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  • #909,461
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:36pm Jul 9, 2014 4:36pm
hello. i have a question on a point of fomc minutes :



"Many participants want to end portfolio reinvestments after first rate rise "

what does it means? which portfolio reinvestements ?
  • #909,462
  • Jul 9, 2014 4:56pm Jul 9, 2014 4:56pm
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Closed short and open long @3615. Will do the reverse at @3647
Pending long @3634 TP 3660. That will close the current short @3647

Edit: Good Night & GL
  • #909,463
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:00pm Jul 9, 2014 5:00pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Bearish based on what? We keep printing higher lows and weekly couldn't look more bullish. {image}
Bearish fundamentals? Buying this now is for suckers, for all we now this bull crap is just a trap
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #909,464
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:05pm Jul 9, 2014 5:05pm
I need good 15 min charts that I can look at historically of the EUR USD. Is there a place that offers this? Any help would be appreciated. I would like to go back and look at the charts print them and draw on them. forex.com does not let you do this.

I would like to look at different time frames of a 15 min chart for example

1:30pm to 10:30pm EST on July 1st 1999

Does anyone know of a way to do this?
Back from the dead * ding fries are done *
  • #909,465
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:06pm Jul 9, 2014 5:06pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Bearish fundamentals? Buying this now is for suckers, for all we now this bull crap is just a trap
It doesn't look like a trap to me...lows have been challenged and bears failed over and over again. Fundamentals are written in the charts...if some level doesn't want to be broken, nothing breaks it, doesn't matter what happens in the economy. But if someone wants to short this, who am I to tell them not to...I wouldn't bet my money on shorts at these levels and I won't.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #909,466
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:24pm Jul 9, 2014 5:24pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} It doesn't look like a trap to me...lows have been challenged and bears failed over and over again. Fundamentals are written in the charts...if some level doesn't want to be broken, nothing breaks it, doesn't matter what happens in the economy. But if someone wants to short this, who am I to tell them not to...I wouldn't bet my money on shorts at these levels and I won't.
We live in an ever changing world, ..............................at least I do. It can go either way.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #909,467
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:39pm Jul 9, 2014 5:39pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} It doesn't look like a trap to me...lows have been challenged and bears failed over and over again. Fundamentals are written in the charts...if some level doesn't want to be broken, nothing breaks it, doesn't matter what happens in the economy. But if someone wants to short this, who am I to tell them not to...I wouldn't bet my money on shorts at these levels and I won't.
Thing is ECB wont let it hit 1.40 as we have seen through the chart. USD showing steady growth and increasing taper, ECB still trying to get its shit together little own talk about rate hike. Fiber pushed 500 pips down with little to no retracement. If that isnt sign enough that bull trend is over, well good luck. We will just have to see I guess.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #909,468
  • Jul 9, 2014 5:39pm Jul 9, 2014 5:39pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} So if i understood correct you are bearish as long as 3645 holds? I see it breaking that maybe for 3660-80 before going down, but not changing bear outlook. Backed by dollar view, test at least bit lower for bounce if comes. http://prntscr.com/413cav
nope, post are in a sequence. bulls have already targeted 373x, its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower. bulls did the expected retrace to 3589 ish, before an attempt to go higher. the thing now that can stop the bulls is a LL. a drop like in the post you quoted is what/where is the better chance to lose less money if you wanted to short, if bulls fail.
no different then last week when we made the high, go back and read the in real time bullish sentiment here. then we dropped to the 357x area.. if bears want to make an effort of breaking the low, 363x is a normal place w/o a hh.
to keep it all in context, bulls have a legitimate reason to go to 4146, its just most times, it will go to 3102 before.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #909,469
  • Jul 9, 2014 6:11pm Jul 9, 2014 6:11pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Thing is ECB wont let it hit 1.40 as we have seen through the chart. USD showing steady growth and increasing taper, ECB still trying to get its shit together little own talk about rate hike. Fiber pushed 500 pips down with little to no retracement. If that isnt sign enough that bull trend is over, well good luck. We will just have to see I guess.
The ECB doesn't care if euro is 1.20 or 1.50, never trust a politician. And anyway...every country in the world is already beyond bankrupt, playing with fundamental numbers these days is laughable, they have no meaning whatsoever and many are just made up by people like you and me. I trade what I see on the chart, everything is written there and if something major happens, it will be written there, too.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #909,470
  • Jul 9, 2014 6:13pm Jul 9, 2014 6:13pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} We live in an ever changing world, ..............................at least I do. It can go either way.
Of course we do...and even 1.35 can be broken, but I think it can't be broken from where we are now...bears tried and were run over by bulls every time. Everytime when one direction fails, there is an attempt in the other one. Now bulls can try to go up...maybe they will be stopped at a certain level also and we will go back down, but for now, for me, bears lost.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #909,471
  • Jul 9, 2014 6:24pm Jul 9, 2014 6:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope, post are in a sequence. bulls have already targeted 373x, its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower. bulls did the expected retrace to 3589 ish, before an attempt to go higher. the thing now that can stop the bulls is a LL. a drop like in the post you quoted is what/where is the better chance to lose less money if you wanted to short, if bulls fail. no different then last week when we made the high, go back and read the in real time bullish sentiment here. then we dropped to the 357x area.. if bears want to make...
Hi Gatorinla,

I like your analysis. I'm just curious as to how you came up with these levels:
"its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower"
"bulls have a legitimate reason to go to 4146, its just most times, it will go to 3102 before"

Is this purely based on experience or market profile or looking at S/R lines? Looking at the D1 chart, I see a similar scenario to now back in Summer of 1995. Just trying to understand

By the way, I'm not implying to anyone that something like what happened in Summer of 1995 will happen again at all. I don't know and can't say too far in advance where price would go. They look a bit similar in a way.. now it just looks as if we took the chart and squeezed it vs the other being stretched.. haha
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screen1.png Size: 53 KB
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #909,472
  • Jul 9, 2014 6:52pm Jul 9, 2014 6:52pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} The ECB doesn't care if euro is 1.20 or 1.50, never trust a politician. And anyway...every country in the world is already beyond bankrupt, playing with fundamental numbers these days is laughable, they have no meaning whatsoever and many are just made up by people like you and me. I trade what I see on the chart, everything is written there and if something major happens, it will be written there, too.
Wow another classic arrogant american. ECB does care about the currency and if you were around before Euro dropped you would have heard Draghi- head of ECB expressing his concerns on the price of Euro being too high. Fundamentals laughable? Hardly, interest rate main driver for what we do more than anything else. I really hope you make some pips with your crystal ball chart.
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #909,473
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:07pm Jul 9, 2014 7:07pm
Quoting Rtm
{quote} Wow another classic arrogant american. ECB does care about the currency and if you were around before Euro dropped you would have heard Draghi- head of ECB expressing his concerns on the price of Euro being too high. Fundamentals laughable? Hardly, interest rate main driver for what we do more than anything else. I really hope you make some pips with your crystal ball chart.
LOL I'm european, I just moved away from that dump, because I was sick of paying for lazy people and immigrants, who have no interrest in working. I'm not a fan of communism. Yes, fundamentals are laughable, I know first hand, I studied them and I know some of the people who pretty much make them up. Most of the numbers you see are made up.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #909,474
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:27pm Jul 9, 2014 7:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope, post are in a sequence. bulls have already targeted 373x, its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower. bulls did the expected retrace to 3589 ish, before an attempt to go higher. the thing now that can stop the bulls is a LL. a drop like in the post you quoted is what/where is the better chance to lose less money if you wanted to short, if bulls fail. no different then last week when we made the high, go back and read the in real time bullish sentiment here. then we dropped to the 357x area.. if bears want to make...
bulls have a legitimate reason to go to 1.4146?
I have 2 questions:
1) Why 1.4146?
2) What is the legitimate reason?
"most of the times" and "its normal" its meaningless wording. Why is it "normal"? What is "normal"? What is most of the times? What times? what is the sample size? Did you even calculate "most of the times"? did you define this with rules or its just how you feel about it?
  • #909,475
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:42pm Jul 9, 2014 7:42pm
Quoting meleeam
{quote} bulls have a legitimate reason to go to 1.4146? I have 2 questions: 1) Why 1.4146? 2) What is the legitimate reason? "most of the times" and "its normal" its meaningless wording. Why is it "normal"? What is "normal"? What is most of the times? What times? what is the sample size? Did you even calculate "most of the times"? did you define this with rules or its just how you feel about it?
Very good questions. I am sure it will be difficult for that Gatorinla guy to find answers. Let me help you, type this in google search and try to find out the source when this was word was first used and who used it. The word is "MoFu". Then from there, keep on reading all linked posts. You will find answers to the questions that have already been answered.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #909,476
  • Jul 9, 2014 7:47pm Jul 9, 2014 7:47pm
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Pending long @3634 TP 3660. That will close the current short @3647 Edit: Good Night & GL

nice pip for you today magic !!
  • #909,477
  • Jul 9, 2014 8:28pm Jul 9, 2014 8:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope, post are in a sequence. bulls have already targeted 373x, its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower. bulls did the expected retrace to 3589 ish,.
In my view this is complete nonsense, "its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower".......

Market is created by orders.......and they are filled when instructed.........they do not pause or reverse at a certain level just because gator or somebody else would like to think that is the case.....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #909,478
  • Jul 9, 2014 8:43pm Jul 9, 2014 8:43pm
Quoting milam
{quote} In my view this is complete nonsense, "its normal for bears to allow 373x retrace before going lower"....... Market is created by orders.......and they are filled when instructed.........they do not pause or reverse at a certain level just because gator or somebody else would like to think that is the case.....
Big players don't sit in front of the screen and enter randomly...they have pending orders at certain numbers. And they have the power to push the price towards them. Thats what he means with bears allow...bulls allow. If you want to short 1 million lots, will you do it from the bottom or rather drive the price 100 pips up first?
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #909,479
  • Jul 9, 2014 8:44pm Jul 9, 2014 8:44pm
I see people are happy about grabbing 10-20 even 30 pips im guessing their volumes are high? Sadly I can't get a high volume at the moment not enough margin so I shoot for 100-250 pips and do alright. Im guessing the higher volume the less pips you can take and yield a higher profit anyway hope to get there one day!
>_<
  • #909,480
  • Jul 9, 2014 8:45pm Jul 9, 2014 8:45pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Big players don't sit in front of the screen and enter randomly...they have pending orders at certain numbers. And they have the power to push the price towards them. Thats what he means with bears allow...bulls allow. If you want to short 1 million lots, will you do it from the bottom or rather drive the price 100 pips up first?
yes ok...thanks for you comment.
Wherever you go, there you are.
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