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  • #5,121
  • Oct 2, 2014 9:30am Oct 2, 2014 9:30am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} EWZ dropped ~ $0.50 and Dec/Jan $0.50 asks not moved at all....bastards
I got a $0.19 debit on the Jan/Nov $49 calendar....maybe the best I can do today. Will keep watching the $50 thru the morning.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,122
  • Oct 2, 2014 10:56am Oct 2, 2014 10:56am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} I got a $0.19 debit on the Jan/Nov $49 calendar....maybe the best I can do today. Will keep watching the $50 thru the morning.
Nov/Jan $50 is trading now at 0.16 / 0.17
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #5,123
  • Oct 2, 2014 11:24am Oct 2, 2014 11:24am
Quoting StrayDog
Thinking of fading this TSLA move. I can see on dough that their traders are selling calls. I was thinking about 260/265 Oct10 bear call spread... Just checking cojones for this

Between this spread, short strangles or single options and Iron Condors... I decided to do the later.
Strikes like on the picture. Did not get a fill for IC as a whole, but filled really quickly when I switched to spreads. I got filled at both spreads for $0.62 credit, or $1.24 credit for entire IC. I did it with Oct monthlies to avoid earnings.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TSLA IC.png Size: 101 KB
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #5,124
  • Oct 2, 2014 11:32am Oct 2, 2014 11:32am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} If I can't get a good price on Nov/Jan I will look at Nov/Dec. ..
Just bought a few of those Nov/Dec calendars for $0.09
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #5,125
  • Oct 2, 2014 12:59pm Oct 2, 2014 12:59pm
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} Just bought a few of those Nov/Dec calendars for $0.09
Could have waited... bought same amount for $0.05 now, averaging price.
Hope is dangerous in this game.
  • #5,126
  • Oct 2, 2014 1:18pm Oct 2, 2014 1:18pm
Quoting The Fool
I bought some Jan BAC $20 calls for $0.12
I see them now at $.11 and I like those very much. Looks like a very good call
  • #5,127
  • Oct 2, 2014 2:41pm Oct 2, 2014 2:41pm
IN a secure facility (what a joke) and can't run any of my platforms - can anybody tell me what the i.v. of EWZ Nov. Dec, and jan $50 calls is?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,128
  • Oct 2, 2014 2:44pm Oct 2, 2014 2:44pm
Yahoo Finance has recently been changing their utilities around, now show i.v. in their options chains, but still working out the bugs, I guess. They changed their "interactive" charting around - not good.

The IT dweebs here won't even let me install a java update, so I have to use the clunky "web trader" like tools from the various borkers. Usually it's not a problem....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,129
  • Oct 2, 2014 2:46pm Oct 2, 2014 2:46pm
Quoting stylinex
{quote} I see them now at $.11 and I like those very much. Looks like a very good call
yeah bud I think you can pick your poison with the US banks and likely come out OK if the Fed walks the walk.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,130
  • Oct 2, 2014 2:54pm Oct 2, 2014 2:54pm
Quoting StrayDog
{quote} Could have waited... bought same amount for $0.05 now, averaging price.
I will give it another shot mañana - I only got about 30% of the volume I wanted, so far....I still like Nov/Jan, didn't see anything less than about $0.18 this morning when I was able to look.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,131
  • Oct 2, 2014 5:29pm Oct 2, 2014 5:29pm
EWZ down AH, at one point had dipped below the day's low. I am interested to see what the i.v.'s will look like tomorrow, last day to place your bets....

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/option...200207378.html
" Meanwhile, the cost of a straddle - where an investor buys an at-the-money put option and similar call option, in a bet on volatility - suggest a move of about 6 percent in Brazil's market by the end of next week, the clearest sign investors expect post-election gyrations in stocks.

The ETF is not the only issue seeing a rush of activity in the options market. Brazil's top companies have also seen a flurry of options activity.
The country's two largest private sector banks Itau Unibanco Holding SA , Banco Bradesco SA , iron ore miner Vale SA and oil company Petroleo Brasileiro, or Petrobras, have all seen options volumes on their U.S.-listed shares swell.

The combined options volume in September for Petrobras, Vale, Itau and Banco Bradesco, spiked to 4.60 million contracts, about double July and August's average monthly volume of 2.33 million, according to Trade Alert.

Implied volatility, a measure of the risk that big moves in a stock pose, has climbed sharply over September for Petrobras, Banco Bradesco and Itau, with all three showing 30-day implied volatility at 52-week highs, according to options analytics firm Livevol.."
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,132
  • Oct 2, 2014 6:24pm Oct 2, 2014 6:24pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} Still this apple trade on $100 puts they went as high as 1.57 before retreating and closing at 115, I see a further slide but don't know if it will happen by Friday AAPL Oct 2014 100.000 put (AAPL141003P00100000) -OPR 1.15 {image} 0.68(144.68%) 8:59PM GMT+01:00

Closed the $100 put trade on AAPL, had a GTC at $1.50. The option WENT AS HIGH AS $2.06. I bought for 34c so almost 500% profit

AAPL Oct 2014 100.000 put (AAPL141003P00100000)
-OPR
0.50 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.65(56.52%) 2 Oct 20:59

Prev Close:1.15
Open:1.10
Bid:0.50
Ask:0.51
Strike:100.00
Expire Date:3-Oct-14
Day's Range:0.35 - 2.06
Contract Range:N/A - N/A
Volume:18,485
Open Interest:25,285
  • #5,133
  • Oct 2, 2014 6:28pm Oct 2, 2014 6:28pm
Quoting The Fool
EWZ down AH, at one point had dipped below the day's low. I am interested to see what the i.v.'s will look like tomorrow, last day to place your bets.... http://finance.yahoo.com/news/option...200207378.html " Meanwhile, the cost of a straddle - where an investor buys an at-the-money put option and similar call option, in a bet on volatility - suggest a move of about 6 percent in Brazil's market by the end of next week, the clearest sign investors expect post-election gyrations in stocks. The ETF is not the...
On EWZ once I see $39 - $40 I may write puts, wit the high IV it may pay very well
  • #5,134
  • Oct 2, 2014 6:40pm Oct 2, 2014 6:40pm
May look to take another long put trade on AAPL on Friday for the same day expiration, all depends on the NFP and if AAPL CAN TRADE BELOW 99.30, the $99 puts should open below 17c, if AAPL trades higher than 100 then I may just leave well alone

AAPL Oct 2014 99.000 put (AAPL141003P00099000)
-OPR
0.17 https://s.yimg.com/lq/i/us/fi/03rd/down_r.gif 0.48(73.85%) 2 Oct 20:59
  • #5,135
  • Oct 2, 2014 8:57pm Oct 2, 2014 8:57pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
May look to take another long put trade on AAPL on Friday for the same day expiration, all depends on the NFP and if AAPL CAN TRADE BELOW 99.30, the $99 puts should open below 17c, if AAPL trades higher than 100 then I may just leave well alone AAPL Oct 2014 99.000 put (AAPL141003P00099000) -OPR 0.17 {image} 0.48(73.85%) 2 Oct 20:59
If they're gonna take one more shot at some fresh highs, the next couple weeks might be the last good chance - before the midterms, before the next FOMC and the end of the taper, before ebola sweeps the world in an orgy of panic and agonizing death. Just sayin'....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,136
  • Oct 2, 2014 11:07pm Oct 2, 2014 11:07pm
For those currently trading / looking at EWZ.....

https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/daily_...4?locale=en-US
  • #5,137
  • Oct 3, 2014 12:04am Oct 3, 2014 12:04am
Cliff's has done fell off a cliff (see chart). I am looking for more calendars. The juicy calendar girl has big perky front month i.v.'s on reachable strikes and the back month i.v.'s on those strikes must be smaller than the ff...ff... fffronties. Hubba Hubba..... You see that i.v. spike? SPROING! Daddy like...

The Oct $15 call iv is 112%, the Nov same is 72%

CLF is too cheap tho. And also, there's gotta be something wrong with dough's calc's: on a $15 Oct/Nov call calendar, I can only lose $0.04, but stand to gain up to $0.98 if the stock stays between $10.xx and $26.xx. Really?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-10-02_clf.png Size: 97 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-10-02_clf1.png Size: 371 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-10-02_clf2.png Size: 393 KB
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,138
  • Oct 3, 2014 6:33am Oct 3, 2014 6:33am
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/stocks...192154996.html

"When you talk about volatility, these are the smart traders out there in the world," he said.

LOL...smart is good...also helps to have bulletproof cojones.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,139
  • Oct 3, 2014 6:38am Oct 3, 2014 6:38am
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102053126?__s...&doc=102054956#.

smarts + cojones + fat equity =
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #5,140
  • Oct 3, 2014 6:56am Oct 3, 2014 6:56am
MY NFP predictions:

a healthy beat: 238,000...and we see 5 handle popped in the unemployment rate - 5.9%. US indices rally, fiber dips back below $1.26, commodities keep falling.

random emoticon:
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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