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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #47,481
  • Aug 7, 2014 7:11am Aug 7, 2014 7:11am
Quoting sergeibell
{quote} Yeah I think so too, although a kind of "fixing" also at that exact time could be, as it was done with the GU by a group of big bank´s traders. Anyway those kind of moves are so shady, specially with this low vol pair and the answer to them is not clear.
Might have been an oil payment. Japan buying lots now. Typical oil cargo $50m per ship, 3 times more if it is refined product. A few cargoes is a big hit.

edit: by which I mean it is convenient for Japan if UJ dips before an oil contract is settled.
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  • #47,482
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:31am Aug 7, 2014 9:31am
CAD/CHF long is where it's at now

But if I were JUST looking to get into a trade it would be THE BEAST. Long.

Seems to be just getting started now, although I am off to sleep.
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  • #47,483
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:35am Aug 7, 2014 9:35am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} Might have been an oil payment. Japan buying lots now. Typical oil cargo $50m per ship, 3 times more if it is refined product. A few cargoes is a big hit. edit: by which I mean it is convenient for Japan if UJ dips before an oil contract is settled.
Nice theory, could be also, altough BoJ is not precisely prone to strengthening the JPY.
  • #47,484
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:55am Aug 7, 2014 9:55am
Went ahead and cut my shorts for a little over 100 pips.

Moving slow, sitting right on the support I mentioned earlier this week. I'll look to L around 101.25, or short for the 3rd time higher up. We'll see this evening.
  • #47,485
  • Aug 7, 2014 10:51am Aug 7, 2014 10:51am
Shorted 102.32. TP 101.3. Hopefully.
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  • #47,486
  • Aug 7, 2014 8:37pm Aug 7, 2014 8:37pm
BREAKING - White House Obama: Air Strikes in Iraq is a GO.
USDJPY Breaks 102.00
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  • #47,487
  • Aug 7, 2014 8:40pm Aug 7, 2014 8:40pm
You mean humanitarian aid via air drops I think?
  • #47,488
  • Aug 7, 2014 8:42pm Aug 7, 2014 8:42pm
Oh ya Bloomberg confirms, sorry.
  • #47,489
  • Aug 7, 2014 8:55pm Aug 7, 2014 8:55pm
Massive shorts in at 101.90, SL 102.02. Targeting a break of 101.20 and maybe down to 98 if stocks can really get going lower.



Have Aussie shorts as well so this is basically short AUDJPY
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  • #47,490
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:07pm Aug 7, 2014 9:07pm
USDJPY eyes on 101.00.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #47,491
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:08pm Aug 7, 2014 9:08pm
Quoting Hyperion
Oh ya Bloomberg confirms, sorry.
yeah, it's confirmed. I am waiting to see how it plays out this weekend.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #47,492
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:41pm Aug 7, 2014 9:41pm
Quoting Citiboy
Something going on here, Yen selling off broadly... got stopped out yesterday on a core large long at 102.40... adding longs back here at 102.39, SL at 102.20. Targeting 108 long term Japanese Gov pension fund new allocation announcement are out this month. If the ECB dissapoints on easing tmrw the JPY will likely lose ground.
Quoting Citiboy
Massive shorts in at 101.90, SL 102.02. Targeting a break of 101.20 and maybe down to 98 if stocks can really get going lower. Have Aussie shorts as well so this is basically short AUDJPY
Did you cut your longs?
  • #47,493
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:44pm Aug 7, 2014 9:44pm
long at 101.67
  • #47,494
  • Aug 7, 2014 9:47pm Aug 7, 2014 9:47pm
Looks to me like only a knee-jerk sell off. Equities futures are starting to recover, muted reaction in commodities. ISIS is more of a medium term play atm. U/J intrinsic value at 102.00, but I did miss picking up some pips on the Yen crosses.
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  • #47,495
  • Aug 8, 2014 12:09am Aug 8, 2014 12:09am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} {quote} Did you cut your longs?


Yes I left in my stops overnight last night at 102.20, got stopped out. I get stopped out alot but my SL is usually small and I have big targets relative to the small stops.
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  • #47,496
  • Aug 8, 2014 7:21am Aug 8, 2014 7:21am
Even if the trend line may be wrong, i wish to see a pullback into the USDJPY if it fails to break 102.10 level.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH1.png Size: 37 KB
  • #47,497
  • Aug 8, 2014 9:53am Aug 8, 2014 9:53am
Quoting san99
Looks to me like only a knee-jerk sell off. Equities futures are starting to recover, muted reaction in commodities. ISIS is more of a medium term play atm. U/J intrinsic value at 102.00, but I did miss picking up some pips on the Yen crosses.
But US 10yr treasury yields got spooked and they are at yearly lows and the pair really likes to follow them.
  • #47,498
  • Aug 8, 2014 10:04am Aug 8, 2014 10:04am
Quoting sergeibell
{quote} But US 10yr treasury yields got spooked and they are at yearly lows and the pair really likes to follow them.
And yet, the USD/JPY is not going down with them, but rising somewhat still. To me it means it's a good long still.
  • #47,499
  • Aug 8, 2014 11:56am Aug 8, 2014 11:56am
Selling USD JPY Time @ 101.860.
101.300 or below target area
  • #47,500
  • Aug 8, 2014 11:58am Aug 8, 2014 11:58am
1 Hour chart of the last 2 weeks show super bearish chart and RSI
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