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Sonic R. System

  • #75,661
  • Edited 4:12am Sep 2, 2014 3:51am | Edited 4:12am
Comment AUDUSD:

The Robber Bank MMs might be not even be close to being done with their stealing. This could go down more and then go on a bull swing! Be careful......

Applying the standard FR tool that includes the conventional 127% level we can see that the lower half number/RWL are possible Stop Hunt of longs targets. This is, of course, assuming the MMs are bulls and the USD is going to be treated as "weak". Some are counting on a strengthening USD, meaning they will be considering AU, EU, GU, NU all as bearish. Even if they are correct in the larger sense, that does not preclude the Robber Banks - when they are finished with this current move down - whipping the prices up real good before resuming down. And why wouldn't they? This is exactly how they rob others, by getting them to trade and over-trade one way with confidence and then take the price the other way for a while! Another like move down could come tomorrow but then be followed by a bull swing.

For now, the MMs are making like they are committed to a bullish USD. With more AUD high impact releases tomorrow, more down side could be coming tomorrow, maybe to the lower half number/RWL area. But be careful, because this entire move down might be nothing more than the stopping out of longs and the sucking in of shorts ahead of another bull swing. Just because people are talking up the strengthening of the USD - and which might actually be the case - the Robber Banks/MMs move prices to a different tune,......called PROFITS FROM THEFT!
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  • #75,662
  • Edited 5:01am Sep 2, 2014 4:40am | Edited 5:01am
Quoting gerardeur
{quote} Thanks my friend. I already bought back half of my position @ 0.8350 but remain bearish NZDUSD until 0.8310 at least. Now I am long AUDNZD @ 1.1130 and to kind of hedge my current position, I am also long AUDUSD @ 0.9285. I hope that this "triangular" arbitrage against NZD will yield positive results and the sooner the better as NZDUSD shorts are money consuming (roll yield).
At Weekly chart, AUDNZD is clearly bullish. But in daily chart, maybe start a correction. At least, there are signs, to think well, resistance, interest in some candles, etc. ..
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As for the AUDUSD, I will summarize what I see very fast.
Short term: bearish
Medium term: flat
Long term: ?? (probably bullish)
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  • #75,663
  • Sep 2, 2014 4:42am Sep 2, 2014 4:42am
eu, volume increase at half/ quarter number, evidence for long

high impact in 4/9

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  • #75,664
  • Edited 6:19am Sep 2, 2014 5:33am | Edited 6:19am
Quoting smallshark
eu, volume increase at half/ quarter number, evidence for long high impact in 4/9 {image} {image}
When the trend is strong, extremely strong, we should not be content with a few signs to see the turnaround. We should remain in it until proven otherwise. IMHO.
A trend of several months is not resolved with candles 1 hour. They are many orders to be filled in the opposite direction, and that takes time.
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In smaller trends, is another thing.
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  • #75,665
  • Sep 2, 2014 6:00am Sep 2, 2014 6:00am
Quoting FXRobert
{quote} GBPJPY to faster to adding short. Any TF show switch at the moment. H4 no signal switch {image}
I have to agree, today development is no significant enough for short (long term) bail early, better waiting for higher rate.
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Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #75,666
  • Sep 2, 2014 7:14am Sep 2, 2014 7:14am
USDJPY, might be an opportunity to open scout short? in Daily chart, the price is now in demand zone, however, wait first..
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Trading is not easy
  • #75,667
  • Sep 2, 2014 7:20am Sep 2, 2014 7:20am
Well, finally, again the scalping arranges my day. Chao.
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  • #75,668
  • Sep 2, 2014 6:18pm Sep 2, 2014 6:18pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote}{quote} slimypips, If it turns out that Oanda is now factoring (by integer division) their raw data of ticks from their liquidity providers so that the "volume" numbers in their MT4 data feed are smaller (more manageable) then everything should be okay. The key here is to know that what they have done via their tinkering with the raw tick data has not prostituted the relationships of the data from one bar to the next. This is the concern to express to them and request an explanation of exactly what method Oanda is using to produce more manageable...

So I heard Back from their rep today and this was their response:
"’ve checked with the relevant department on your query. We did not change how the ticks were counted, and volume is still counted the same way. Previously excessive number of ticks were generated and we made some improvements to reduce bandwidth and increase performance. We’ve improved our system such that less ticks are generated."

Pretty vague and not sure yet how to respond. Also, I hope its ok posting this topic I just feel its relevant to the method we are trying to learn.
  • #75,669
  • Edited 6:34pm Sep 2, 2014 6:23pm | Edited 6:34pm
AUD news in few moments, lets see what they bring.



Got stopped at audnzd!
Still holding audusd!
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There is no spoon....
  • #75,670
  • Edited 9:08pm Sep 2, 2014 8:22pm | Edited 9:08pm
Political Commentary:

Okay, with yet another beheading, I have to say the following.

President Obama (who I voted for and believe in) needs to do some marching now. He needs to:

1. March down Wall Street/Bank Street/Business Street, yanking all these multimillion dollar a year CEOs and executives out of their prima-dona offices, send them for a week in boot camp to learn to shoot, and then drop them into Iraq.....so they can fight for this country instead of looting it!

2. March into the House of Representative and the Senate and:

A. demand they immediately pass a bill making the rich and super-rich pay the highest taxes in history, so this country can afford to rearm and protect the repulsive asses of these super-rich, unpatriotic bastards.

B. demand they immediately pass a bill that retroactively for 15 years, prohibits USA companies moving offshore to evade taxes, and recovers all the past taxes thus due.

C. inform all the Reprobate Republicans that accuse President Obama of ruling by Executive Orders (and who has signed far less than Republican President Bushy Jr.), that if they do not do the job they are paid to do he will sign another Executive Order furloughing them until the next congressional seating following mid-term elections, and that he will proceed to sign more Executive Orders than all past Presidents combined,....any anyone who does not like it can go join ISIS, and go to hell. And he might start by signing another Executive Order limiting the pay of the CEOs of the 5 largest companies that somehow pay no tax at all, to just 12x the pay of the lowest paid employee.

D. inform the waiting country, via the above, that he can do more single-handedly to protect and to rebuild this wonderful country, and to assist all free nations of the world, than all the Republicans and their super-rich "keepers" combined.


Obviously, retaliatory and eradication action needs to be taken on the world scene. ISIS is evil. Believers in ISIS are either misled about the precepts of Islam, or don't care and are intentionally using false religion to deceive other muslims for their own selfish purposes. Whatever is going on in the minds of these people, whether stemming from immorality, or immaturity, or illiteracy, they need to be stopped,.....dead in their tracks.

The USA, with allies, can do it. It is time the super-rich stopped looting and started learning patriotism. It is time the Republicans got off their fat asses, cut the purse strings tying them to the wealthy, and did some repatriating of the super-rich's wealth.

-tah
  • #75,671
  • Sep 2, 2014 8:53pm Sep 2, 2014 8:53pm
GBPJPY I look again and I see now potential down. D1 Nice pin nice volumen but I wait for entry.
M5 M15 I see signs sell.
Tah and others sonicers what do You think about it.
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  • #75,672
  • Sep 2, 2014 9:27pm Sep 2, 2014 9:27pm
Quoting FXRobert
GBPJPY I look again and I see now potential down. D1 Nice pin nice volumen but I wait for entry. M5 M15 I see signs sell. Tah and others sonicers what do You think about it. {image} {image} {image}
GBPJPY:

FXRobert,

The Day chart is a sign, but confirmation via future PA is required before action. This leads us to look at H1 and M15. What I see here is that the lower whole number 173.00 is the key. PA needs to break down thru it. A conservative trader will wait for that to happen and then a rise in PA to retest around that area.

JPY releases are another day off. Waiting for them might be wise, due to Stop Hunts, etc. To let the dust settle and to wait for PA to retest some high afterwards, is one approach that is conservative.

-tah
  • #75,673
  • Edited 10:54pm Sep 2, 2014 9:27pm | Edited 10:54pm
Quoting FXRobert
GBPJPY I look again and I see now potential down. D1 Nice pin nice volumen but I wait for entry. M5 M15 I see signs sell. Tah and others sonicers what do You think about it. {image} {image} {image}
What is beyond doubt is that in that area (173.000 - 173.360) is being fought a good battle. There are a lot of volume relative, indecision candles, psychological price (round number 173.00), 38.2 Fibonacci. Are we going to see just how soon or will have to wait for news on the pound?

There is a candle with a much higher volume than others. I yesterday interpreted as "bulls". And even there I made my scalping. But today, after the daily candle pin, and I do not know what to think.

Kecoakecil, yesterday saw the first fall. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...00#post7710900

I thought it was going to fall less, then, to my calculations, a new high is possible. And now we will see how the market is defined.
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30 minutes later...
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  • #75,674
  • Edited 11:23pm Sep 2, 2014 10:24pm | Edited 11:23pm
I was short in EURJPY
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PD: xiaotiao, yerterday, announced a reversal or retracement of USDJPY. All these pairs are related (GBPJPY, also).
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...02#post7712102
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PD2: Therefore, it seems to me that we, me first, little work; because if there are all these coincidences, besides the own signals chart: WHITE AND BOTTLE: MILK.
So when FXRobert noted GBPJPY condition, I should have worked harder and look for relationships, and take short positions!
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  • #75,675
  • Sep 2, 2014 10:48pm Sep 2, 2014 10:48pm
Quoting FXRobert
GBPJPY I look again and I see now potential down. D1 Nice pin nice volumen but I wait for entry. M5 M15 I see signs sell. Tah and others sonicers what do You think about it. {image} {image} {image}
Already take the scalp yesterday, same for you i am waiting for a nice push up (spike volume in H4) and nice reverse spike in H4 side by side, then i am confident to take the south train.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #75,676
  • Sep 2, 2014 11:08pm Sep 2, 2014 11:08pm
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} Already take the scalp yesterday, same for you i am waiting for a nice push up (spike volume in H4) and nice reverse spike in H4 side by side, then i am confident to take the south train.
wow, a patient trader, a rare and profitable trait
  • #75,677
  • Edited 11:25pm Sep 2, 2014 11:13pm | Edited 11:25pm
Comment JPY Pairs:

Sonicers,

The recent drops on some JPY pairs does not seem to be due to weakness in the counter currency. For some reason, the MMs decided to play like JPY was getting stronger. There are no JPY releases until tomorrow. So, these moves down might be head fakes to get money into the market on what might turn out to be the wrong side later, if the MM later drive the pairs back upwards. Just a thought. Or, these moves might be to price in what the Robber Banks know is coming in the releases, in which case this might be the right direction and when the releases hit they do a Stop Hunt on the new shorts. In any case, be careful, especially if you have a trade that runs into tomorrows releases.

-tah
  • #75,678
  • Sep 2, 2014 11:25pm Sep 2, 2014 11:25pm
Quoting slimypips
{quote} So I heard Back from their rep today and this was their response: "’ve checked with the relevant department on your query. We did not change how the ticks were counted, and volume is still counted the same way. Previously excessive number of ticks were generated and we made some improvements to reduce bandwidth and increase performance. We’ve improved our system such that less ticks are generated." Pretty vague and not sure yet how to respond. Also, I hope its ok posting this topic I just feel its relevant to the method we are trying to...
I noticed the same as you on OANDA mt4.
I asked OANDA:
I use your mt 4 platform for following the market. Lately I noticed that volume figures are very low comparing to previous weeks on every time frame. I've compared with several other brokers volume and yours are really low and very different from their mean while weeks before your volume figures were in range with other brokers volume figures
Can you explain what has happened?

I received the same answer they sent to you which I'm pasting here:


We did not change how the ticks were counted, and volume is still counted the same way. Previously excessive number of ticks were generated and we made some improvements to reduce bandwidth and increase performance. We’ve improved our system such that less ticks are generated.

  • #75,679
  • Sep 2, 2014 11:26pm Sep 2, 2014 11:26pm
Classic short for USDJPY..
What do u think sonicers? the price is to high, double TOP (D1 TF), n we can see how the MMs activity on that level area
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"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
  • #75,680
  • Sep 2, 2014 11:37pm Sep 2, 2014 11:37pm
What matters is to make pips and bring money home, regardless of whether the money look liquidity, or follow the actual trend. And that is in the charts. And today I worked poorly because ...
I have not taken into account the signals that have given me kekoakecil, xiaotiao and FXRobert; and the relationship between these signals.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...56#post7713256

That's my philosophy of trading. Make Money.
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