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  • #908,461
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:27am Jul 3, 2014 5:27am
Is this the end of Forex as we know it?
  • #908,462
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:27am Jul 3, 2014 5:27am
Quoting Vectamart
I suspect that we could see some serious whipsawing at about 1.30pm BST. If Draghi tries to talk the euro down and at the same time the NFP report fails to impress the market, who knows what might happen. My own view is that the NFP result will surpass expectations and if so, EUR-USD with a push down from Draghi, could go into free-fall. I remain bearish at least for the present - but then, what do I know?!

freefall would be nice
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #908,463
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:28am Jul 3, 2014 5:28am
Quoting meleeam
{quote} So you are playing a range.. its not bad thinking, we are in dead water markets now anyway, it may be even the best strategy. Anyway look what I found from a year ago, Reuters surveys are around 200 or so strategists and they were in May predicting EURUSD to be trading at 1.26 around now, and some even went for 1.06, times really change fast. {image}
I play what it is given.... I have not other choice...

Strategists.....never heard of them.......I suspect they have not any idea......they make money being "strategists".

Look what I found, a great trader....enjoy it... and the music

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Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,464
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:29am Jul 3, 2014 5:29am
Fasten your seat belts for a double whammy today - US jobs + ECB at the same time

See my Daily Forex Trading Outlook

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  • #908,465
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:34am Jul 3, 2014 5:34am
It's sitting in a really nasty place ( $1.365) and the Dollar index right at 80.03 ... awful place to park it, but maybe an indication of lack of direction really! It could go really do a Yo-Yo thing to clear everyone, then make a move
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,466
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:43am Jul 3, 2014 5:43am
Quoting MaxDoom
Just shorted 3659 will increase further in the bubble and up to 1.369x {image}
it has not made any further good move upside, I have just added to my short @ 3649
  • #908,467
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:46am Jul 3, 2014 5:46am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} it has not made any further good move upside, I have just added to my short @ 3649
Neither below really ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #908,468
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:52am Jul 3, 2014 5:52am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} it has not made any further good move upside, I have just added to my short @ 3649
I am thinking probably shorting eur/usd is the best hedge to the event in next 2 hrs
  • #908,469
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:54am Jul 3, 2014 5:54am
Quoting Vectamart
I suspect that we could see some serious whipsawing at about 1.30pm BST. If Draghi tries to talk the euro down and at the same time the NFP report fails to impress the market, who knows what might happen. My own view is that the NFP result will surpass expectations and if so, EUR-USD with a push down from Draghi, could go into free-fall. I remain bearish at least for the present - but then, what do I know?!
how abt the bearish scenario??? draghi talks dovish and nfp is good.
  • #908,470
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:57am Jul 3, 2014 5:57am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} I am thinking probably shorting eur/usd is the best hedge to the event in next 2 hrs

Why would euro go down?

It hasn't gone down in nearly 6 years.

Obama is trashing the USD dollar and the US
  • #908,471
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:58am Jul 3, 2014 5:58am
Quoting milam
{quote} my view is that we are now in rage and 37 is the top of that range(3678), yes the bigger trend is up, but the intermediate trend is down, the range is also a flag of a bearish flag, flags are very good to trade because they normally fail, if that is the case his failure will hit his nose on the uptrendline that determines the bigger trend, prices could also very well break that up trendline just to find in his way a double bottom bull flag......in that case we will have a false break line and a fail final flag trapping a large number...


Trading off peoples failed setups. Only on the EU because that's what the big boyz are watching imo and searching for the stops of those setups.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #908,472
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:01am Jul 3, 2014 6:01am
GU on the move going to be even harder for EU to make a stand if GU is moving south, time for the games to begin and to see how much legs the moves have
  • #908,473
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:01am Jul 3, 2014 6:01am
I am 100% sure the Euro will end up 25 pips today and that's where it will stay until the government is back from their lavish vacations on tax payer dollars.
  • #908,474
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:04am Jul 3, 2014 6:04am
Quoting JTattheRanch
{quote} Why would euro go down? It hasn't gone down in nearly 6 years. Obama is trashing the USD dollar and the US
euro will be going down because it has no reason to go up. I bet draghi is going to do something today. markets aren't expecting anything from him today and he will deliver the killer blow.
  • #908,475
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:05am Jul 3, 2014 6:05am
Quoting MaxDoom
GU on the move going to be even harder for EU to make a stand if GU is moving south, time for the games to begin and to see how much legs the moves have
max GU going down is negative for the euro since that was the only thing holding euro and kiwi from falling. correlation of kiwi and gbp is very strong and correlation of nzd and euro is strong.
  • #908,476
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:06am Jul 3, 2014 6:06am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} euro will be going down because it has no reason to go up. I bet draghi is going to do something today. markets aren't expecting anything from him today and he will deliver the killer blow.

draghi doesn't control chit.

Obama and the US government control EVERYTHING.
They are trashing the americans dollars to pay off the rich bankers that elected them. Also it's easier to raise taxes on a trash currency.
  • #908,477
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:09am Jul 3, 2014 6:09am
Quoting JTattheRanch
{quote} draghi doesn't control chit. Obama and the US government control EVERYTHING. They are trashing the americans dollars to pay off the rich bankers that elected them. Also it's easier to raise taxes on a trash currency.
he dropped the euro by 180 pips in 3 hrs. check impact after we hit 3993.
  • #908,478
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:09am Jul 3, 2014 6:09am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} max GU going down is negative for the euro since that was the only thing holding euro and kiwi from falling. correlation of kiwi and gbp is very strong and correlation of nzd and euro is strong.

Euro and Kiwi will go up and bring gu with THEM.

Obama will never let the US markets deleverage.
This is his thing. he's in there to pay off bankers and the drug industry
  • #908,479
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:10am Jul 3, 2014 6:10am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} max GU going down is negative for the euro since that was the only thing holding euro and kiwi from falling. correlation of kiwi and gbp is very strong and correlation of nzd and euro is strong.
yes that what I was saying
  • #908,480
  • Jul 3, 2014 6:10am Jul 3, 2014 6:10am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} he dropped the euro by 180 pips in 3 hrs. check impact after we hit 3993.
When was this....

Obama is in control of the world for the last 6 years.

Maybe when Bush or Clinton were in, they let others take control at times because they were not control freaks like Obama.
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