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  • #924,201
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:14am Sep 16, 2014 8:14am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} Probability that we won't see 1.2920 ever again.
We will...we should even see below 2900.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,202
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:15am Sep 16, 2014 8:15am
Quoting yaed
{quote} Ok, just dont telly anybody and you will be OK. I mean otherwise its not hidden right? Or... no i dont know how this works. Everything is hidden to me. I cant see who wants to exchange how much and when. The "who" question is the hardest. I can sort of imagine "how" much and maybe sort of "when", but not "who". Its not my mom. Its not my dad. Its not this dude i know who makes electronic music and lives in the forest. Its not this guy called "Jens" i knew in high school and its not any of his two brothers. And its not... Well there is a...
It means that it's always hidden Neverending struggle between sentiment of the crowd and market mover's agenda
69
  • #924,203
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:17am Sep 16, 2014 8:17am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} We will...we should even see below 2900.
1.2930 would already be a miracle, everyone is already short ready to get burned by Yellen.
  • #924,204
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:18am Sep 16, 2014 8:18am
Quoting Likerty
{quote} It means that it's always hidden Neverending struggle between sentiment of the crowd and market mover's agenda
Ok, we are more ore less on the same page there, thats sort of what i was thinking too
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #924,205
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:23am Sep 16, 2014 8:23am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} 1.2930 would already be a miracle, everyone is already short ready to get burned by Yellen.
Last week at 2970+, you said we won't see 2960 anymore. As you can see, bulls have no power yet. FED may fuck over both, bears and bulls.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,206
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:24am Sep 16, 2014 8:24am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} Probability that we won't see 1.2920 ever again.
Oh, we will! The EU has been tricked into joining the sanctions nonsense and self-inflicting unnecessary damage.

Poor microeconomics has only started to appear, and divergence with the positive U.S. indicators will only grow for months now.

A moderate correction towards 1.3050 is likely brewing at this time, but then this baby is going down.
"Luxury is one of the basic needs", (c), Don Corleone
  • #924,207
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:29am Sep 16, 2014 8:29am
Quoting Firstboss
{quote} Oh, we will! The EU has been tricked into joining the sanctions nonsense and self-inflicting unnecessary damage. Poor microeconomics has only started to appear, and divergence with the positive U.S. indicators will only grow for months now. A moderate correction towards 1.3050 is likely brewing at this time, but then this baby is going down.
Sanctions game to be over by next month if ceasefire is respected.

Where do you see positive US indicators ? Ah yeah....surveys...

Fairvalue is currently at 1.33000 but I expect it to rise once Yellen shower all USD bulls.
  • #924,208
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:30am Sep 16, 2014 8:30am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Last week at 2970+, you said we won't see 2960 anymore. As you can see, bulls have no power yet. FED may fuck over both, bears and bulls.
Yeah but it was mainly on the back of other currencies hammering like AUD. I see no core EUR/USD selling.
  • #924,209
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:34am Sep 16, 2014 8:34am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} Yeah but it was mainly on the back of other currencies hammering like AUD. I see no core EUR/USD selling.
Well, if there wasn't a gap up, we wouldn't even see 2970 until now and every EU spikes is instantly followed by a sell-off. Plus, USDx is still in the same range...it can break-out anywhere tomorrow...just like it can break below 84, it can also break 85, in which case EU would drop hard.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,210
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:39am Sep 16, 2014 8:39am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} Sanctions game to be over by next month if ceasefire is respected. Where do you see positive US indicators ? Ah yeah....surveys... Fairvalue is currently at 1.33000 but I expect it to rise once Yellen shower all USD bulls.
Sanctions won't be escalated next month if the ceasefire is expected.

However, macroeconomic damage to Russian and European economies has been done, and it will take months to repair even within the most positive political scenario. Economic slowdown and decreased purchasing power of Russian consumers will be putting a dent into European GDP and European jobs, prolong decreased small business activity and unwillingness to invest.

As for the U.S. indicators - they are in fact improving, investment and business activity is growing, war profiteering corporations are now likely to enjoy continued looting from the enormous defense budget, FED interest rate expectations are starting to be priced in.
"Luxury is one of the basic needs", (c), Don Corleone
  • #924,211
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:39am Sep 16, 2014 8:39am
The EUR/USD consolidation continues and I am beginning to suspect we'll have to wait for FED tomorrow before we see any further developments.
  • #924,212
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:40am Sep 16, 2014 8:40am
Quoting victoriajen
The EUR/USD consolidation continues and I am beginning to suspect we'll have to wait for FED tomorrow before we see any further developments.
Yep, there is always a small range before FOMC meetings, 2910-70 should hold until tomorrow noon.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,213
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:42am Sep 16, 2014 8:42am
Quoting yaed
Another general question Now my dreamed up a mad idea: If for every position i close in profit, i will get an equal position in loss. The positions in loss is WITH the trend, so given enough time, however long that might be in practice, chances are they will come into profit. Now my question is: Am i trading like an idiot or am i unto something?
Hi Yaed - think you mean an equity millipede.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=245149
  • #924,214
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:43am Sep 16, 2014 8:43am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Well, if there wasn't a gap up, we wouldn't even see 2970 until now and every EU spikes is instantly followed by a sell-off. Plus, USDx is still in the same range...it can break-out anywhere tomorrow...just like it can break below 84, it can also break 85, in which case EU would drop hard.
It it breaks to the upside it will be only for an hour may be a day I don't expect anything hawkish tomorrow...but that is if Yellen got eyes.
  • #924,215
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:45am Sep 16, 2014 8:45am
Quoting Imaywin
{quote} It it breaks to the upside it will be only for an hour may be a day I don't expect anything hawkish tomorrow...but that is if Yellen got eyes.
I think a break of 85 will open the way to 90. Of course, with pullbacks, but I don't expect it to be a fake break.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,216
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:56am Sep 16, 2014 8:56am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} I think a break of 85 will open the way to 90. Of course, with pullbacks, but I don't expect it to be a fake break.

you want to say...break of 1.2985 will open way to 1.2990?
Open way for only 5 pips???
  • #924,217
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:57am Sep 16, 2014 8:57am
Quoting Beli
{quote} you want to say...break of 1.2985 will open way to 1.2990? Open way for only 5 pips???
USDx, not EU.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #924,218
  • Sep 16, 2014 8:58am Sep 16, 2014 8:58am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} USDx, not EU.


ok
  • #924,219
  • Sep 16, 2014 9:05am Sep 16, 2014 9:05am
USD index won't break to the upside anyway, pa is overbought and Yellen's job is to calm down market.
  • #924,220
  • Sep 16, 2014 9:08am Sep 16, 2014 9:08am
Quoting Imaywin
USD index won't break to the upside anyway, pa is overbought and Yellen's job is to calm down market.
There is no "overbought" or "oversold", look at EU, when it went down from 3990 to 3700, all indicators showed crazy oversold, now its 800 pips lower. Cable was "oversold" at 6700, then dropped to 6050.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
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