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  • #908,921
  • Jul 7, 2014 4:53am Jul 7, 2014 4:53am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hm as for dollar i rather see short bias, we have quite a lot of weakness signals and probably most important one is current test of daily supply on UCHF that has to react, due to previous broken lows, no matter how strong that pullback was due to news last week: This is my dollar analysis http://prntscr.com/407ko1 http://prntscr.com/407laz http://prntscr.com/407llo
Exactly, and the more Dollar weakness manifest - the more people will tend to buy the Australian Dollar , even to average down and exist on Break even .. to profit from the swap..

* The yen is also rising, which also gives a supporting hand to the Aussie
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,922
  • Jul 7, 2014 5:24am Jul 7, 2014 5:24am
An alternate wave count to see EURUSD dropping at least 1.3511, clearing bottom of diagonal or previous wave b in short time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdh1 15.png Size: 49 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #908,923
  • Jul 7, 2014 5:29am Jul 7, 2014 5:29am
GN pending:
http://prntscr.com/407uya
  • #908,924
  • Jul 7, 2014 6:13am Jul 7, 2014 6:13am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} I mean for the day till now. I am certainly not meaning it for rest of the day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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this one has come up, lets see i am short from friday anyway
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur2.png Size: 105 KB
extension possibility
  • #908,925
  • Jul 7, 2014 6:22am Jul 7, 2014 6:22am
Weekly Charts: COT Large Speculators Weekly Positions vs Currency Spot Price $EURUSD
I think that people who is net long on EURUSD, on a daily or weekly basis, don't know about trading.....................
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 7 july cot.JPG Size: 73 KB
Bavarian Trading FX
  • #908,926
  • Jul 7, 2014 6:31am Jul 7, 2014 6:31am
Quoting milam
well, if only we would know if it was going to be a range day or a trend day......that would make it much easier.....
starting to feel a range day
"Don't get caught trading wheat in the corn pit"
  • #908,927
  • Jul 7, 2014 6:40am Jul 7, 2014 6:40am
tried some short flyers in cable just now at 7130, risk just a few..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #908,928
  • Edited 7:43am Jul 7, 2014 7:28am | Edited 7:43am
Argh JPYs dont seem to be willing testing higher for shorts. Gona miss shorts there seems like.

GN reached down target, pending short canceled.

GCHF , down target, shorting decent attempts for higher at moment only 1 pending, might add more
http://prntscr.com/408sk2

@MaxDoom if i may ask are you TPing your shorts on small scale, or do you build for bigger down move? I see still more weakness in dollar coming thats why asking.
  • #908,929
  • Jul 7, 2014 7:33am Jul 7, 2014 7:33am
Quoting janpec1000
Argh JPYs dont seem to be willing testing higher for shorts. Gona miss shorts there seems like.
I was looking for 102.00 to get some off, seems the ship has sailed perhaps, now I might try some longs near 101.64...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #908,930
  • Jul 7, 2014 7:36am Jul 7, 2014 7:36am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} I mean for the day till now. I am certainly not meaning it for rest of the day.
  • #908,931
  • Jul 7, 2014 7:39am Jul 7, 2014 7:39am
Still short on eurusd, long on usdjpy.
  • #908,932
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:17am Jul 7, 2014 8:17am
Boring chart for now.
  • #908,933
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:38am Jul 7, 2014 8:38am
Quoting BlazeHun
Still short on eurusd, long on usdjpy.
I'm opposite on the two. Long on EURUSD and Short on USDJPY. USDJPY hasn't made a solid bottom. It has some more pips to go down. BUT, it will I'm sure will go the opposite directions soon enough hehe
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #908,934
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:40am Jul 7, 2014 8:40am
This PA is fooking killing me.
  • #908,935
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:42am Jul 7, 2014 8:42am
Where do you think its going.

I'am short now on euro dollar.Iam expecting on the long term a downmove.
  • #908,936
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:47am Jul 7, 2014 8:47am
Quoting Deutschland
Weekly Charts: COT Large Speculators Weekly Positions vs Currency Spot Price $EURUSD I think that people who is net long on EURUSD, on a daily or weekly basis, don't know about trading..................... {image}
I am long on a minute hourly daily and weekly and all time-frames you can come up with.
Anyway I was sleeping all day, woke up now to see that my sleep was put to good use.. nothing happen haha. I think today we can close above. 1.3600 but I really don't care, I believe no one is trading.
  • #908,937
  • Jul 7, 2014 8:48am Jul 7, 2014 8:48am
Quoting saver0
{quote} I'm opposite on the two. Long on EURUSD and Short on USDJPY. USDJPY hasn't made a solid bottom. It has some more pips to go down. BUT, it will I'm sure will go the opposite directions soon enough hehe
  • #908,938
  • Jul 7, 2014 9:01am Jul 7, 2014 9:01am
Go north, go green. It seem more promising then the opposite. =)
Been long since 578
  • #908,939
  • Jul 7, 2014 9:15am Jul 7, 2014 9:15am
Good day to you,

Going out on a limb to say I will sell the retrace on the daily. New toy..

Regards
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #908,940
  • Jul 7, 2014 9:18am Jul 7, 2014 9:18am
Higher US yields with the 2 year testing the highs of 2011 has given very little or nothing USD support. So the next step is a more explicit rate hike talk from the FED which in my opinion would give USD strenght in the form of a scare (think like it was in taper), like blowouts into the carry trades, and going back to US dollar/Treasuries/safe-assets/etc. But until that happens I think USD will keep weakening day-after-day so or you time that bet very careful or you will lose money.
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