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EURUSD

  • #920,281
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:38pm Aug 28, 2014 1:38pm
Quoting JustAndy
{quote} I'm targeting the .3240-.3270; what's your target if you don't mind me asking?
3260. May close it manually during asia session.
  • #920,282
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:39pm Aug 28, 2014 1:39pm
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} 3260. May close it manually during asia session.
Yha...I will kill in 24 hours if we don't get there; just too much tension in Ukraine to keep it open over the WE.
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #920,283
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:44pm Aug 28, 2014 1:44pm
If anyone go long .. .I'm assuming the target should be 1.3215
I don't know why shooting for 1.3240 or 1.3260, it doesn't look reasonable at all.
Look at past couple of day, It break the resistance and hold 1.3215/20

I feel so stupid for shorting EA right now ...
Gonna closed at next break even..
  • #920,284
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:46pm Aug 28, 2014 1:46pm
Quoting aarontdang
If anyone go long .. .I'm assuming the target should be 1.3215 I don't know why shooting for 1.3240 or 1.3260, it doesn't look reasonable at all. Look at past couple of day, It break the resistance and hold 1.3215/20 I feel so stupid for shorting EA right now ... Gonna closed at next break even..
The only reason I have is TGIF
  • #920,285
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:48pm Aug 28, 2014 1:48pm
even with all the negative data today on the EUR price is still holding. impressing
  • #920,286
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:51pm Aug 28, 2014 1:51pm
Quoting aarontdang
If anyone go long .. .I'm assuming the target should be 1.3215 I don't know why shooting for 1.3240 or 1.3260, it doesn't look reasonable at all. Look at past couple of day, It break the resistance and hold 1.3215/20 I feel so stupid for shorting EA right now ... Gonna closed at next break even..
Not unreasonable at all IMHO...look at the daily lows getting higher and the daily hi getting higher...I might be wrong, but looks like a good setup in my mind right now
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #920,287
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:52pm Aug 28, 2014 1:52pm
Quoting aarontdang
If anyone go long .. .I'm assuming the target should be 1.3215 I don't know why shooting for 1.3240 or 1.3260, it doesn't look reasonable at all. Look at past couple of day, It break the resistance and hold 1.3215/20 I feel so stupid for shorting EA right now ... Gonna closed at next break even..
EA will go DOWN to 1.40344
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #920,288
  • Aug 28, 2014 1:56pm Aug 28, 2014 1:56pm
Quoting sherifFares
even with all the negative data today on the EUR price is still holding. impressing
I mentioned in one of my earlier response that "Price drives the news".

Those legacy years are over where news drives price, demand/supply drives the price etc.

In this digital world, price drives the news. Price moves first and news release later. Some call that Insider Trading.

Whatever, prices were pre-determined and news were fabricated according to the price.

Nap time. GL & CYA tomorrow.
  • #920,289
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:02pm Aug 28, 2014 2:02pm
Sitting a little underwater currently, but still thinking Asia will push it back towards 3160 to match the open/low of yesterday.

After that who knows.
  • #920,290
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:11pm Aug 28, 2014 2:11pm
Again and again I am impressed by people who search for reasons why pa does what it does.

And I repeat it again and again: This is a technical game, very seldom a fundamental one.

Try to find a system that gives you an edge and you are done.

No reason to look for anything else
  • #920,291
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:15pm Aug 28, 2014 2:15pm
Quoting JustAndy
Any other nutcase here holding a long? I'm sitting on one at the moment.
jupp, still long and will keep. Even though slow action i think we are setup for some higher numbers, could be a lot of shorts get covered tomorrow. So i will guard this one a bit and see..
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #920,292
  • Aug 28, 2014 2:37pm Aug 28, 2014 2:37pm
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} jupp, still long and will keep. Even though slow action i think we are setup for some higher numbers, could be a lot of shorts get covered tomorrow. So i will guard this one a bit and see..
I'm hoping to see 1.3167 again before going up
Never know what will happen
  • #920,293
  • Aug 28, 2014 3:57pm Aug 28, 2014 3:57pm
Hidden Divergence painting a pretty clear map north.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2014-08-28 at 4.54.30 PM.png Size: 180 KB
There's always money in the banana stand.
  • #920,294
  • Aug 28, 2014 4:13pm Aug 28, 2014 4:13pm
Quoting Miguel.N
{quote} ...ho my god, can you not see that you are the number loser who following me, you prove it here again, ...you are only one member of the loser gang ! ..and carry on longing with your gang, like that i carry on to thanks you for you money ! hahaha ... Losers are not allow to follow me ! -) {image}
Budge from the high horse please...it's really not a professional behave. This kind of behave shows clearly that you had (have?) some really rough time in the world of foreign exchange. Or you would not use this kind of psychological terror (posting thrilling pictures to scare everybody, who trades against you).
Winners will be from losers. Winners know how hard was the path to become a winner, and they don't forget that....
So Miguel, .
f(z)=z2+c
  • #920,295
  • Aug 28, 2014 4:22pm Aug 28, 2014 4:22pm
Quoting pedro319
{quote} USDCAD This setup didn't materialize as we didn't get any reversal candle or candlestick pattern, price plunged into monthly pivot + 1.27 Ext + .447 Ret daily chart, bounced strongly and reversal could happen from here. A green close 4 hours chart is what we want to see after rejection. Target is the same. EURUSD I was hoping to see a bullish engulfing and a close higher on the daily chart which didn't happen instead market seems to respect the upper border of a falling wedge on 4 hours chart, until a breakout happens it still looks bearish....
USDCAD
This last 4 hours candle gives more confidence in getting reversal up from here, but daily candle is not so good, you better off with small position until the reversal on daily is confirmed. Fresh data tomorrow!!

EURUSD
Trading posted pattern, stops can be moved to 1.3266 last swing 5 mins chart.

GBPUSD
Same update

USDJPY
Our idea worked to the pip and now you should move stops to BE due the amount of data on the calendar tonight. If you hold several positions, take some profit and leave the rest to run.

AUDUSD
Entry wasn't perfect but we didn't get a daily reversal candle that I expected if price had gone lower. If you are short you should tighten your stops as I am thinking price might try to reach 61.8 Ret daily chart, this obviously would be above Monthly pivot and Weekly R1 so those are the parameters to assess PA.

OIL Brent
I am not so confident now after the 4 hours candle rejection at Weekly R1. Keep it small and tight stops from now on until we see drastic changes.

Copper
Best trade of the day, you should consider some profit taking and leave rest to BE, I expect more downside next target is 3.1312 Weekly S1 + .786 Ret Daily chart.

GOLD
Another ABCD down this time on 4 hours chart is possible, price is not far from weekly pivot so a close below would confirm intention to go lower, price is still below Monthly pivot!!
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #920,296
  • Aug 28, 2014 4:45pm Aug 28, 2014 4:45pm
things a little cleaned up.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,297
  • Aug 28, 2014 5:39pm Aug 28, 2014 5:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} larger tf still closing below. since today was above 3204 already, closing below is not so bullish. closing below 3192 even less. bigger tf like week/ month still stronger. even above 3204, is 3256. it should be given respect on closing also. atm this is just noise or drift.. 3102 is small comparable to these/
sos
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,298
  • Aug 28, 2014 5:43pm Aug 28, 2014 5:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sos
it looks atm for one leg lower to 1.31672 (if we reach) for 1.31897 area and more upwars.... atm
  • #920,299
  • Aug 28, 2014 5:53pm Aug 28, 2014 5:53pm
Quoting Schickeria
{quote} you are the most attacket person on ff. but i have some respect and i'm on your side the last attack was from *iters they have never ever posted a analysis before but attacket you, while he/she is a old memeber and as i know he/she has predicted 1.38xx some times before, and your 1.3102 is now on the cards (if it will happen now - or lower levels) never one bull setup worked until now on my system - you called it too gator! let's see if it works now..................
go back to when gold was at the highs.. him and i had a disagreement... he was in the bull camp.. i was in the ancient relic is for natives dancing around campfires. with a big drop looming.. he attacked my logic and charts w/o one of his own on the personal perspective.. ken told him to calm down. he continued. so ken booted him, then atilla filled the void. needless to say, where is gold today? last summer 3729 became a future target.. so was 4146.. after reaching 3739 target.. it was time to look for the norm of 4146, that is 3102.. it was missed by a pip or so on the way to 3739.. since these fundis have changed, making 4146 less likely.. and since we already made the 2 humps since 2008 low.. this one to 3992 is a shallow third one.. that why i am watching 3204 or 3256,,, since this may be the 2008 continuation..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #920,300
  • Aug 28, 2014 5:57pm Aug 28, 2014 5:57pm
UC compressing, trying a small short 0860 sl 0867
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