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EUR/JPY

  • #1,981
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:23am Jul 9, 2014 7:23am
Just wait till FOMC kick this pair somewhere.
  • #1,982
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:27am Jul 9, 2014 7:27am
Quoting BogiFX
Just wait till FOMC kick this pair somewhere.
Agreed.

If minutes suggest hawkish tone with interest hike likely earlier rather than later, result will be UJ up, EU down, equity market down and I would say EJ will be poopoo platter

If minutes have a dovish tone like, "yes, bogus employment numbers are better but let's not get ahead of ourselves with an interest rate hike because we need to keep on artificially puffing up the stock market" , then market will surge and EJ to the moon

DISCLAIMER: My fundamental analysis is shaky at best
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #1,983
  • Jul 9, 2014 9:02am Jul 9, 2014 9:02am
Closed out all my positions at 138.46, a productive trade. Out til after FOMC

Green pips all
Pride always comes before destruction.... -Proverbs 16:18
  • #1,984
  • Jul 9, 2014 12:20pm Jul 9, 2014 12:20pm
i am hold order pending sell limit and delete before fomc, and create sell limit again after fomc ...
wait and see what is happen ...
  • #1,985
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:23pm Jul 9, 2014 4:23pm
Entered long at price 138.25, hit TP at 138.70, not a bad trading day. Let's see what will happen tomorrow.
  • #1,986
  • Edited 7:09pm Jul 9, 2014 5:11pm | Edited 7:09pm
Pullback to 138,50 and them long?
  • #1,987
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:08pm Jul 9, 2014 7:08pm
Quoting BogiFX
Pullback to 138,50 and the long?
When long.
  • #1,988
  • Jul 10, 2014 7:58am Jul 10, 2014 7:58am
I am of the opinion that there are people planted on FF just to dish out wrong information to traders to confuse them to which way the market is going.

The 5% that win obviously do not listen to the info that is around them and just get on with their own analysis.

The other 95% have got no chance if they not only listen but it gets worse if they carry out the instructions of others who are just repeating false info.
Are the 95% totally stupid I do not think so but visiting all the different forums especially for want to be traders gives them a sheep mentality.

It would be interesting to hear the views of others on this thread.
  • #1,989
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:05am Jul 10, 2014 8:05am
EURJPY breaks below an important support and now seems vulnerable to test 136.40-20 support area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYDaily 10072014.png Size: 6 KB
  • #1,990
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:24am Jul 10, 2014 8:24am
Hard drop without any news or data released ?
  • #1,991
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:41am Jul 10, 2014 8:41am
Eurjpy also completes a perfect ABCD pattern. I guess it might take some rest by climbing above. atleast 50% of the fall.

Attached Image


Which would be a retest of the nearest broken low too.

Attached Image
  • #1,992
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:50am Jul 10, 2014 8:50am
Quoting freundr
Hard drop without any news or data released ?
I guess US 10 yr bond yields lead to USDJPY fall. With no fuel in euro and strong JPY I guess this fell too. So I think it was the us bond yields that was the reason.
  • #1,993
  • Jul 10, 2014 8:52am Jul 10, 2014 8:52am
Quoting Superchor
{quote} I guess US 10 yr bond yields lead to USDJPY fall. With no fuel in euro and strong JPY I guess this fell too. So I think it was the us bond yields that was the reason.
precisely the case right now.

both strongly correlated, and the USDJPY is being fully dictated by USTs
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: jpy usts.png Size: 95 KB
  • #1,994
  • Jul 10, 2014 9:06am Jul 10, 2014 9:06am
hello bro...
support monthly pivot at 137.57 and weekly support 2 at 137.52
Im long 137.66 to get 100pips or more from this bottom.
  • #1,995
  • Jul 10, 2014 9:11am Jul 10, 2014 9:11am
Quoting khol_hands
hello bro... support monthly pivot at 137.57 and weekly support 2 at 137.52 Im long 137.66 to get 100pips or more from this bottom.
¿why do you think is going to 138.60?? ¿where do you have stop loss?
  • #1,996
  • Jul 10, 2014 9:12am Jul 10, 2014 9:12am
Quoting Aws1962
{quote} precisely the case right now. both strongly correlated, and the USDJPY is being fully dictated by USTs {image}
Interesting interconnectivity and relationship.
  • #1,997
  • Jul 10, 2014 9:34am Jul 10, 2014 9:34am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} ¿why do you think is going to 138.60?? ¿where do you have stop loss?
I didn't use sl my target still intact 145 the end of the year. 138.69 weekly pivot
  • #1,998
  • Jul 10, 2014 10:06am Jul 10, 2014 10:06am
Quoting khol_hands
{quote} I didn't use sl my target still intact 145 the end of the year. 138.69 weekly pivot
Can you explain more the reason you do not use sl?? I am long too at 138.58 but not put sl scares me a lot. When do you use this strategy?
  • #1,999
  • Jul 10, 2014 11:21am Jul 10, 2014 11:21am
Quoting BogiFX
{quote} When long.
I didnt saw that ABC Pattern .
  • #2,000
  • Jul 10, 2014 11:29am Jul 10, 2014 11:29am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Can you explain more the reason you do not use sl?? I am long too at 138.58 but not put sl scares me a lot. When do you use this strategy?
coz I just trade small lot and the risk every trade 3% from my account.
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