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GBP/NZD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD

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GBPNZD trading calls

  • #321
  • Jul 25, 2014 5:53am Jul 25, 2014 5:53am
Quoting pladee
{quote} Loaded 4 Short Position
4?Maybe that to much?Now looks like H1 has a double top.
  • #322
  • Jul 25, 2014 7:03am Jul 25, 2014 7:03am
shorting is the last thing i want to do with this pair. the best thing is stay away until clear direction. if i HAD to take a side, i would buy.
good luck everybody.
As Above, So Below
  • #323
  • Jul 25, 2014 7:09am Jul 25, 2014 7:09am
Quoting BogiFX
{quote} 4?Maybe that to much?Now looks like H1 has a double top.
4 with a small lot , not too much too try with SL .
Learning and Learing
  • #324
  • Jul 25, 2014 12:19pm Jul 25, 2014 12:19pm
Quoting pladee
{quote} 4 with a small lot , not too much too try with SL .
  • #325
  • Jul 25, 2014 12:35pm Jul 25, 2014 12:35pm
Hi, the train stopped for now ... the question is, how far will it go? With NZD at support and GBP/USD under pressure, it is definitely worth a try at least.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #326
  • Jul 25, 2014 8:19pm Jul 25, 2014 8:19pm
Hi Guys..

This may not relate to this pair...

But do you guy know anyone can write the EA ?? Or where i can ask about it ??
Learning and Learing
  • #327
  • Jul 26, 2014 9:08pm Jul 26, 2014 9:08pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
Took a trade fading the NZD rate hike rally. 50+ pips not too bad. Normally I stay away from the rate hike section, I give half day to let the price to settle down. Took a short after price slip under 1.9850{image} Target 1.9800 hit {image} Target 1.9750 hit {image} http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...60#post7630160
Love the trade!
Market is my GOD!
  • #328
  • Jul 26, 2014 9:09pm Jul 26, 2014 9:09pm
Quoting BogiFX
GBP-NZD h4 has almost a double top.
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Good observation, the question is: Do you dare to jump in?
Just like you said, it's ALMOST double top. 4H uptrend is still intact. =)
Market is my GOD!
  • #329
  • Jul 27, 2014 8:32pm Jul 27, 2014 8:32pm
The pair is now above the Kijun-sen and the cloud on the weekly time frame.

The only thing stopping this pair from this pair from a long term bull run is

1) Last months high... 1.9900

2) The 200EMA and this years high around 2.03.

There are no guarantees... but I would buy. Rollover will hurt no doubt.

August 7th BOE MPC statement should be interesting
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ichmoku 1 week GBPNZD.gif Size: 508 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: MA week GBPNZD.gif Size: 484 KB
  • #330
  • Jul 27, 2014 8:58pm Jul 27, 2014 8:58pm
Gidday GBP/NZ

Thanks for posting chart

yeah watching how this play out

I got a couple of shorts in

learned my lesson about trade size in playing in these pairs

Going to be great fun what ever happens
  • #331
  • Jul 29, 2014 12:51pm Jul 29, 2014 12:51pm
Gidday GBP/NZD

Well whats happening now

will it break 2.0+

We know it can

I am not sure but have a couple shorts in already

An a small long to 2.0+

Thinking NZ 0.84
  • #332
  • Jul 29, 2014 12:56pm Jul 29, 2014 12:56pm
Quoting eliteincome
Gidday GBP/NZD Well whats happening now will it break 2.0+ We know it can I am not sure but have a couple shorts in already An a small long to 2.0+ Thinking NZ 0.84
I would not do it, except you have a lot of money and/or very small positions. My shorts just got killed last night. And before a serious NZD bounce, I do not want to put my head in front of this speed train. No offense of course.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #333
  • Jul 29, 2014 3:00pm Jul 29, 2014 3:00pm
Quoting Hickson
{quote} I would not do it, except you have a lot of money and/or very small positions. My shorts just got killed last night. And before a serious NZD bounce, I do not want to put my head in front of this speed train. No offense of course.

I got wasted short last night as well. I saw a bearish divergence forming and jumped in with too tight a stop loss.

The divergence still seems to be there. Has anybody had any luck using divergences as an indicator with this pair?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2014-07-29 16.47.24.png Size: 71 KB
  • #334
  • Jul 29, 2014 7:10pm Jul 29, 2014 7:10pm
Gidday GBP/NZD

The big spike has throw a lot of the best laid plans out the window

I guess NZ won't hit parity this week

I see posts saying down 0.80 an much lower.

One thing for sure is we will get plenty off chances to earn some pips

I am waiting to see what happens around 2.0 etc
  • #335
  • Jul 30, 2014 8:03am Jul 30, 2014 8:03am
Now it may be time to start thinking about shorts. however, short it at your own risk and keep a reasonable sl.
took small short at 1.9952. if i see anything weird, am all OUT. this beast may go far beyond 2.0000
As Above, So Below
  • #336
  • Jul 30, 2014 8:07am Jul 30, 2014 8:07am
Wow u enetered the same price as mine. I just enter the shorts

i guess that 1.9967 mught able to hold the position for one more time
Learning and Learing
  • #337
  • Jul 31, 2014 3:41am Jul 31, 2014 3:41am
Hi, hows your guys positive swap fees on these shorts? and whats your brokers spread? thx M
  • #338
  • Aug 2, 2014 10:32am Aug 2, 2014 10:32am
Closed all my shorts @ 1.9788 before the weekend, should have closed @ 1.9753, but I hesitated a bit and price went back up, but that's okay, 403 pips since July 24th.

For 2012mysterio question about the swap, it gave almost 1% profit on positive swap, my broker has around 12 pips spread on this pair, but it can go up to 25-30 pips spread during news and on the opening of the asian session, I know it sucks such a large spread. This is a pair that I respect and I don't mess around with it.

This is my favorite pair and it does require a lot of patience and if you have a tight SL on this pair, you can get burnt, I had a premature short on the 24th that was negative, but my SL was far away and after NFP released, it helped GPB/NZD to go my way and finally give the correct movement I expected.

I'll post another graph to show what I mean.

Fx 35
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZD trade calls closed 01 08 with 403 pips.png Size: 35 KB
  • #339
  • Aug 2, 2014 10:54am Aug 2, 2014 10:54am
This is the Daily TF, price touched previous resistance that is now acting as support, if it breaks below with a decisive bearish candle, expect price to go back to the upward trenline or at least test previous low @ 1.9558, there is also previous sup area @ 1.9400.

On the upside, if price holds where it is now, expect price to test previous high @ 1.9950 to try to break the psychological level @ 2.000.

Trade accordingly and happy pips to everyone.

Fx 35
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GPB NZD Daily 02 08 2014.png Size: 52 KB
  • #340
  • Aug 2, 2014 7:48pm Aug 2, 2014 7:48pm
GBPNZD hit and faded from its major resistant level at 1.9950.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2014-8-2 19-14-27.png Size: 40 KB


I'd expect some range play next week for this pair.

Full analysis along with GBPJPY
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...53#post7647853
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