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EURUSD

  • #908,821
  • Jul 5, 2014 4:44am Jul 5, 2014 4:44am
Quoting Deutschland
{quote} The data from their position is available free from the Commitments of traders report (COT), here http://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm look for EURO FX futures contract. Let me remind you, as I said, on this post: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...12#post7565212 when no-commercial traders are net short, the euro usually goes down, it's an statistic probability. Commercials...
Thanks for the info
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,822
  • Jul 5, 2014 5:00am Jul 5, 2014 5:00am
This is what i'm watching, the 20 pips area between $1.35850 / $1.35750 / $1.35650 ... i'm waiting / watching for a buying momentum to kick start around this area, if i'm correct - Monday's low or Friday's low shouldn't be breached again for the rest of July. Below these levels, things will get more difficult then it already is.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-July.png Size: 36 KB
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,823
  • Jul 5, 2014 6:30am Jul 5, 2014 6:30am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} when Germany wins the final, I will dedicate my "champions-feelings" to all my fellow Italians
I Hope Germany wins against Brasil and will meet Belgium in the final, at that stage I only want the best to win.....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,824
  • Jul 5, 2014 6:45am Jul 5, 2014 6:45am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} Can i ask you a question?! Since you know what big boys do or don't ... - If these people are short selling, who are they buying from?!
Lol that is good one.
  • #908,825
  • Edited 7:19am Jul 5, 2014 7:06am | Edited 7:19am
Just some possible directions on JPYs
http://prntscr.com/3zly5g
http://prntscr.com/3zlyfk
http://prntscr.com/3zlyya

AUD looks for more weakeness, there could be some temporary strenght but bottom demand zone has to be retested before going up. Eventually it will go further up but it can still take few more days due to h4 structure.
http://prntscr.com/3zm0m9
H4
http://prntscr.com/3zm16v

Also worth to watch USDDKK or USDCHF, if there is short term weakness i am canceling down view on EU for while as it should have bullish impact on EU. H4 on dollar is still bearish even with strong pullback so there could be severe reaction of current supply zone on h4.
http://prntscr.com/3zm21w
  • #908,826
  • Jul 5, 2014 7:09am Jul 5, 2014 7:09am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} when Germany wins the final, I will dedicate my "champions-feelings" to all my fellow Italians
Auf Krücken, mein Lieber
  • #908,827
  • Jul 5, 2014 9:14am Jul 5, 2014 9:14am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} Auf Krücken, mein Lieber

  • #908,828
  • Jul 5, 2014 9:56am Jul 5, 2014 9:56am
it is Possible , pullback to 1.3770 ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_1.png Size: 37 KB
Find your passion and work hard
  • #908,829
  • Jul 5, 2014 10:13am Jul 5, 2014 10:13am
Quoting milam
{quote} I Hope Germany wins against Brasil and will meet Belgium in the final, at that stage I only want the best to win.....
Will be tough, 11 against 80,000...
But by now 'we' are used to getting kicked out in the semis, so it would be a nice change to make the finals and win.
Fail better.
  • #908,830
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:04am Jul 5, 2014 11:04am
Complete the following sentence with the correct answer:

Every time the USA GDP - Black line - goes below the inflation rate - Blue dotted line, for at least a quarter or two, we are in a .....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USA-GDP-CPI.PNG Size: 149 KB
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,831
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:19am Jul 5, 2014 11:19am
Quoting Vachus
Complete the following sentence with the correct answer: Every time the USA GDP - Black line - goes below the inflation rate - Blue dotted line, for at least a quarter or two, we are in a ..... {image}
Here is another addition to your chart
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...ing-chart-ever
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-0...ed-23-quarters
Focus, Patience, Determination & Order in chaos
  • #908,832
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:19am Jul 5, 2014 11:19am
Quoting Vachus
Complete the following sentence with the correct answer: Every time the USA GDP - Black line - goes below the inflation rate - Blue dotted line, for at least a quarter or two, we are in a ..... {image}
I am preparing cable and euro short.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #908,833
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:25am Jul 5, 2014 11:25am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} I am preparing cable and euro short.
If i ever meet God, he ask me what's the last thing i won't do in 2014: I will answer, God, I'm not shorting Cable ...

* I'm not saying it won't fall, but Cable is the most - real- recovery story we are having ... and don't expect for the bank of England to start talking it down, anytime soon.

** The Euro short, we will see - things are not pretty for buying these days

Quoting saver0
{quote} Here is another addition to your chart
Wrong answer
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,834
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:30am Jul 5, 2014 11:30am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} If i ever meet God, he ask me what's the last thing i won't do in 2014: I will answer, God, I'm not shorting Cable ... * I'm not saying it won't fall, but Cable is the most - real- recovery story we are having ... and don't expect for the bank of England to start talking it down, anytime soon. ** The Euro short, we will see - things are not pretty for buying these days {quote} Wrong answer
yes true. I say preparing, not yet short.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...74#post7583974
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #908,835
  • Jul 5, 2014 11:59am Jul 5, 2014 11:59am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} If i ever meet God, he ask me what's the last thing i won't do in 2014: I will answer, God, I'm not shorting Cable ... * I'm not saying it won't fall, but Cable is the most - real- recovery story we are having ... and don't expect for the bank of England to start talking it down, anytime soon. ** The Euro short, we will see - things are not pretty for buying these days {quote} Wrong answer
Hm. PMI , unemployment and industrial numbers do look good ...but debt keeps rising, bubbles keep going,gold keeps evapurating from reserves...dont know its not that obvious or clean recovery but it does look much better than elsewhere.
As for your chart above there is one problem with blue line, it should not be visible most of the time if you know what i mean
  • #908,836
  • Jul 5, 2014 12:48pm Jul 5, 2014 12:48pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hm. PMI , unemployment and industrial numbers do look good ...but debt keeps rising, bubbles keep going,gold keeps evapurating from reserves...dont know its not that obvious or clean recovery but it does look much better than elsewhere. As for your chart above there is one problem with blue line, it should not be visible most of the time if you know what i mean
Well, if one don't want it visible - maybe the black line shouldn't crawl below ... things, hanging above, from below, looks huge
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,837
  • Edited 1:26pm Jul 5, 2014 12:55pm | Edited 1:26pm
Looking forward to see this TP hit in monday:
http://prntscr.com/3zoqy0
It isnt much but should work out. Will scale more shorts depending on how strong will bull reaction be.

Another point of USD analysis, it goes against my will to short EU, looks like i will have to step away from shorting next week, unless EUR weakens trough all EUR pairs which does sound possible actually. We shall see.
http://prntscr.com/3zorur


This video proves that its easier to trick people in believing that Bitcoin is some sort of new world order currency to replace dollar, while they wont believe 90% of rest facts about markets that are not told on mainstream media. Its funny how people who are hard to get into believeing on conspirancy theories are actually easy to go 180% oposite route, so even more extreme route of main-stream media which is simply ignore or lie, they go into full-retard stream.
Inserted Video



AUDUSD view backed by AUD (on previous page AUDCHF target):
http://prntscr.com/3zp1hm
Lower TF, severe weakness in bull leg
http://prntscr.com/3zp213

Gold currently in no flight zone (m5 bear but needs more confirmation for further down if decides to). Anyone who has buy its recomended to put SL if you dont have it due to possible dump from India central bank, which might happen soon.
http://prntscr.com/3zp2l6
  • #908,838
  • Jul 5, 2014 12:59pm Jul 5, 2014 12:59pm
Hi Guys. I sold EUR/USD yesterday 1.3592. I planned to close my position on friday but didnt manage to. How does everyone feel about monday and next week?

Thanks in advanced.
  • #908,839
  • Jul 5, 2014 4:55pm Jul 5, 2014 4:55pm
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Will be tough, 11 against 80,000... But by now 'we' are used to getting kicked out in the semis, so it would be a nice change to make the finals and win.
Larry......do not be like that, it will be 11 against 11........as it was in the semi in Berlin in 2006...
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,840
  • Jul 5, 2014 5:25pm Jul 5, 2014 5:25pm
Quoting Deutschland
{quote} The data from their position is available free from the Commitments of traders report (COT), here http://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm look for EURO FX futures contract. Let me remind you, as I said, on this post: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...12#post7565212 when no-commercial traders are net short, the euro usually goes down, it's an statistic probability. Commercials...
Hi D, you are correct. I have been watching COT for some time, and added it to my toolbox. However, I have found the time frame you trade effects this all as well, as the COT is more a tool for someone swing or position trading (comes out once a week)- than shortterm traders.. (I do both- so find COT useful- like you mentioned.)
I think Babypips was the first place I started reading about COT reports for anyone interested.. non comms are the big trend riders, and comms are big contrarions awaiting reversals.. so to speak. I cannot trade based on the COT in itself, but it does help with swing trade decisions for me.

One question I have, Is there other pairs besides EU one can see?

GL to our trades
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