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  • #920,601
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:05pm Aug 29, 2014 3:05pm
Quoting Thebullone
{quote} Yep... Sometimes we need tons of patience and cold blood... But reward ... {image} {image}
Que maravilha! Já dá uma boa jantarada
  • #920,602
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:09pm Aug 29, 2014 3:09pm
Quoting Alobez
{quote} Que maravilha! Já dá uma boa jantarada
  • #920,603
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:28pm Aug 29, 2014 3:28pm
Steady as she goes, pardner.

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  • #920,604
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:29pm Aug 29, 2014 3:29pm
This end of month was realy amazing.
Let's wait to see what Monday will bring us for this pair.
A touch to 1.31/1.3095 or lower and than a rebound ?
  • #920,605
  • Aug 29, 2014 3:40pm Aug 29, 2014 3:40pm
Quoting guernica
This end of month was realy amazing. Let's wait to see what Monday will bring us for this pair. A touch to 1.31/1.3095 or lower and than a rebound ?
Prepared for the 2 scenarios. 1.30 , 1.29 is very possible... Sorry buyers for my opinion....

But will be an interesting week

Release the Bulls and the Bears.
  • #920,606
  • Edited 4:11pm Aug 29, 2014 3:59pm | Edited 4:11pm
Hilarious how EU can't even go up for a day anymore.. It's so funny that whole rally to 1.4 was such obvious manipulation. Total pump and dump. Nothing really changed in the EU we all knew they would print tons of euros and the fundamentals are terrible.

People really have no clue just how rigged these markets are. I'm not complaining at all. Though it was completely brutal ever losing on a short on EUR/USD… but this is the nature of the markets we trade/invest in. They're rigged. They pushed it all the way up there to destroy shorts and get them second guessing/doubting their long term "belief" or plan on the euro. It's known most retails were short the market all the way up there. Everyone was negative on Euro… for good reason too.

But the MM's can't allow everyone to profit. Of course it's all in the name of "Liquidity" and bull shit news events and whatever else.

Good job robber banks. Good job. Now the EU will sink below 1.2 in coming years and possibly go to par.

If we're lucky they'll push it back to 1.35… but that level might not be seen for years and years to come now.
  • #920,607
  • Aug 29, 2014 4:23pm Aug 29, 2014 4:23pm
Quoting Ck87
Hilarious how EU can't even go up for a day anymore.. It's so funny that whole rally to 1.4 was such obvious manipulation. Total pump and dump. Nothing really changed in the EU we all knew they would print tons of euros and the fundamentals are terrible. People really have no clue just how rigged these markets are. I'm not complaining at all. Though it was completely brutal ever losing on a short on EUR/USD… but this is the nature of the markets we trade/invest in. They're rigged. They pushed it all the way up there to destroy shorts and get them...
At this time the € need to devalue to revive the economy. And not with a high currency, which will accomplish this.
High corrency less investment and EU at this time need like all countrys create Joobs...
All countries need devaluet the corrency according to the needs.

We Traders we must be prepared for the signs. Do not have to blame anything or anyone.

By the way... all Countries have robber banks.
  • #920,608
  • Aug 29, 2014 5:30pm Aug 29, 2014 5:30pm
Next week probably back to 3150-3165 and then further down towards 3100. Its ECB week, so it might form a 50-100 pip rage from monday to wednesday. Some crazyness is expected on thursday, as always. I wouldn't be surprised to see a big candle up, just to fool more into buying and then a slow steady drop again. Maybe even a re-test of 3333, even though that looks almost impossible with current PA, so lets rather say 3250, which is more realistic after Draghi. Anyway, nothing changes, other than on thursday, its still safer to short the spikes and only long for short scalps.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #920,609
  • Aug 29, 2014 6:10pm Aug 29, 2014 6:10pm
longing for scalps is too big a risk imho. american data is too solid to ignore at the moment.
  • #920,610
  • Edited 7:39pm Aug 29, 2014 7:17pm | Edited 7:39pm
Quoting Ck87
Hilarious how EU can't even go up for a day anymore.. It's so funny that whole rally to 1.4 was such obvious manipulation. Total pump and dump. Nothing really changed in the EU we all knew they would print tons of euros and the fundamentals are terrible. People really have no clue just how rigged these markets are. I'm not complaining at all. Though it was completely brutal ever losing on a short on EUR/USD… but this is the nature of the markets we trade/invest in. They're rigged. They pushed it all the way up there to destroy shorts and get them...
3739 was pretty obvious to me. 254 pips higher was just a wait for weakness. to return to 3102 (or 3084) norm before 4146 (4076).. there is also the smaller 4076 one.. that one has a normal move just a little lower, minimum at 3084.... its below 3102 and above 3012 a bear target.. 3084-3012=72 pips.. in these 72 pips may be the best chance for some sort of decent bounce. staking out 3079 or a um at 3051/52 mid 3024/25.... the setup for 4076 has a lm at 3045....what respected is who has the control mostly. 3084 and 3045 or levels between are probably bulls setting up a bounce . 3012 is a bear target, usually 3747 is needed before. what has me skeptical about these above smaller charts is the larger charts respecting levels like 3204. even if just briefly.. usdx and eu suggest this move has only crossed 1/4 of where its pointing.

just talking techs above, fundamentally. there is many reasons to drop further. the techs were built before many of these newer fundamentals were present. so now those tech targets for 4076 and 4146 may never happen.. the techs from the 2008 low, then the b/o in 2009 may be taking hold..they dont need a retrace.. we already have 2 humps since and this 1/2 hump to 3992...thats why 3204 and 3256 were important to me this week.. many were taken off guard when 315x gave up.. my last week close was below 3204.. when the week pp and the month pp seemed to far to reach in that area with no day closes above... it seemed to me we would make LL. it was no big surprise with 3102 being obvious to me.

fundamentally you have a 40 year reversal in the making with the addition of oil trend turned.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,611
  • Aug 29, 2014 7:42pm Aug 29, 2014 7:42pm
another day,another clone is born. i see ya
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,612
  • Aug 29, 2014 7:43pm Aug 29, 2014 7:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
another day,another clone is born. i see ya


I was trying to come up with an intelligent reply to your post but that is all I got for now.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #920,613
  • Aug 29, 2014 8:03pm Aug 29, 2014 8:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3739 was pretty obvious to me. 254 pips higher was just a wait for weakness. to return to 3102 (or 3084) norm before 4146 (4076).. there is also the smaller 4076 one.. that one has a normal move just a little lower, minimum at 3084.... its below 3102 and above 3012 a bear target.. 3084-3012=72 pips.. in these 72 pips may be the best chance for some sort of decent bounce. staking out 3079 or a um at 3051/52 mid 3024/25.... the setup for 4076 has a lm at 3045....what respected is who has the control mostly. 3084 and 3045 or levels between...
Ok Gator,

Question. To clarify, if 3102 is viable, what is target? I am not looking for prediction, just seeking to understand. I have something very similar. I am looking and charts seem "broken."
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #920,614
  • Edited 9:23pm Aug 29, 2014 9:07pm | Edited 9:23pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Ok Gator, Question. To clarify, if 3102 is viable, what is target? I am not looking for prediction, just seeking to understand. I have something very similar. I am looking and charts seem "broken."
the larger target was 4146.. at the same time, before it was a target a target for 3739 was valid. the target for 4146 most times has a retrace to 3012. the older target for 3739 had its retrace.. so it was assumed 3739 would be hit, and at some point after 3739, but before 4146, it would go back to 3102. 4076 is in there also. since 3102 is above 3084 it is no need to worry about it unless 3102 looks doable, its close enough to mention it.. another for 4676 (retrace completed 3227) is out there also, or even 5379 (retrace 2875).. either way the order is 4076 4146 4676 5379.. for 4076 getting to 3084 happens most times. but no need to worry about it with 3102 above first. with fundis changing this is mostly tp..bounces if any may be weaker as products become cheaper to produce in north america as more n america oil, ng is pumped
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,615
  • Aug 29, 2014 9:11pm Aug 29, 2014 9:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the larger target was 4146.. at the same time, before it was a target a for 3739 was valid. the target for 4146 most times has a retrace to 3012. the older target for 3739 had its retrace.. so it was assumed 3739 would be hit, and at some point after 3739, but before 4146, it would go back to 3102
Ok thank you for reply Gator.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #920,616
  • Aug 29, 2014 9:32pm Aug 29, 2014 9:32pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Ok Gator, Question. To clarify, if 3102 is viable, what is target? I am not looking for prediction, just seeking to understand. I have something very similar. I am looking and charts seem "broken."
3102 was never a target. its just a normal retrace min.. 3012 is a target, its retrace is 3747 before 3012... retrace that high is doubtful looking. but they always do look doubtful at the time.. the target for 4076 looks doubtful also.. but when we get to its 3084 retrace and we are approaching 3012. in that area 3012/3084 has the better bounce chances since both bears and bulls want the bounce.. the bears and bulls are in a shorter tf then the 2008 bear. and a bounce is against trend.. so it may not even reach 3747 much less 4076.. the last bounce that was slapped down was only 25% of a normal bounce.. if we haven't bounced, i will blindly long near 3012.. with stops a pip below..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,617
  • Aug 30, 2014 1:23am Aug 30, 2014 1:23am
Quoting Alobez
{quote} Not so bad spot after all
No.. congrats to you but at that moment we were fighting to get higher and we were actually close to breaking up after i posted, so i was not that much off. But not enough bulls to put it that tad higher which was needed.. So you sure got the better position. I was stupid not taking my profit or part of it, i should have known better with these small swings, rookie misstake. We rarely try four times for a breakout, so after the third one i should have bagged my profits when weaknes started to show.
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #920,618
  • Aug 30, 2014 1:29am Aug 30, 2014 1:29am
Quoting Passerby
{quote} I stop buying when gold drop below 88, so my average is below yours even after I take anothet long @84. Gold often used to fuel speculation. I expect a shake out when gold start to rise. I still expecting a break current high.
I have never actually compared the two in trading, i have seen many in here stating they don't have much in common and i trade them seperatly. So how do you use gold as a guide? all the time or only at specific situations?
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #920,619
  • Edited 2:33am Aug 30, 2014 1:55am | Edited 2:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} what happened is it hit 72.. stick with the program. now 85 fights it
SHit happens.. i should have waited, but i had to leave and did not dare to hold on. Could have gotten 85, i see that now, but i was also lucky i just killed it as I see we ended at 3131 the low of the week. My short got hit at 3149 and should be good to your 3102/4. After that i'm a bit clueless at the moment, i had expected this to end at highs and turn north next week, but also understood if 3150 is taken out, the picture changes, as after 4 days of pounding the lows, i would most likely not just settle for a test of 3140 or even 3130. So 3100 level is before any up, but now there is talk of 3125 could stop it.. But looking at how it has behaved untill now, i would stick to 3100.
3992 -> 3503 = 400 pips and round number area
3503 -> 3700 = 200 pips and still round numbers 50% retrace
3700 -> ? 3100 = 600 pips and again most likely round number 50% more drop than last leg
3100 - > 3400 = 300 pips still working with only round numbers and reaction of 50% more than last time and also a 50% retrace..

And then the killer move?
3400 - > 2788 = 600 pips 61.8 of the 1.2000-1.4000 move

Or building for a bigger retrace before 2788

3400 -> 3012ish = 400 pips This would indicate a 3 wave down with the bounce of 3012

3012 -> 3500 which would be 50% of the entire leg down 3992-3012
and finally 700 pips down to 2788

Fooked up or too easy?
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I don't even have a cool signature
  • #920,620
  • Aug 30, 2014 2:15am Aug 30, 2014 2:15am
...forex it's a crazy game, so as well the craziness can carry on like this !?

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