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Sonic R. System

  • #75,601
  • Sep 1, 2014 4:21am Sep 1, 2014 4:21am
Entered small relaxing short on GU .
Technicaly a fundamentaly GU regrets to go higher if we break whole number back TP moved lower sl move
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Build your own dreams, or someone else will hire you to build theirs.
  • #75,602
  • Sep 1, 2014 4:24am Sep 1, 2014 4:24am
Quoting feinan
{quote} not so bullishh,, patiently wait.. thursday and friday will be thriller.. {image}
I wait
  • #75,603
  • Sep 1, 2014 4:34am Sep 1, 2014 4:34am
Quoting feinan
{quote} not so bullishh,, patiently wait.. thursday and friday will be thriller.. {image}

Waiting for scout sell entry to scalp it to downside..

Think 1.3150-1.3160 will do it..
  • #75,604
  • Edited 6:08am Sep 1, 2014 5:56am | Edited 6:08am
GBPCAD
GBPJPY
GBPUSD
GBPAUD

M1 little scalp
APROX. 90 PIPS
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #75,605
  • Edited 6:49am Sep 1, 2014 6:25am | Edited 6:49am
NZDUSD short scalp
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #75,606
  • Sep 1, 2014 6:33am Sep 1, 2014 6:33am
Quoting Patron
NZDUSD scalp {image}
Hola Patron !

What do you mean with "scalp" on NZDUSD?

For me, with my sonicer interpretation, this high volume @ 0.8383 means that MM are keeping the price from going up and and it's (maybe) the last time before a strong bearish rally....what do you think about that?

Thank you for your answer.
  • #75,607
  • Sep 1, 2014 6:43am Sep 1, 2014 6:43am
GBPUSD now Bearish continuation. MMs look like add more short above whole number-Quarter number. there is rejection in the end of their act. is that Run for profit mode (Bearish) by MMs?
What do u think guys (Master Sonicdeejay, Prof TAH, n other sonicers)?
---- Sorry if my english not good enaough---
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"Bulls make money, Bears make money, but hogs get slaughtered"
  • #75,608
  • Sep 1, 2014 7:09am Sep 1, 2014 7:09am
Quoting Patron
NZDUSD short scalp {image}

Still waiting for a bit higher to scalp that one.. kinda hoping for the 84 #.. but may not get it. good luck.
  • #75,609
  • Sep 1, 2014 7:14am Sep 1, 2014 7:14am
Normally I stick with the strong trends… but going for a scalp on this one. New highs on lower activity.

Don't feel as comfortable not having the strong trend on my side, but we'll see.
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  • #75,610
  • Sep 1, 2014 7:15am Sep 1, 2014 7:15am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Still waiting for a bit higher to scalp that one.. kinda hoping for the 84 #.. but may not get it. good luck.
I may have precipitated me a little. Is a new high as possible.
It has come to attention that such an abrupt change in volume ... I do not know if other brokers is the same volume (my broker is Armada Markets).
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #75,611
  • Edited 8:00am Sep 1, 2014 7:29am | Edited 8:00am
Quoting gerardeur
{quote} Hola Patron ! What do you mean with "scalp" on NZDUSD? For me, with my sonicer interpretation, this high volume @ 0.8383 means that MM are keeping the price from going up and and it's (maybe) the last time before a strong bearish rally....what do you think about that? Thank you for your answer.
I mean the price has reached a resistance and, perhaps, it retrace, correcting the last major wave. So it's not swing trading, but is scalping (short trade).
I have interpreted the increase in volume (Also the study of the previous bars) as the close of longs trades, and so I've ventured into the scalping for shorts.

By the way, I do not understand MMs. For me, there is a market, with their real movements and their movements handled speculatively. And I accept the market as well.

Do not understand why so much talk about MMs. Why do not we talk about the market, manipulated or not, but the Market? Always MMs are not other factors?
In my opinion it is more appropriate to speak of market and market condition, which MMs. Talk of MMs not bring me anything.
Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #75,612
  • Sep 1, 2014 7:40am Sep 1, 2014 7:40am
Quoting Mauro-J
GBPUSD now Bearish continuation. MMs look like add more short above whole number-Quarter number. there is rejection in the end of their act. is that Run for profit mode (Bearish) by MMs? What do u think guys (Master Sonicdeejay, Prof TAH, n other sonicers)? ---- Sorry if my english not good enaough--- {image} {image} {image}
Disagree. 1.7 is the bull target. MM exiting trades while adding new longs. Price has been falling for 700 pips.
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There is no spoon....
  • #75,613
  • Edited 8:21am Sep 1, 2014 8:01am | Edited 8:21am
Quoting FXRobert
GBPUSD maybe something change D1 area support H4 Double bottom {image} {image}

Double bottom is confirmation not clear but is break resistance, I wait for back to whole number.

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If TF M15/M5 price nice reaction up I be long.
if price now up and nice reaction M5/M15 a be shorts.
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My others account I build long
  • #75,614
  • Sep 1, 2014 8:24am Sep 1, 2014 8:24am
EURUSD Long Trade Opened:

Classic entry. No TP yet. Many views being expressed, but this is a setup. USA bank holiday, so tomorrow the US MMs might whack it back down for a Double Bottom. And with bigger releases later in week this might stay low for accumulation of longs if the MMs plan on a bull move. That is the downside of making this entry now. On the other hand, it is a setup in the LS and we can never know how prices will move next. So, I take the entry now with a tight mental SL and wait to see what happens.
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  • #75,615
  • Edited 8:50am Sep 1, 2014 8:27am | Edited 8:50am
Quoting Patron
{quote} I mean the price has reached a resistance and, perhaps, it retrace, correcting the last major wave. So it's not swing trading, but is scalping (short trade). I have interpreted the increase in volume (Also the study of the previous bars)as the close of longs, and so I've ventured into the scalping. By the way, I do not understand MMs. For me, there is a market, with their real movements and their movements handled speculatively. And I accept the market as well. Do not understand why so much talk about MMs. Why do not we talk about the market,...

Yes, I totally agree, I don't think of a conspiracy There are just many forces fighting each other to remain profitable and we are a small part of it.

Who is correct? The swing trader? The scalping one? It's all about long term VS short term and leverage VS profit. As I remember, a broken clock is correct twice a day so maybe we are both wrong in the long term but we will still make a profit thanks to leverage and money management.

I am personnally a swing trader and I based my NU short trade on the fact that:

0) Volume is going up when price trending down below the 0.84 threshold.

1) RBNZ clearly mentionned at its last meeting that NZD was overvalued and that actions will be taken to keep the currency lower.

2) I am AUD bullish (for some reasons, china, etc...) and I think that the resistance standing at 1.1130 AUDNZD will hold for the forseeable future (cross currency inertia).

3) NU is in this bearish channel since RBNZ talks and H4, D1 candles suggest that price won't remain above the whole number (0.84) but lower of the down trendIng resistance.

4) Finally, I am USD bull because sound macroeconomics, the euro crisis, ukraine, etc... Also a major resistance holds at 93.30 AU.

5) I never trade against the trend.

6) I think closing my short trade before wednesday for weekend rollover reasons.


Let's walk part of the way together patron !
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  • #75,616
  • Edited 9:29am Sep 1, 2014 9:01am | Edited 9:29am
Quoting Mauro-J
GBPUSD now Bearish continuation. MMs look like add more short above whole number-Quarter number. there is rejection in the end of their act. is that Run for profit mode (Bearish) by MMs? What do u think guys (Master Sonicdeejay, Prof TAH, n other sonicers)? ---- Sorry if my english not good enaough--- {image} {image} {image}
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} Disagree. 1.7 is the bull target. MM exiting trades while adding new longs. Price has been falling for 700 pips. {image}
GBPUSD:

I think the important thing here is to realize that on the first day of any week it is hardest of all to find best clues as to what the MMs have planned. For example, if price moves up on Monday the MMs might be starting a bull run, but they might whack the price severely down again a day or two later, before the bull run progresses. But also, they might just be resetting prices higher to start re-accumulating shorts for a big bear move later in the week.

This has dropped a lot, but so has EU, etc. With any big drop it is natural to suspect and to look for signs of a retrace, or even a reversal. But so long as the Dragon is down and below the Trend on H1 it can be very risky to allow oneself to become too bullish anytime price looks bullish on lower TFs. If while things are down on H1, if M15 sets up for a Classic long, it is a counter-trend trade and needs to be watched like a hawk.

In this case, starting on Friday the H1 chart shows the Dragon inching above the Trend and with both inclining upwards. This is bullish, but very weak bullish and today is only Monday. So what is happening could end up as a head fake up before another bear leg down. Or, if the MMs are bulls, they might whack it back down again anyway. Monday is one of the lesser days to start any trade other than a quick scalp,.....unless you are well prepared to dig in and possibly suffer some shell shocking for awhile, until things sort themselves out as the week progresses.

If this does go on a bull move, I think the highs that eventually come might be in the 1.6800-1.6900 region, likely the lower part.

-tah
  • #75,617
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:32am Sep 1, 2014 9:32am
Dancing with Dragons..
The box gona be the base..

Inserted Video


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Sonic
  • #75,618
  • Edited 9:59am Sep 1, 2014 9:34am | Edited 9:59am
Quoting gerardeur
{quote} Yes, I totally agree, I don't think of a conspiracy There are just many forces fighting each other to remain profitable and we are a small part of it. Who is correct? The swing trader? The scalping one? It's all about long term VS short term and leverage VS profit. As I remember, a broken clock is correct twice a day so maybe we are both wrong in the long term but we will still make a profit thanks to leverage and money management. I am personnally a swing trader and I based my NU short trade on the fact that: 0) Volume is going up when...
I know just what fundamental analysis. My trades will rely on what I see in the chart. And here seen a guideline of 5 waves, at resistance zone, then a rise in volume, which I have interpreted as closing longs (But it can also mean being adding longs.). In addition, the pair has the range quite exhausted, and no news. Then I thought there would be a correction. But it may be bullish for the medium term. I do not know.
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Donde hay Patron no manda Marinero
  • #75,619
  • Edited 11:03am Sep 1, 2014 9:42am | Edited 11:03am
Quoting hansma
{quote} I see no prob with that - however these are not patterns nor picking tops and bottoms either. Nor is it all that "stuff" It is a way the market moves. H {image}

Trade closed for 1208 pips profit.

H.
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"The future is already written in the past"
  • #75,620
  • Sep 1, 2014 9:54am Sep 1, 2014 9:54am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} {quote} GBPUSD: I think the important thing here is to realize that on the first day of any week it is hardest of all to find best clues as to what the MMs have planned. For example, if price moves up on Monday the MMs might be starting a bull run, but they might whack the price severely down again a day or two later, before the bull run progresses. But also, they might just be resetting prices higher to start re-accumulating shorts for a big bear move later in the week. This has dropped a lot, but so has EU, etc. With any big drop it is...

Agreed.

I do expect more Accumulation on GU. I do think MM's are bullish and accumulating in the mid 1.6550-1.66…. GA/GC show they are bulls IMO. Expecting at least 1.8050 on GA.

GU will most likely at least go to 1.68+ , Possibly as high as 1.71.

Lackluster market today…
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