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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #481
  • Oct 6, 2014 9:25am Oct 6, 2014 9:25am
Quoting faststare08
{quote} sp500 pivot pts sir?
pivotpointcalculator.com
with a bit of effort you will get your answer.
  • #482
  • Oct 6, 2014 9:32am Oct 6, 2014 9:32am
closed manually (macd). +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #483
  • Oct 6, 2014 9:35am Oct 6, 2014 9:35am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} you want to have the daily pivots of the s&P 500? this thread is only about dax and dow - but iŽll make an exception: {image}
thanks sir.
  • #484
  • Oct 6, 2014 9:59am Oct 6, 2014 9:59am
long @17020 sl 17000 tp 17080
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #485
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:31am Oct 6, 2014 10:31am
Just popped in to see how people viewing this thread are feeling about equities at the moment, by which I mean, are you looking beyond the intra-day picture, and if so, what do you see? Personally, I see all the signs of a very large sell off indeed impending, by which I mean 2008 style, perhaps down as far as 6,990 - 6,200 for the Dax. What do you guys think?
  • #486
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:39am Oct 6, 2014 10:39am
Quoting cat
Just popped in to see how people viewing this thread are feeling about equities at the moment, by which I mean, are you looking beyond the intra-day picture, and if so, what do you see? Personally, I see all the signs of a very large sell off indeed impending, by which I mean 2008 style, perhaps down as far as 6,990 - 6,200 for the Dax. What do you guys think?
I think as long as longer term interest rates stay as low as they are now, equity markets will hold up or even reach/break highs
atm for 10-year US treasuries as well as 10-year Bunds no signs rates are turning yet.
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #487
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:42am Oct 6, 2014 10:42am
Quoting deltaone
long @17020 sl 17000 tp 17080
sl hit. -20
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #488
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:47am Oct 6, 2014 10:47am
Quoting USD-Bear
{quote} I think as long as longer term interest rates stay as low as they are now, equity markets will hold up or even reach/break highs atm for 10-year US treasuries as well as 10-year Bunds no signs rates are turning yet.
Thanks for your view. I think we are seeing the beginnings of a technical correction though, and only time will tell how big it will be. Interest rates have to start rising sooner or later though, but how soon?
  • #489
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:54am Oct 6, 2014 10:54am
Quoting cat
{quote} Thanks for your view. I think we are seeing the beginnings of a technical correction though, and only time will tell how big it will be. Interest rates have to start rising sooner or later though, but how soon?
fully agree, big bear market for bonds and equities later ahead, but look at the US, recovery signs still have no effect on interest levels
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #490
  • Oct 6, 2014 10:58am Oct 6, 2014 10:58am
Quoting cat
Just popped in to see how people viewing this thread are feeling about equities at the moment, by which I mean, are you looking beyond the intra-day picture, and if so, what do you see? Personally, I see all the signs of a very large sell off indeed impending, by which I mean 2008 style, perhaps down as far as 6,990 - 6,200 for the Dax. What do you guys think?
for a sharp decrease like this, we would need new, really bad fundamental data (shrinking gdp/recession/decreasing earnings). i canŽt see a reason for a deep recession in germany or the us. lower price levels than round about 8500 (dax) would be a good starting point to re-build a long-term stock portfolio imao.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #491
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:00am Oct 6, 2014 11:00am
Quoting cat
Just popped in to see how people viewing this thread are feeling about equities at the moment, by which I mean, are you looking beyond the intra-day picture, and if so, what do you see? Personally, I see all the signs of a very large sell off indeed impending, by which I mean 2008 style, perhaps down as far as 6,990 - 6,200 for the Dax. What do you guys think?
I would need a good reason to continue to hold any European equities and if I did for any reason, I would have already written some close to the money call options as a partial hedge. The news from Germany is not good with today's factory orders well below expectations and apart from the UK which is very patchy (IMO Tesco was a sell from the moment O'Leary departed) and the rest of Europe has big problems. Sufficient as this is somewhat off topic for intra day trading.

PS I am short the Dow, TP ~the DP ~16850 Dec futures
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #492
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:06am Oct 6, 2014 11:06am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} for a sharp decrease like this, we would need new, really bad fundamental data (shrinking gdp/recession/decreasing earnings). i canŽt see a reason for a deep recession in germany or the us. lower price levels than round about 8500 (dax) would be a good starting point to re-build a long-term stock portfolio imao.
yes I agree, fundamentals have to play a big part in such a fall, but I do try and put them to one side as a trader as opposed to an investor which I am not. Weekly charts are looking decidedly tippy to me though. I'm expecting the Dow to carry on falling this week to last week's low of 16,666, as i really cannot see any way north for it on the Daily chart. Now I've said that, we'll probably now see new highs!
  • #493
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:22am Oct 6, 2014 11:22am
Quoting Islander
{quote} I would need a good reason to continue to hold any European equities and if I did for any reason, I would have already written some close to the money call options as a partial hedge. The news from Germany is not good with today's factory orders well below expectations and apart from the UK which is very patchy (IMO Tesco was a sell from the moment O'Leary departed) and the rest of Europe has big problems. Sufficient as this is somewhat off topic for intra day trading. PS I am short the Dow, TP ~the DP ~16850 Dec futures
good luck. if this 1h-candle closes at or below p, this would create a three black crows pattern - a really bad sign. waiting for a good rrr to short dow (cash), too.

http://tc.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #494
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:43am Oct 6, 2014 11:43am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #495
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:47am Oct 6, 2014 11:47am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} good luck. if this 1h-candle closes at or below p, this would create a three black crows pattern - a really bad sign. waiting for a good rrr to short dow (cash), too. {image}
Thanks d1 - its just hit my TP with today's range at 168 vs the 20 ADR at 161, so I'm happy to call it a day.......catch you tomorrow
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #496
  • Oct 6, 2014 11:49am Oct 6, 2014 11:49am
Quoting Islander
{quote} Thanks d1 - its just hit my TP with today's range at 168 vs the 20 ADR at 161, so I'm happy to call it a day.......catch you tomorrow
youŽre welcome. congratulations.
have a nice evening.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #497
  • Oct 6, 2014 12:00pm Oct 6, 2014 12:00pm
3bc completed on 1h time frame

http://tc.md.it-finance.com/ProRealT...g&purpose=file

will go short with the first candle close on 1m time frame < 16939

Quoting deltaone
3bc completed on 1h time frame {image} will go short with the first candle close on 1m time frame < 16939
my second order condition on 1m time frame saved me. pivot as a stronghold? still want to go short, but i will obey to my setup.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #498
  • Edited 2:36pm Oct 6, 2014 1:27pm | Edited 2:36pm
my planned entry will not happen, i guess. bearish engulfing on 1m time frame:
short @ 17010 sl 17030 tp 16950

Quoting deltaone
my planned entry will not happen, i guess. bearish engulfing on 1m time frame: short @ 17010 sl 17030 tp 16950
sl = be now.
bullish engulfing on 1m time frame: closed manually. +25

switching to scalping-modus.
good night
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #499
  • Oct 6, 2014 7:43pm Oct 6, 2014 7:43pm
Me is short.....

Inserted Video
  • #500
  • Oct 7, 2014 2:03am Oct 7, 2014 2:03am
Islander: I got two more questions ... do you play before the RTH or do you wait till 9:00 and second one with calculating your pivots do you use only RTH or all of the day ... thanks allready ;-)
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