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  • #916,221
  • Aug 12, 2014 7:42am Aug 12, 2014 7:42am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Why bankers come to FF? Hope you know whom I quoting. Major players has done their job in Jul. And they are watching free game now (in Aug). Whatever you see now (Aug) is moved my "Retailers" (not I and you) - Corporate retailers. Just my opinion.
Yeah very true, but still we act on movement, doesn't matter who moves it.

4H candle is not looking hot at the moment, not super bullish but not very bearish, lets see some pressure.
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  • #916,222
  • Aug 12, 2014 7:46am Aug 12, 2014 7:46am
Still dollar bull from data standpoint but if this war flares up USD will take a hit....



buying E/U 1.3351, SL 1.3335, Selling U/J 102.17 SL 102.27. Just want to see what happens if russia actually invades with this 'relief convoy'
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #916,223
  • Aug 12, 2014 7:48am Aug 12, 2014 7:48am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} Yeah very true, but still we act on movement, doesn't matter who moves it.
I don't expect major spike (100+) during this period. Slow and steady in bi-directional. Good for calm scalpers (not regular scalpers who exist within hours).
  • #916,224
  • Aug 12, 2014 7:53am Aug 12, 2014 7:53am
USDx touched the lower wedge trendline at 81.64, now we have to see if it will stay inside..
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  • #916,225
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:05am Aug 12, 2014 8:05am
Quoting NoCoolNick
USDx touched the lower wedge trendline at 81.64, now we have to see if it will stay inside..
Based on this buying, if we see a daily close above 1,3385, it could be the time for the awaited retrace by most of bulls.

The day is still young, and bulls can fail anywhere. A break above 1,3360 should be better and safer, otherwise the road below 1,3300 is opened
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #916,226
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:12am Aug 12, 2014 8:12am
sold 3361 sl 30 pips
follow the flow
  • #916,227
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:13am Aug 12, 2014 8:13am
Last updated: August 12, 2014 12:56 pm LDN Time
FT:Kiev vows to halt Russian aid convoy
By Kathrin Hille in Moscow and Roman Olearchyk in DonetskAuthor alerts
http://im.ft-static.com/content/imag...4c3348b08e.imgAP
An aid convoy of 280 trucks heads for Ukraine
Kiev said it would refuse entry to any Russian trucks allegedly carrying humanitarian aid into Ukraine and consider any illegal crossing on to its territory an act of aggression, hours after Moscow said it had sent 280 vehicles with relief goods on the way to the border.
Russia’s emergency ministry said on Tuesday that the convoy was part of an agreement to provide assistance under the auspices of the International Committee of the Red Cross, which also includes help from the EU, and suggested it would not cross the border. But by midday UK time, the ICRC had not confirmed that the Russian mission, which appeared to leave from a military base near Moscow, was part of the accord reached on Monday.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #916,228
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:13am Aug 12, 2014 8:13am
Quoting nessus94
{quote} Based on this buying, if we see a daily close above 1,3385, it could be the time for the awaited retrace by most of bulls. The day is still young, and bulls can fail anywhere. A break above 1,3360 should be better and safer, otherwise the road below 1,3300 is opened
If we close above 3385 today, something is wrong. But honestly i did not expect this high a push, BUT when price breaks away sharply from a trend or goes to fast in trend, price usually comes back to previous priceprojection and then resumes trend. And that should be around 3360 plus any overshoot, and then we should resume trend. Too bad i didn't hedge it, but it was to slow moving.
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  • #916,229
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:17am Aug 12, 2014 8:17am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} If we close above 3385 today, something is wrong. But honestly i did not expect this high a push, BUT when price breaks away sharply from a trend or goes to fast in trend, price usually comes back to previous priceprojection and then resumes trend. And that should be around 3360 plus any overshoot, and then we should resume trend. Too bad i didn't hedge it, but it was to slow moving.
1,3355/60 is around ZEW news, a retest was due.

We are at a make or break area now.

Choose your side

I'll try to stick with the bulls and see what they can do today. Unless 1,3360 is rejected strongly
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #916,230
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:18am Aug 12, 2014 8:18am
What is wrong with the USD it went into a free fall. Any news that I missed?
  • #916,231
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:23am Aug 12, 2014 8:23am
Quoting nessus94
{quote} 1,3355/60 is around ZEW news, a retest was due. We are at a make or break area now. Choose your side I'll try to stick with the bulls and see what they can do today. Unless 1,3360 is rejected strongly
Uhh.. long, yeah.. maybe it is the way.

Im betting we need to return to our previous channel and descend.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM15.png Size: 58 KB
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  • #916,232
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:24am Aug 12, 2014 8:24am
Quoting LouiseZA
What is wrong with the USD it went into a free fall. Any news that I missed?


Since everyone is already bullish on the USD, if there is a flare up of war or geopolitical tension that causes stocks to take a large hit then the Dollar will fall vs the Euro and Yens as markets expect rate hikes later into 2015
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #916,233
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:25am Aug 12, 2014 8:25am
Looks like this range will stay for a while. 3330-3430.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #916,234
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:25am Aug 12, 2014 8:25am
Quoting nessus94
{quote} 1,3355/60 is around ZEW news, a retest was due. We are at a make or break area now. Choose your side I'll try to stick with the bulls and see what they can do today. Unless 1,3360 is rejected strongly
Valid point. I did not notice that. EU is back to square (before ZEWS).
  • #916,235
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:33am Aug 12, 2014 8:33am
Quoting Eurusdd
Just like I said. EURUSD will do ups and downs and not go to 1.33364 straight. your chance to sell{image}
Looks like Eurusdd's infamous prediction came true... to the pip. I'm not his follower, fan, boyfriend or anything else, but got to give credit where credit's due.
You reap what you sow.
  • #916,236
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:35am Aug 12, 2014 8:35am
Quoting NorthTrader
{quote} Looks like Eurusdd's infamous prediction came true... to the pip. I'm not his follower, fan, boyfriend or anything else, but got to give credit where credit's due.

Sooner or later, anybody's prediction comes right. Consistancy is a different game
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #916,237
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:35am Aug 12, 2014 8:35am
Now lets get back under 3350 and continue down. Daily close should be near lows so it will most likely be slow moving for the rest of the day...
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  • #916,238
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:38am Aug 12, 2014 8:38am
Quoting NorthTrader
{quote} Looks like Eurusdd's infamous prediction came true... to the pip. I'm not his follower, fan, boyfriend or anything else, but got to give credit where credit's due.
Nothing wrong with that, but claiming you have a bulit a spaceship when you actually only have a cessna model plane and you have not even built it yourself, thats where his problems started. Keep it real.. and people will respect you.
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  • #916,239
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:39am Aug 12, 2014 8:39am
Quoting NoCoolNick
Now lets get back under 3350 and continue down. Daily close should be near lows so it will most likely be slow moving for the rest of the day...
I got a weird feeling euro is going to stay where it is now. Scalpers should be happy, between 30 and 60

But if 1,3360 is out, the game is up then. We are waiting NY
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  • #916,240
  • Aug 12, 2014 8:45am Aug 12, 2014 8:45am
Quoting nessus94
{quote} I got a weird feeling euro is going to stay where it is now. Scalpers should be happy, between 30 and 60 But if 1,3360 is out, the game is up then. We are waiting NY
Could very much happen. 1H candle could end bearish, Current 4H would invalidate previous bullish like candle.
We got only a fib 23.6 retracement from friday high <-> todays low = very bearish, but up move may not be over yet so this have to wait.
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