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  • #924,921
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:48am Sep 18, 2014 3:48am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Morning, Eurousd should bounce up to at least 1.2900/10 for a substantial move again which will be decided then. For the first push for eurusd, eurgbp needs bids which are either down to 0.7896 or alternatively there could be some short covering to push pair at its new highs. Otherwise this is just market makers positioning and market moving volumes are resting.
I have 1.2930's as key area which needs to be left behind if it wants to proceed further up.
69
  • #924,922
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:50am Sep 18, 2014 3:50am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} How much are EU and EC correlated?
2014 negative averaging around -0,2--0,3
  • #924,923
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:51am Sep 18, 2014 3:51am
Central banks always win when it comes to killing their currency, saving them is much much harder.
  • #924,924
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:51am Sep 18, 2014 3:51am
Quoting lancedes
{quote} Is there a website you use to track central bank speakers' dates and times? or just economic calendars?
just the calendars... but I use a good paid for news feed...
  • #924,925
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:54am Sep 18, 2014 3:54am
Quoting sam30
{quote} 2 buy order....tp 12999 ....so far 40 pips daily range. ---let the loss till profit and run the profit till drop---- {image}
played safeguard plan... i expect long wick to test 13000 level then short but didnt work.... as market is always right.

--->better play after news settle the dusts and clear direction
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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While knowledge speak up, the wisdom listen down
  • #924,926
  • Edited 4:08am Sep 18, 2014 3:55am | Edited 4:08am
the TLTRO value is the most important piece of euro news today a take up of less than 110bln would be bad news and imply the banks are still not willing to lend into business despite being able to borrow at such a cheap rate for 4 years.

It will open up the whole QE debate further
  • #924,927
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:57am Sep 18, 2014 3:57am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} added 1013 sl 1018
moving both sl to BE, bed,time goodnight
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #924,928
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:58am Sep 18, 2014 3:58am
Quoting MaxDoom
the TLTRO value is the most important peice of euro news today a take up of less than 110bln would be bad news and imply the banks are still not willing to lend into business despite being able to borrow at such a cheap rate for 4 years. It will open up the whole QE debate further
good stuff. greeks went 6,1 bln . here in S nothing. Also waiting for this. in 15m rite
  • #924,929
  • Sep 18, 2014 3:58am Sep 18, 2014 3:58am
Quoting MaxDoom
the TLTRO value is the most important peice of euro news today a take up of less than 110bln would be bad news and imply the banks are still not willing to lend into business despite being able to borrow at such a cheap rate for 4 years. It will open up the whole QE debate further
If there is no bad news, there is good news ?
  • #924,930
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:01am Sep 18, 2014 4:01am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} good stuff. greeks went 6,1 bln . here in S nothing. Also waiting for this. in 15m rite
yep
  • #924,931
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:01am Sep 18, 2014 4:01am
Quoting Likerty
{quote} I have 1.2930's as key area which needs to be left behind if it wants to proceed further up.
Yea, you re looking at daily close price, 4th of August, right?

I think that would be one target if price is above 1.29 at the time LTRO (MAX's post) is announced.
But it depends on time in respect to price level, cant say for sure from this distance. I need closer dynamics.

I dont have the equipment!
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #924,932
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:01am Sep 18, 2014 4:01am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} How much are EU and EC correlated?
they have a 1.2 ec damn.. what that converts to eu is not known by me. each eu pip drop, adds pressure. looks like they are defending 204x... eu may need the swiss to say uncle before decent drop.. it may take time, how much.. i dont know. the scb are not sleeping well. as long as ec holds, its harder for the eu to drop. its been compressing for a while. eu is a much larger market, it can run over the swiss and break the bank
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #924,933
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:05am Sep 18, 2014 4:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} they have a 1.2 ec damn.. what that converts to eu is not known by me. each eu pip drop, adds pressure. looks like they are defending 204x... eu may need the swiss to say uncle before decent drop.. it may take time, how much.. i dont know. the scb are not sleeping well. as long as ec holds, its harder for the eu to drop. its been compressing for a while.
Thats good info, thanks.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,934
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:09am Sep 18, 2014 4:09am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} just the calendars... but I use a good paid for news feed...
  • #924,935
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:11am Sep 18, 2014 4:11am
Yes, it has been compressing and seems it will continue to do so.

1,20-1,23 for few more years..
Reason..
Lots of interest to hold this pair under 1,40/1,30 from big banks. Before the collapse lots of structured products were bought by Eastern Europe Banks, Corporates and physical mortgage structures. ALL structures were CHF favorable because of interest rate differentials. Also history of EURCHF spoke its own story with no quoted levels under 1,45 me thinks...something like that. It was easy to sell..

Exposure were/is great and win scenario for sellers of this instruments is still in process. We have structures of up to 30y maturity. And big stakes.

When delevereging will be done, we will again have a moving pair..
  • #924,936
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:12am Sep 18, 2014 4:12am
Looks like targets are 1.2850 and/or 1.2925/30.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #924,937
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:17am Sep 18, 2014 4:17am
Quoting Nabz
{quote} What if ISIS attacks Europe and it goes straight to 0.90
  • #924,938
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:19am Sep 18, 2014 4:19am
...watch out, longs will carry on dying...
Quoting Miguel.N
....and craziness can carry on this way, so watch out ! {quote} {image}
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  • #924,939
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:20am Sep 18, 2014 4:20am
82 not enough

sold @ 2894
  • #924,940
  • Sep 18, 2014 4:21am Sep 18, 2014 4:21am
What just happened?? green and red spike ...
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