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  • #910,941
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:17pm Jul 16, 2014 3:17pm
Quoting CandleStar
By all means no one can call this trading anymore. Moving pa for 1-2 hours and then doing nearly nothing for 10 hours is bs even for the MMs. Does someone know what they are living from for doing nothing? Bonusses, salaries, what for?
They will often turn to elsewhere, there are loads of other instruments actually moving.
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  • #910,942
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:22pm Jul 16, 2014 3:22pm
Today was a good day 100 pips down on EURUSD but I guess now price will face strong support at 1.3520
  • #910,943
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:26pm Jul 16, 2014 3:26pm
Quoting janpec1000
Looking to expand into EA shorts on bounce to 4475 if happens. AUD should strenghten more in next days. CAD pairs could offer shorts here, at least down to news wicks. CandleStar, the solution is not to move outside FX, solution is to expand your trading pairs. If you trade all majors you should not have excuses to not having chance placing at least few trades per day unless you are having very conservative system. But if you are looking for addition Bitcoin trading makes nice addition, no margin trading, get few BTCs and day trade them (no shorts)....
Any reason why AUD may strengthen?
  • #910,944
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:37pm Jul 16, 2014 3:37pm
possible ej short 138.37 area
possible au short 94.15/16 area
possible eu short 3637/38 area
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #910,945
  • Jul 16, 2014 3:39pm Jul 16, 2014 3:39pm
This is Q3 S1 atm/slightly below, watch what LO will do tomorrow morning I got 3503 as last low so could be nice DB here or a break tomorrow
swing it!
  • #910,946
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:03pm Jul 16, 2014 4:03pm
Quoting tomspin
This is Q3 S1 atm/slightly below, watch what LO will do tomorrow morning I got 3503 as last low so could be nice DB here or a break tomorrow
Hi Tomspin,
Is there any indicator calculates Q pivots?Thanks
  • #910,947
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:13pm Jul 16, 2014 4:13pm
Asian session could see a retrace to 1.35395 area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-15M.png Size: 41 KB
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #910,948
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:17pm Jul 16, 2014 4:17pm
Quoting milam
{quote} Closed my 3 shorts: +120, +67 and 17 pips, made 25% in two weeks. REasons: I see a up trendline on the weekly......I do not mess with them... {image}
seems it went down quite a bit more........well.... it could also have gone the other way.....Happy with mine......
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #910,949
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:18pm Jul 16, 2014 4:18pm
On the Daily and 4H, any retrace bounce from 1.3624 should aim for 1.3562 to 1.3572
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-1D.png Size: 57 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-4H.png Size: 63 KB
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #910,950
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:31pm Jul 16, 2014 4:31pm
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Any reason why AUD may strengthen?
Yes technical reasons. I was posting last week already that we will go up on AUD due to H4 structure, and that demand will soon bounce which it did. Now this is breaktrough structure forming, however it has to go trough many strong supply zones so it might not be full one direction, but in any case price should not consolidate in current area it has to go somewhere rather robustly.
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Additional pressure release should come from EA, with very bearish daily structure.
Also if current support fails on GA it will also have bull impact on AUD (current GA structure calls for break, but it could bounce first and then break in next 24h)
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  • #910,951
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:54pm Jul 16, 2014 4:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
possible ej short 138.37 area possible au short 94.15/16 area possible eu short 3637/38 area
G, those would be second chances. So why didn't take the first ones? Do you think they will come back to the same spots? I thought this would be very difficult, I missed the first opportunity on the eurusd and didn't expect a second one. I mean, if this happens, it can go even upper so it can be invalidated. Or am I missing something?
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  • #910,952
  • Jul 16, 2014 4:55pm Jul 16, 2014 4:55pm
both aussie & kiwi at interesting levels, kiwi more so, retesting yesterdays breach of previous lows (4hr) 2nd retest in progress now, today is mainly aussie data, so if usd stays flat movement on either ill be their own currencies,
kiwi 8714 - 8720
aussie has cruised up into 5osma which has just crossed(down) thru 200 sma, she has put in a nice double bottom on 4hr and could easily go another 40 or 50 pips higher, but daily and weekly is saying there is plenty of fresh air below also, so both need an eyeball specifically for own currency movement

eu well euro has been spanked two days straight, possibly continuing power from May and again July sell off hopefully many bulls here heeded the warnings and kept trades tight, I see most have left, no sl guys will be sweating profusely by now, however she has entered previous lows zone on daily, they should start holding if they dont, more pain coming

back for aussie data in 2 hrs which co-insides with my northern zone open
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  • #910,953
  • Jul 16, 2014 5:13pm Jul 16, 2014 5:13pm
i will wait for 13575
  • #910,954
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:21pm Jul 16, 2014 7:21pm
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Hi Tomspin, Is there any indicator calculates Q pivots?Thanks
On a daily chart, set you pivot length to 3 months. Do not use a weekly chart, since the first day of a quarter may start in the middle of a week.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #910,955
  • Edited 7:36pm Jul 16, 2014 7:24pm | Edited 7:36pm
Quoting Goodvalley
{quote} G, those would be second chances. So why didn't take the first ones? Do you think they will come back to the same spots? I thought this would be very difficult, I missed the first opportunity on the eurusd and didn't expect a second one. I mean, if this happens, it can go even upper so it can be invalidated. Or am I missing something?
some people like to trade a b/o. it hasn't broke out atm. at least 3502 hasn't broke out.. the b/o of 3589 on a small scale targeted 3527. on it the normal retrace was 3619. after hitting 3519 we dropped and went to 3527,,,,thats the way most work.. we went to 3619 with a void at 3651... so in that zone a trade could be made to target 3527 with 3651 as a risk. that one has completed.

the possible next one would be 3451. for it 3637 is the same as 3619 was.. to get to 3451 it has to break 3502. atm we have never done the one associated with 3502 break. that one is 373x... the one associated with the break last night for 3451 is 3637.
a reason i dont like trading a b/o until a retrace.. we completed 3527, the low is the atm um for 3451. i posted the chart earlier.. the khaki colored one.. so near 3502 it may fail with a target below..
i like at least 2 humps for a b/o. the first to test jan low is 3502, the second would be a b/o below 3502.. then a bounce to norm most times.

the 3 posted are not a reason to long. they may be a chance entry for those not already short.
and a normal retrace at some point after a break of 3502 is 373x
there is no possible way that i can know what will happen. i do know if its bearish, the higher i enter the better r/r
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #910,956
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:41pm Jul 16, 2014 7:41pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
both aussie & kiwi at interesting levels, kiwi more so, retesting yesterdays breach of previous lows (4hr) 2nd retest in progress now, today is mainly aussie data, so if usd stays flat movement on either ill be their own currencies, kiwi 8714 - 8720 aussie has cruised up into 5osma which has just crossed(down) thru 200 sma, she has put in a nice double bottom on 4hr and could easily go another 40 or 50 pips higher, but daily and weekly is saying there is plenty of fresh air below also, so both need an eyeball specifically for own currency...

looks like 8720 might be holding for now actually .0004 short on one broker .ooo8 on another, am in small but not overly confident as yet still close to 4hr recent lows, however if that is the pullback completed next level will be those 4hr lows 8696 ish maybe even down too 8688
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  • #910,957
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:42pm Jul 16, 2014 7:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
i know bears dont want to go back to 3637/38... i was thinking 3589.. not so sure. atm... we did 3619.. so 3527 is wide open even with a mofu bounce.. so the need to go back to 3619 is satisfied. but before we go to 3451 if a LL is the plan.. 3637 is no surprise. bears need to close a candle like the current sub 3493 {image}
gv posted 33 hours earlier, maybe more before. too lazy to look.. just before this post.. the others are irt what happend
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #910,958
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:45pm Jul 16, 2014 7:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}........ the possible next one would be 3451. for it 3637 is the same as 3619 was.. to get to 3451 it has to break 3502. ...... and a normal retrace at some point after a break of 3502 is 373x .......
It either bounces now or breaks down 3502 and bounces near your 3451. Fib extension likes 1.272 and 1.618 very much. So if it breaks down now, the next bounce area is near your 3451, which is near quarterly S1 at 3465, which is at the edge of current market profile, a place mostly for big reversal.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro_D_353.png Size: 43 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #910,959
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:48pm Jul 16, 2014 7:48pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} looks like 8720 might be holding for now actually .0004 short on one broker .ooo8 on another, am in small but not overly confident as yet still close to 4hr recent lows, however if that is the pullback completed next level will be those 4hr lows 8696 ish maybe even down too 8688
kiwi quarterly and monthly pivots (same) at 8651 says hi to kiwi.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #910,960
  • Jul 16, 2014 7:58pm Jul 16, 2014 7:58pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} kiwi quarterly and monthly pivots (same) at 8651 says hi to kiwi.
yep, also playing todays open as normal, lots of different fences and pcyh levels depending on what timeframe, its actually looking quite good at the moment anyway will see what 8700 got to say for a starters
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