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EURUSD

  • #916,541
  • Aug 13, 2014 12:19pm Aug 13, 2014 12:19pm
Quoting investing101
Please don't use technical analysis on small time frames, that is literally gambling.

apologies ,,
use technical analysis on small time frames, that is literally gambling. ???
and use big time frames is not literally gambling ???
very difficult to digest such analysis ???
  • #916,542
  • Aug 13, 2014 12:39pm Aug 13, 2014 12:39pm
Quoting CholiPop
{quote} Hello Nick.. How much did you earn today? I totally missed the action today. : (
Hello, thankyou for asking, well the day turned out to be quite good. Cable paid out more, but got out of my euro shorts, not where i wanted but close enough. Not in a small long scalp, lets see if it turns out to something, else we will look at how things look tomorrow. Strange PA today so i will be more careful the next couple of days.
The best thing with this market is that, if you miss one day, there are many more to come. So hope you get in on the action tomorrow. Saw your thread today, will see if there's anything i can add to the bag of tools
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #916,543
  • Aug 13, 2014 12:50pm Aug 13, 2014 12:50pm
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} Hello, thankyou for asking, well the day turned out to be quite good. Cable paid out more, but got out of my euro shorts, not where i wanted but close enough. Not in a small long scalp, lets see if it turns out to something, else we will look at how things look tomorrow. Strange PA today so i will be more careful the next couple of days. The best thing with this market is that, if you miss one day, there are many more to come. So hope you get in on the action tomorrow. Saw your thread today, will see if there's anything i can add to the...
I`ll be looking forward to it. See you later.
Banks scalp, why don't you?
  • #916,544
  • Aug 13, 2014 1:35pm Aug 13, 2014 1:35pm
Latest from White House on Iraq conflict,

  1. Says there are other ways to help stranded Iraqi’s
  2. Has not made decisions about how to carry out a rescue mission in Northern Iraq
  3. Options include creating safe corridors and airlifts
  4. Will be glad to see new Iraqi government in place
  5. In discussions with France and Australia on providing humanitarian assistance to displaced Iraqi’s
  6. Declines to rule out possibility of Us forces on the ground in Iraq in humanitarian role

Current 250ish military advisers / marines were already sent in Iraq.

If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #916,545
  • Aug 13, 2014 2:13pm Aug 13, 2014 2:13pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
Latest from White House on Iraq conflict, Says there are other ways to help stranded Iraqi’s Has not made decisions about how to carry out a rescue mission in Northern Iraq Options include creating safe corridors and airlifts Will be glad to see new Iraqi government in place In discussions with France and Australia on providing humanitarian assistance to displaced Iraqi’s Declines to rule out possibility of Us forces on the ground in Iraq in humanitarian role Current 250ish military advisers / marines were already sent in Iraq.
The problem here is, even though we pulled out of a (mostly stupid) "war against terrorism" in the middle east, ISIS is a specific group that simply MUST be destroyed. These guys are pure evil.

Going into combat against ISIS is different than the "war on terrorism".

I did a combat tour in the GWOT, so I'm not just armchair quarterbacking.
  • #916,546
  • Aug 13, 2014 2:28pm Aug 13, 2014 2:28pm
Nice bearish pinbar on H4
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  • #916,547
  • Aug 13, 2014 2:32pm Aug 13, 2014 2:32pm
Pinbar at the bottom of a move. Probabilities to succeed are lower than if it was on top. Way lower.

But its on a H4 chart (NY feed). Get a European one and your chart H4 will look different, no more pinbar
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #916,548
  • Aug 13, 2014 2:34pm Aug 13, 2014 2:34pm
I think good for a scalp... we should see further drop
  • #916,549
  • Edited 4:26pm Aug 13, 2014 2:35pm | Edited 4:26pm
My analysis:
Steady decrease and sharp increases followed by steady decreases again for a month.
It's afraid of that 1.3330 range and every time it's tested bulls surge and then bears slowly tick away at their progress.
Slow and steady wins the race for me here.
4hr - the aggressive move back down this morning was pretty forceful compared to the slow push down we've seen since late July. Bears are done playing. I'm waiting for tomorrow for a little retrace up to the 3375 region and then I'm going short.
I think 1.3330 will be broken soon.
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  • #916,550
  • Aug 13, 2014 2:43pm Aug 13, 2014 2:43pm
Hello everyone,

I have seen that in the 2010 - 2011, maybe even before these years (but i didn't check it) the volume of eur/usd (also gbp/usd) was much bigger than now.
I mean, if you check the average lenght of daily candels, or hourly candels, they were much bigger (more pips per candle) than 2013 - 2014.
This means less pips available per trade.
Do you have some information about this?
Trading with 5 minute chart, in 2011 was possible to get (or loose) in few candle 30 pips, now much lesser.
How do you menage this?

Thanks you,

Mirko
  • #916,551
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:25pm Aug 13, 2014 3:25pm
Quoting nessus94
Pinbar at the bottom of a move. Probabilities to succeed are lower than if it was on top. Way lower.
Solid call.

Quoting Pharm0r
The problem here is, even though we pulled out of a (mostly stupid) "war against terrorism" in the middle east, ISIS is a specific group that simply MUST be destroyed. These guys are pure evil. Going into combat against ISIS is different than the "war on terrorism". I did a combat tour in the GWOT, so I'm not just armchair quarterbacking.
From my perspective in trading this geopolitical event, however and whatever US like to fight this war, I need to see its short term and long term objectives in order to determine how these objectives would harm or benefit the economy and global economies. So far, there is still no objective, and the only thing out of Obama's statement that puts a meaningful note down on my book was "the project would take months to complete", and that was before marines was sent.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #916,552
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:30pm Aug 13, 2014 3:30pm
until now we have a perfect doji i think tomorrow will decide the trend
  • #916,553
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:35pm Aug 13, 2014 3:35pm
Good day to all,

Nice BULLISH abcd pattern at 50% fibo level...daily chart...

Sl @1,3263

The risk return ratio is very good in my eyes...tp at 61% fibo level

lets see

Venceremos
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The good thing with the future is that it is progressively approaching...
  • #916,554
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:57pm Aug 13, 2014 3:57pm
Quoting MrNow
61 will be the barrier for a possible 80.....I will give another 20 minutes......I have better thing to do then looking at tick charts....(which I have done for the last 4 hours)
  • #916,555
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:58pm Aug 13, 2014 3:58pm
Getting very close to throwing in the towel on the long USD idea. Seeing carney flip flop this morning reminds us that these central bankers will simply look in any direction that allows them to continue the current policy. I just dont see why two way risk in rates is anathema. The goal posts are continuously moved, and when you close they just switch to saying well now we're focused on the basketball hoop.

First it was housing, after that economic growth, then it was unemployment. Unemployment rate quickly moved to target and Forward guidance was debunked to focus on 'slack' (intentionally vague). Slack has now become synonymous with low wage growth.

Main thing i dont get is why does wage growth even matter? thats not your mandate. Janet yellen has some wiggle room with 1.6% inflation, but carney is near full employment AND at the inflation target already.

Question, how does the Fed or BoE decide whats full employment OR whats acceptable wage growth? Its purely based on old economy trends. You cant say 2% wage growth is 'low" in a world where women have become 52% of the work force, people across all ages have massive debt loads an are desperate for ANY job, there is significant immigration, the internet exists, technology takes jobs, the economy is nearly entirely service based, and most importantly 70% + people work for a large corporation. The labor market has basically become a oligopoly.


Wages arent going up any time soon and they know it. The biggest risk here seems to actually be that theres some kind of SPX selloff or China related stress that pushes rate hikes totally off the table for 2015.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #916,556
  • Aug 13, 2014 3:58pm Aug 13, 2014 3:58pm
US session was a great one for scalping the way up and the way down....You lucky boys
  • #916,557
  • Aug 13, 2014 4:33pm Aug 13, 2014 4:33pm
squeezing eu until todays open prints, looking for a bottoming pattern / buy on GC as close to 82 as possible, 1st small one filled 8216, this is not a small time frame trade looking at daily and weekly
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #916,558
  • Aug 13, 2014 4:54pm Aug 13, 2014 4:54pm
Will continue to scalp off S risking few pips until S is broken ........

Personal plan, not trade recommendation ......

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  • #916,559
  • Edited 6:09pm Aug 13, 2014 5:46pm | Edited 6:09pm
Short EU 1.3362. This bad boy still has some steam left in the down move. Careful sell though. Looking to buy in lower. No target price yet but the charts will tell all.
The Motto: Consistent and Highly Profitable
  • #916,560
  • Aug 13, 2014 6:13pm Aug 13, 2014 6:13pm
how about higher mortgages ,no money to pay ,?
the british love borrowing money

Quoting Citiboy
Getting very close to throwing in the towel on the long USD idea. Seeing carney flip flop this morning reminds us that these central bankers will simply look in any direction that allows them to continue the current policy. I just dont see why two way risk in rates is anathema. The goal posts are continuously moved, and when you close they just switch to saying well now we're focused on the basketball hoop. First it was housing, after that economic growth, then it was unemployment. Unemployment rate quickly moved to target and Forward guidance was...
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