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  • #918,921
  • Aug 24, 2014 3:53am Aug 24, 2014 3:53am
Hi Sam ,overall imo thats where its going I have daily ,weekly and monthly bearish at this point, but of course it could pull up a bit

if you think you can not stack odds better than 50-50 really I don't see why you'd want to be a trader ,id be careful with any fundi view at all


Quoting sam30
{quote} Hi, Bones... I am newbie here. I would like to asking about your bearish EU opinion. Last week candle range around 170 pips and full body candle down. If continued plung at what point you see the potential support or at least retrace. Just down through 130xx ?? .........there is strong support around 13160 and 13100. In my opinion, If it will retrace, the support turning resistance around 12950 and 13400 need to break(your picture) ....and its needs 100 pips up as well from closing price last week. so, if i must bet( since this is 50 :50...
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,922
  • Edited 4:33am Aug 24, 2014 4:22am | Edited 4:33am
so now I have 3 doji / hammers in a row ,that break to downside ?
somthing thats supposed to be bullish has confirmed with nice bearish candle this week ,in the scheme of the move quite large

unless market take them out they are a bearish continuation pattern simple as that ,



http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...77#post7679777


http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post7679774
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur USD w1 bearish continuation (DFB).png Size: 27 KB
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  • #918,923
  • Aug 24, 2014 4:43am Aug 24, 2014 4:43am
also Im looking at the eur itself ,on eur lfx,
under 2.3200 potentially very bearish generally ,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURLFXDaily 24.png Size: 24 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURLFXWeekly 24.png Size: 21 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,924
  • Aug 24, 2014 4:49am Aug 24, 2014 4:49am
or maybe the $ will help eu up ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDLFXWeekly 24.png Size: 25 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,925
  • Aug 24, 2014 4:55am Aug 24, 2014 4:55am
eur lfx @ 2.3000

divide

usd lfx @ 1.7650

= EU 1.3031

(weekly outlook)
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,926
  • Aug 24, 2014 5:29am Aug 24, 2014 5:29am
Quoting Bones
if you think you can not stack odds better than 50-50 really I don't see why you'd want to be a trader {quote}
RIGHT!!!!!!!!!!
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #918,927
  • Aug 24, 2014 5:32am Aug 24, 2014 5:32am
Hi Killer you agree ? I mean 50-50 is pretty dismal

Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} RIGHT!!!!!!!!!!
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  • #918,928
  • Aug 24, 2014 5:36am Aug 24, 2014 5:36am
usd chf ,got to be bullish to do that imo
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd CHF w1 (DFB).png Size: 30 KB
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  • #918,929
  • Aug 24, 2014 5:54am Aug 24, 2014 5:54am
some things in candles are called high probability ,but what % I couldn't say ,
dark cloud is high probability candle set up ,especially on monthly ,
add upper wick
add location and this month how many buyers so far



Quoting sam30
{quote} Hi, Bones... I am newbie here. I would like to asking about your bearish EU opinion. Last week candle range around 170 pips and full body candle down. If continued plung at what point you see the potential support or at least retrace. Just down through 130xx ?? .........there is strong support around 13160 and 13100. In my opinion, If it will retrace, the support turning resistance around 12950 and 13400 need to break(your picture) ....and its needs 100 pips up as well from closing price last week. so, if i must bet( since this is 50 :50...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbp USD monthly (DFB).png Size: 26 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,930
  • Aug 24, 2014 5:59am Aug 24, 2014 5:59am
also eu monthly has a high probability bearish set up called in the neck ,but this is a much more tricky set up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur USD monthl y 2(DFB).png Size: 25 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,931
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:08am Aug 24, 2014 6:08am
chart is bearish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur CAD monthly (DFB).png Size: 23 KB
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  • #918,932
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:12am Aug 24, 2014 6:12am
bearish

Quoting Bones
bears control eur aud {quote}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur AUD (DFB).png Size: 19 KB
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  • #918,933
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:13am Aug 24, 2014 6:13am
Quoting Bones
some things in candles are called high probability ,but what % I couldn't say , dark cloud is high probability candle set up ,especially on monthly , add upper wick add location and this month how many buyers so far {quote} {image}
Hi, Bones.

Thanks for your sharing ...its very helpfull since your analysis using montly, weekly dan daily TF and for me its just like get "mentoring" from senior member here...its greater than 100 pips win i think .

And its pathway for me to "move on" from M1,M5 TF as scalper.

tq
While knowledge speak up, the wisdom listen down
  • #918,934
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:15am Aug 24, 2014 6:15am
Sam start with monthly ,the misconception is no to monthly and weekly ,my accounts not big enough all that stuff
you wont need to or want to trade 15 min at all,



Quoting sam30
{quote} Hi, Bones. Thanks for your sharing ...its very helpfull since your analysis using montly, weekly dan daily TF and for me its just like get "mentoring" from senior member here...its greater than 100 pips win i think . And its pathway for me to "move on" from M1,M5 TF as scalper. tq
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,935
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:15am Aug 24, 2014 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} my problem here {image}
I foresee lots of whining on this path, but not a single caterpillar to flatten it. Fundi wise it would need lots of sugar-coating.
Whether it's going to be an exception to the "more-of-than-not"-rule is unknown.
  • #918,936
  • Aug 24, 2014 6:18am Aug 24, 2014 6:18am
you can trade the monthly on H4/d1 thats the truth ,anyway catch you later

Quoting Bones
Sam start with monthly ,the misconception is no to monthly and weekly ,my accounts not big enough all that stuff you wont need to or want to trade 15 min at all, {quote}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #918,937
  • Aug 24, 2014 9:15am Aug 24, 2014 9:15am
Quoting NorthTrader
{quote} He has said several times that it will be sooner rather than later. Obvioulsy he can't give an exact date and time, or that really would be the Holy Grail. My guess is he expects it to happen within the next few days, and certainly no later than the end of next week.

I'm curious to know what will happen if his 99.999% prediction doesn't happen by the end of next week. What are the implications of something failing that, according to him, has never failed before? I think that's kind of interesting and I'm pleased he's continuing to post...
From Aug 10 till todate, any good news?

If there's one, I will be willing to un-learn all I know about forex and go for the 99.999% probability the easy way.
  • #918,938
  • Aug 24, 2014 9:30am Aug 24, 2014 9:30am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} From Aug 10 till todate, any good news? If there's one, I will be willing to un-learn all I know about forex and go for the 99.999% probability the easy way.
What r your views for GJ next week
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #918,939
  • Aug 24, 2014 9:36am Aug 24, 2014 9:36am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} What r your views for GJ next week
GU and UJ will cancel each other out ....... USD will still dominate ..........

The GJ will be something similar to EJ or EA slowly drifting down .........
  • #918,940
  • Aug 24, 2014 9:45am Aug 24, 2014 9:45am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} GU and UJ will cancel each other out ....... USD will still dominate .......... The GJ will be something similar to EJ or EA slowly drifting down .........
I am expecting A BIG RED WEEKLY CANDLE all the way DOWN to 167.535
Lets see what Happens
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
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