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The similarity system

  • #8,881
  • Sep 21, 2014 8:47pm Sep 21, 2014 8:47pm
Quoting Sciurus
{quote} Good point, but all of this makes me think I should make an indicator that will spit out a bunch of statistics into excel on transient zones for proper statistical analysis. Hmmmm.
If it's statistical analysis of TZs you're after, you should check out LiquidGenius' blog. Excel stats coming out of his ears on that blog! I probably shouldn't post the link here but you can easily google it.

LiquidGenius can't post here anymore due to a misunderstanding he had with Eurusdd a few weeks ago. Eurusdd, if you're reading this, is there any chance you might be able to unignore him? He's the intelligent and generous kind of person you really want to have on this thread. Believe me, he's one of the good guys! Thanks.
You reap what you sow.
  • #8,882
  • Edited 10:36pm Sep 21, 2014 10:13pm | Edited 10:36pm
My earlier logic was that given h(x) (we use x=5 for example's sake) and a formed left hand TZ at level P, the probability of price returning to P with the h(5) is 97%ish and as we move along the right side H that probability should increase as with go along h(1), h(2), h(3) with maximum probability of 97% return to P at H(5) if the event has not occurred in the previous H bars. This logic is apparently flawed.

Edit : Need to "park" this thought somewhere. Uses of TZ a) Turning points ~ "unborn" TZs agreeing across TF b)Trend folloing tool to a certain degree
I want more brain power!
  • #8,883
  • Sep 21, 2014 10:31pm Sep 21, 2014 10:31pm
Quoting NorthTrader
{quote} If it's statistical analysis of TZs you're after, you should check out LiquidGenius' blog. Excel stats coming out of his ears on that blog! I probably shouldn't post the link here but you can easily google it. LiquidGenius can't post here anymore due to a misunderstanding he had with Eurusdd a few weeks ago. Eurusdd, if you're reading this, is there any chance you might be able to unignore him? He's the intelligent and generous kind of person you really want to have on this thread. Believe me, he's one of the good guys! Thanks.

I think I remember seeing his blog a couple of weeks ago, but now when I go there there are only a few posts. I wonder what happened.
  • #8,884
  • Sep 21, 2014 11:21pm Sep 21, 2014 11:21pm
Quoting Sciurus
{quote} I think I remember seeing his blog a couple of weeks ago, but now when I go there there are only a few posts. I wonder what happened.
No, still loads of posts there (just checked a few seconds ago). If you can't find what you want on the home page then go to the archives - August 2014.
You reap what you sow.
  • #8,885
  • Sep 22, 2014 2:09am Sep 22, 2014 2:09am
Quoting NorthTrader
Remember everyone that Draghi is speaking later today. Any comments such as "no QE until 2015" could easily send EURUSD up 100+ pips (temporarily at least, long term I believe is still bearish). Draghi could be the catalyst for Jay's seemingly unreachable targets to be hit! On the other hand, any negative comments from Draghi could send it to 1.2750 this week. Good luck everyone and trade safe!
tHe outcome of his comment will be encoded in the data before he makes them. so, I don't worry about such things. We will know when trend s about to change!
  • #8,886
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:03am Sep 22, 2014 4:03am
Anyone looking at 128671 on m15 as next target or am I totally wrong (again).
  • #8,887
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:10am Sep 22, 2014 4:10am
This move is done. looking for short entry
  • #8,888
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:15am Sep 22, 2014 4:15am
Quoting handy148
Anyone looking at 128671 on m15 as next target or am I totally wrong (again).
Hi Handy,

I can see that one. I use the TZ's slightly differently to Jay and Vlady in that I wait until they have been taken out and returned to before I place the trade. I had 1.2844 to have a LL on the M5 which has now been dealt with and I now have 1.2896 on the M15 that needs a HH - may have to wait for Draghi for that one?!
  • #8,889
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:24am Sep 22, 2014 4:24am
I like 2750 and I' m never wrong ! exept when I aint right
  • #8,890
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:26am Sep 22, 2014 4:26am
Quoting handy148
Anyone looking at 128671 on m15 as next target or am I totally wrong (again).
Yes, I have it too. 66.1 actually. On the 5M. The next range I am looking at is 2866-2877
The 5M is moving in blobs of 25-35 pips. The 1H is moving in blobs of 18 pips with a small blob of 14 pips (2928-2937).
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #8,891
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:26am Sep 22, 2014 4:26am
Quoting josh11
{quote} I have all in sync on mine but the 1 min chart... I am long looking for 12919 lets see
Just added to my long!
  • #8,892
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:31am Sep 22, 2014 4:31am
Quoting giovanni4000
{quote} Hi Josh, thanks. Good result
Your welcome mate
  • #8,893
  • Sep 22, 2014 4:37am Sep 22, 2014 4:37am
Quoting orid
I like 2750 and I' m never wrong ! exept when I aint right
We see the same things i guess
  • #8,894
  • Edited 5:09am Sep 22, 2014 4:57am | Edited 5:09am
reached my 20 plus today, just watching now. Had a loss Though before on au/ us
Regards Orid peter
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  • #8,895
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:16am Sep 22, 2014 5:16am
Quoting ephisi
{quote} We see the same things i guess
Sold 1.2851
  • #8,896
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:17am Sep 22, 2014 5:17am
Quoting orid
reached my 20 plus today, just watching now. Had a loss Though before on au/ us Regards Orid peter {image}
That DS zone will probably act like support for a while... or until Mr Dragon speaks.
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #8,897
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:29am Sep 22, 2014 5:29am
Quoting ephisi
{quote} Sold 1.2851
quick fingers needed for placing traces i had no drawdown on that trade
  • #8,898
  • Sep 22, 2014 5:54am Sep 22, 2014 5:54am
Quoting Eurusdd
all time-frames in sync!!! trend change confirmed. every down now will just be minor retracements. direction is up till next synccc......

Sir is this selling minor correction or another synch has occurred?
  • #8,899
  • Sep 22, 2014 6:14am Sep 22, 2014 6:14am
Look at the one hour, this should be aturning point there is also a beautiful hammer on m15, we will see. i am waiting for .28766
  • #8,900
  • Sep 22, 2014 6:14am Sep 22, 2014 6:14am
Quoting orid
reached my 20 plus today, just watching now. Had a loss Though before on au/ us Regards Orid peter {image}
aaaaaaaaaagggghhh just realised had a trade on ,broke my rule of 10 to 20 and out ,phew went to tp
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