
  • #48,955
  • Oct 12, 2014 6:57pm Oct 12, 2014 6:57pm
what is that with the chinese not doing any stimulus? it is going to effect the us>
  • #48,956
  • Oct 12, 2014 8:29pm Oct 12, 2014 8:29pm
Quoting alvarotrader
{quote} I have a doubt. Always Gold prices have risen when people wants to avoid risks from stocks. If prices of gold raises, should not the AUDUSD pair rise too?
I seriously think the Aud/gold correlation is a myth, look at gold price and aud/usd back in oct,nov,dec of 2008 for an example of risk sentiment at its finest, look at a chart now of gold/aussie correlation, its virtually nonexistent I think its at a .2 or something like that
  • #48,957
  • Oct 12, 2014 8:59pm Oct 12, 2014 8:59pm
http://www.vantagefx.com/marketwrap/...o-into-a-funk/

us bulls - about to get more of a pounding....

i totally say as low as this can go is 105.5 but who knows.. jus imo

maybe could be all "downtalking" the dollar to prepare for fomc meeting later this month that should be hawkish (given all the good data) which will cause a bull rush.. since everyone is saying dollar too strong is bad, then it looks like they are pushing price down for next week or 2 to prepare for that nice bullrun up which will make up for all this selling
  • #48,958
  • Oct 12, 2014 9:22pm Oct 12, 2014 9:22pm
Well I am long @ 107.21 SL 106.75 TP 108.30 with my eye on 107.90 cause I see supply there.
  • #48,959
  • Oct 12, 2014 9:29pm Oct 12, 2014 9:29pm
Quoting Trendzalore
Well I am long @ 107.21 SL 106.75 TP 108.30 with my eye on 107.90 cause I see supply there.
nice, i agree, at 107.0 i MIGHT open another long, and TP at my 108 to break even on that 1, lets see, lot of pressure right now on the almighty
  • #48,960
  • Oct 13, 2014 12:29am Oct 13, 2014 12:29am
Quoting wyley187
{quote} Its all about risk on/off...look at any of the yen crosses the last few days, ECB not adding more stimulus, IMF growth forecasts=equities,commodities,risky assets,carry trades DOWN, S&P 500 timidly broke a support friday. If risk aversion really gains traction it doesnt matter what the BOJ does or bad data from japan, you name it/jpy will go down, next to really fall will be the GBP/USD and aud/USD(true risk aversion trumps interest rate expectations or differentials) because the dollar is a safe haven, just not against the yen...of course...
I woke this morning believing that Ebola is now driving the markets. There is going to be a massive shrinkage in passenger movements which will hit tourism hard, also hitting the carriers and airlines. Definitely this is risk-off. It will be temporary, several months, but until this outbreak is believed to be under control the public will be in a state of mild panic; less mild in certain areas.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
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