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Sonic R. System

  • #74,781
  • Aug 3, 2014 3:36am Aug 3, 2014 3:36am
Quoting gigicualex
{quote} Xiatiao, May I ask you what you've seen on the PVSRA to go for the 1st short scout? Thanks
Hi,

I opened that 1st short scout based on these: a Long stop hunt appeared, bullish volume decreases, and the price came back above quarter number with high volume again.

Regards,
XT
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Trading is not easy
  • #74,782
  • Aug 3, 2014 3:59pm Aug 3, 2014 3:59pm
My weekend Homework has been looking at AUD/USD with AUD interest rate decision coming this week. I've read TAH's comments stating he doesn't trade the news he trades his charts, which I like because it brings into the view the fact that the news is already built into PA. I have been trying to apply PSRVA without considering RBA's recent comments and I'm finding it very difficult.

If I look at at M15 and H1 per Sonic I see clear signs of Bullish run forming, both with Waveform/ Dragon/ and TL.
Pics 1 and 2.

Then looking at H4 I start to think Friday's MM shenanigans were simply to a Stop-Hunt to knock out SL on shorts while they (MM) built more shorts.
D1 also shows a clear downward wave with Dragon & TL beginning to turn. Pic 3

At present this is how I see it and being still new I don't know if we should still rely on M15 and H1 the same week as potential game changer news releases.
Any other thoughts on this would be awesome, or we can always just wait and see.


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  • #74,783
  • Edited 8:37pm Aug 3, 2014 6:03pm | Edited 8:37pm
Quoting slimypips
My weekend Homework has been looking at AUD/USD with AUD interest rate decision coming this week. I've read TAH's comments stating he doesn't trade the news he trades his charts, which I like because it brings into the view the fact that the news is already built into PA. I have been trying to apply PSRVA without considering RBA's recent comments and I'm finding it very difficult. If I look at at M15 and H1 per Sonic I see clear signs of Bullish run forming, both with Waveform/ Dragon/ and TL. Pics 1 and 2. Then looking at H4 I start to think Friday's...
AUDUSD:

slimypips.

We should wait and see, give more time to possibly get more clues.

Look at the Week chart - FR 79% retrace from a big down week last week - and see that now the MMs have the price low again, ahead of the AUD releases this week. This could be a sign the MMs are bulls that whacked the price and covered their shorts, which would account for the climbing price on Friday - buying to close shorts.

Let us wait and see if the MMs whack the price again - double bottom maybe on M15 and with high activity at lows, early in the week - which could be a sign they are loading up on longs.
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Edit: And one way to get longs to load up on is to coax longs in early in the week, at higher prices than are coming, and later whack the price - Stop Hunt those longs - which accomplishes three things: it busts longs with SLs that get hit, it suck in shorters for instant liquidity for the MMs to add longs, and it gets the price lower for on-going accumulation of longs by the MMs.
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Edit: If the Robber Bank MMs are planning to coax longs in and later Stop Hunt them, maybe we should keep an eye out for what PA does if it gets to the TL drawn on this H1 chart. If PA gets there - and fails (btwn there and half number?) - we might get a Classis short setup to include the Stop Hunt move down. However "Iffy", it is still possible.
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  • #74,784
  • Aug 3, 2014 10:24pm Aug 3, 2014 10:24pm
I 0pened Long classic AUD/USD
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  • #74,785
  • Aug 4, 2014 12:56am Aug 4, 2014 12:56am
USDCAD potential short
D1 higher more active, resistance, above whole number
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H4
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H1
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  • #74,786
  • Aug 4, 2014 12:58am Aug 4, 2014 12:58am
AUDUSD Potential Short till RDL..
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  • #74,787
  • Aug 4, 2014 1:08am Aug 4, 2014 1:08am
Quoting FXRobert
USDCAD potential short D1 higher more active, resistance, above whole number {image} H4 {image} H1 {image}
i have built 0.8 lot short positon ,but i do believe it is not a good trade,jumping too early,so i will not add any more until good times arrives, if price go down ,in h1 chart ,maybe we will see h-s pattern,if pa break through the neckline with huge vol ,maybe the good time arrives.
in my opponion ,the bulls still control the situation , the pa going down is just the retracement. i do not know whether my thoughts are right,just share my thoughts.
  • #74,788
  • Aug 4, 2014 1:10am Aug 4, 2014 1:10am
Quoting Dindulkar
AUDUSD Potential Short till RDL.. {image} {image}
I watching AUDUSD too.
  • #74,789
  • Aug 4, 2014 1:47am Aug 4, 2014 1:47am
AUDJPY clasic M5 pre LO.
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  • #74,790
  • Aug 4, 2014 1:49am Aug 4, 2014 1:49am
EU, long ,classic sonicRsystem EP.With SL.
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  • #74,791
  • Aug 4, 2014 2:08am Aug 4, 2014 2:08am
Quoting lzhcz
{quote} i have built 0.8 lot short positon ,but i do believe it is not a good trade,jumping too early,so i will not add any more until good times arrives, if price go down ,in h1 chart ,maybe we will see h-s pattern,if pa break through the neckline with huge vol ,maybe the good time arrives. in my opponion ,the bulls still control the situation , the pa going down is just the retracement. i do not know whether my thoughts are right,just share my thoughts.
I agree. I have same orders but I wait what happend on H1.
  • #74,792
  • Aug 4, 2014 2:38am Aug 4, 2014 2:38am
GBPJPY classic short

There is some increased volume activity above 3/4 number, dragon angled down, both price and dragon below the trend line. I'm aware that I've shorted into support (the 1/2 number 172.5 acted as supp and resist. in the past) but I'm willing to accept the risk
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  • #74,793
  • Aug 4, 2014 2:44am Aug 4, 2014 2:44am
Quoting FXRobert
AUDJPY clasic M5 pre LO. {image}
Closed with small profit
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  • #74,794
  • Aug 4, 2014 7:30am Aug 4, 2014 7:30am
Quoting gigicualex
GBPJPY classic short There is some increased volume activity above 3/4 number, dragon angled down, both price and dragon below the trend line. I'm aware that I've shorted into support (the 1/2 number 172.5 acted as supp and resist. in the past) but I'm willing to accept the risk {image}
Support at half number rejected, closing with a small lost
  • #74,795
  • Edited 9:19am Aug 4, 2014 9:03am | Edited 9:19am
Comment EURUSD:

The first EUR high impact release comes in just under three days. Meanwhile, there are USD high impact releases. This is just speculation on my part, but I do not think the USD releases will be the key. I think the Robber Bank MMs plan on an eventual move higher, but are supporting the price now only to coax longs in - longs that will become future liquidity for the Robber Bank MMs to accumulate longs by running a Stop Hunt on the longs that are coming in. Such a Stop Hunt might be in conjunction with the EUR release, and then after robbing others of their long positions, the Robber Bank MMs will move the price up.

Remember, market moves are all about the Robber Bank MMs getting liquidity to build their positions to take advantage of the price jumps the Robber Banks plan on making.

We cannot know how price will move next, so remember that this is just speculation. But the highlighted bar on the attached chart gives grounds to suspect the MMs are loading some shorts. Shorting now against longs that are being coaxed in is a way to make additional profits when a Stop Hunt on longs is executed and the MMs whack the price lower. The attached chart also shows that the US Robber Bank MMs today hiked the price above the quarter level for awhile, during which time they too traded heavily.

WARNING: Speculative.
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  • #74,796
  • Aug 4, 2014 9:21am Aug 4, 2014 9:21am
EURJPY h1 classic setup for short.
HnS seen as well.

Classic setup is manifested as right shoulder of distributive pattern.
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  • #74,797
  • Aug 4, 2014 10:41am Aug 4, 2014 10:41am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} AUDUSD: slimypips. We should wait and see, give more time to possibly get more clues. Look at the Week chart - FR 79% retrace from a big down week last week - and see that now the MMs have the price low again, ahead of the AUD releases this week. This could be a sign the MMs are bulls that whacked the price and covered their shorts, which would account for the climbing price on Friday - buying to close shorts. Let us wait and see if the MMs whack the price again - double bottom maybe on M15 and with high activity at lows, early in the week...
AUDUSD Short Trade Opened:

Scout entry based on referenced analysis. If the Robber Bank MMs run the price up again (an after hours move?) I plan to add again. No TP at this time, but I doubt it will end up lower than the 3/4 level below. However, we can never know what the Robber Banks will do with the price as they manipulate it to create liquidity to build their positions.
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  • #74,798
  • Aug 4, 2014 11:01am Aug 4, 2014 11:01am
Quoting traderathome
Comment EURUSD: The first EUR high impact release comes in just under three days. Meanwhile, there are USD high impact releases. This is just speculation on my part, but I do not think the USD releases will be the key. I think the Robber Bank MMs plan on an eventual move higher, but are supporting the price now only to coax longs in - longs that will become future liquidity for the Robber Bank MMs to accumulate longs by running a Stop Hunt on the longs that are coming in. Such a Stop Hunt might be in conjunction with the EUR release, and then after...
Comment EURUSD:

The reference scenario might be starting to play out. This does not look like the start of a Stop Hunt on longs. It is probably just the Robber Banks being sure to get some extra shorts on-board before the close of the LS, to profit from that eventual Stop Hunt move. Very speculative, though.
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  • #74,799
  • Aug 4, 2014 6:58pm Aug 4, 2014 6:58pm
Quoting leentjai
I 0pened Long classic AUD/USD {image}
closed with tiny profit +65p
Sorry , for some reason label disappeared...
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  • #74,800
  • Aug 4, 2014 7:20pm Aug 4, 2014 7:20pm
I opened short scout AUD/USD
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