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EURUSD

  • #928,761
  • Oct 9, 2014 4:27am Oct 9, 2014 4:27am
Quoting tk28
{quote} 50% most analytics see 1.295, but the trend is still down
Quoting panthercz
{quote} It is 50:50 as always. And on top of it, as Dragi speaks today, it is a much more 50:50 compared to the other days.... Watch PA and important levels...
Quoting notimportant
{quote} Always 50%, either it go there or it don't. Personally i don't think the downtrend is magically reversed, we may see as well 1.25 again. The question is when?
not good for me.. thx for answering..
Dont trade like me..
  • #928,762
  • Oct 9, 2014 4:56am Oct 9, 2014 4:56am
Quoting sanvulture
what are the possibilities or probabilities for price to go down to 1.26?
it WILL go down to 1.26 100%. and then 1.25, 1.24 ......
the question is when?
it could go up to 1.29 to 1.2950 (top of the downtrend ch. that started back in May) before the fall starts again.
nobody really knows....just assumptions.
  • #928,763
  • Oct 9, 2014 5:03am Oct 9, 2014 5:03am
The FOMC might not have been as hawkish as the market wanted (yet again) but much like the Bank of England, rate rises are coming and that's going to push the dollar back up. Sentiment is pushing rate expectations further back but I'm not seeing anything major yet that suggests rate rises aren't coming in at least the first half of next year..
  • #928,764
  • Oct 9, 2014 5:04am Oct 9, 2014 5:04am
FX is in limbo right now. Euro too high to be bought and same time to be sold enough.

Usdjpy and eurjpy are contributing to this well, no good enough orders around.

Eurusd intraday median around 65. Initial target was 1.2815 and alternative 1.2715.

Pause at 35/40.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #928,765
  • Oct 9, 2014 5:07am Oct 9, 2014 5:07am
Quoting timtiririm
{quote} it WILL go down to 1.26 100%. and then 1.25, 1.24 ...... the question is when? it could go up to 1.29 to 1.2950 (top of the downtrend ch. that started back in May) before the fall starts again. nobody really knows....just assumptions.
LOL
I i know
  • #928,766
  • Oct 9, 2014 5:17am Oct 9, 2014 5:17am
Quoting Z3iz3i
{quote} Maybe around 65/70 ?
sorry....you mean my risk? about 40 pips
  • #928,767
  • Oct 9, 2014 5:36am Oct 9, 2014 5:36am
Seems to be making hard work of getting through 2750 . . . ?
  • #928,768
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:01am Oct 9, 2014 6:01am
What can we do if central banks aim to devalue their own currency?
There is no free market

Have a look bullish action. It's spiking up when fails in 1 min chart. Nice work CB
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #928,769
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:16am Oct 9, 2014 6:16am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} This is what I meant. Hopefully there will be new setups soon to resume the main trend. For now I would like to see strong rejection from those levels on all pairs and by that I mean reversal candles 4 hrs or daily or any other candlestick patterns off Monthly pivot + respective fib levels. EURUSD Heads towards 1.2790, Monthly pivot + WR2, 61.8 Ret Daily (swing from 1.30-1.25) stands slightly above. Against the trend always trade small.
EURUSD
Level respected to the pip. Now price seems to be returning and I see 1.2808 as another one that could play out a bounce and even reversal back down.
That is 61.8 Ret daily chart + 1.618 Ext 4 hrs from last swing.

GBPUSD
Good R:R Sell at 1.6235, 50 % Daily chart.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #928,770
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:17am Oct 9, 2014 6:17am
Quoting Dutugamunu
As I heard Chinese economy has hit to US after 142years. China is the world biggest and strongest economical country from now on. The new calculation shows China’s economy will total $17.6 trillion, a hair more than the US’s $17.4 trillion.
Dream on, Dutu.
  • #928,771
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:21am Oct 9, 2014 6:21am
Maybe Draghi's turn to talk down the euro this afternoon?
  • #928,772
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:23am Oct 9, 2014 6:23am
Quoting Deutschland
I see a rebound targeting 1,2990 - 1,3100, the top of the bottom should happend on a peak of bullish sentiment. Watch the inverse Head-Shoulder patern targeting 1,2840. Greets "The USD is showing signs of correcting lower against both the EUR and JPY.EUR/USD can rally to 1.2850/1.3000, while USD/JPY can extend lower into 107.63/106.85," BofA projects. "However, USD weakness should be seen as a buying opportunity," BofA advises. http://www.efxnews.com/story/26411/w...merrill​...
That will be too hard to beat the low once it get back to 3100
29xx seems ok
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #928,773
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:26am Oct 9, 2014 6:26am
The USD continues to fall today in some cases significantly.
Against the AUD more than 1% and 1.8% against the NZD.
The dollar was stable until the release of the FOMC minutes ... then. the party started!
  • #928,774
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:28am Oct 9, 2014 6:28am
Still a ton of room for this upside move, could easily hit 29-30 area -- too speculative to long, will wait to add short positions if it keeps rising.
  • #928,775
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:30am Oct 9, 2014 6:30am
I'm a bit skeptic of any Euro strength, since the nose dive was policy driven. So, i would be comfortable to try a long! Yet, i don't like the Dollar rally as well - which is by far too stretched and way to expensive to join. So, i think the best strategy is to go long GBPJPY / and Short EURJPY. Effectively, u would be short EG. This as far as Q4/2014 goes
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #928,776
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:33am Oct 9, 2014 6:33am
USDCAD
Added longs, will cut losses under the low and try again from lower. This is in line with our long term targets. Price just bounced off Monthly pivot + 50% Ret 4 Hrs whole swing. There will be another Fib confluence at 1.1051. 1.618 Ext 4 Hrs + 61.8 Daily
Small first and more with acceleration.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #928,777
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:34am Oct 9, 2014 6:34am
Quoting pouyanv
Back to 1.27 to retest the neckline of H&S pattern. here we goooo
1.2838 then back too 12660.. but potentially down too 12160 --only problem I see is USd should go down too 8432 that's 80 pips from where its at now which would spell higher than 13838 for EUR USD if USD gets down too 8432.. Euro price would prob be around 1.2870
  • #928,778
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:39am Oct 9, 2014 6:39am
Perfect Fib bounce, then to 38. But now what??? 76.4???

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  • #928,779
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:43am Oct 9, 2014 6:43am
Looking at 12812... back too 1.2778... then move up 12838 then Short... likely too be todays top 12838.
  • #928,780
  • Oct 9, 2014 6:49am Oct 9, 2014 6:49am
today so far
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Don't speculate trade with surety.
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