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  • #908,441
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:12am Jul 3, 2014 3:12am
With good US data I think and I hope euro is going down.

I hope it will reach a target off 1.35.
  • #908,442
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:13am Jul 3, 2014 3:13am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} I honestly don't know - it has the potential to march straight forward with nothing to stop it towards $1.38 ... while the downside i see limited to 1.361 / 1.358!
Thanks Vachus.
  • #908,443
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:25am Jul 3, 2014 3:25am
Euro Sideways
there is a daily chart, the return of the euro traded below its daily 50-100-200 intimated to the potentials of further decline. However, rising MACD indicator can provide a power increase for EUR / USD. The sentiment is quite mixed and it may be pushed sideways movement in the range of 1.3500 - 1.3735 for the time being.
The next focus is the result of the ECB monetary policy (at 18:45 pm) and ECB's Draghi press konverensi (at 19:30 pm). The ECB probably will not change its monetary policy. However, if the ECB's Draghi will not give a signal to the policy of QE in the near future then this can provide a positive sentiment for the euro.
For the short term, the long position more in line with the stop-loss 1.3735 1.3600 and the potential increase.
Meanwhile, if the price is stable below 1.3610 support the euro has the potential to test 1.3575. Resistance is located at 1.3700 and 1.3735 (July 1st highest price and the 200 day MA). Support at 1.3610 and 1.3575 (the lowest price 27 and June 26).
Resistance levels: 1.3700, 1.3735, 1.3775
Support levels: 1.3610, 1.3575, 1.3510
source: http://www.monexnews.com/today-analy...1404369665.htm
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  • #908,444
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:29am Jul 3, 2014 3:29am
Quoting momokevino
Euro Sideways there is a daily chart, the return of the euro traded below its daily 50-100-200 intimated to the potentials of further decline. However, rising MACD indicator can provide a power increase for EUR / USD. The sentiment is quite mixed and it may be pushed sideways movement in the range of 1.3500 - 1.3735 for the time being. The next focus is the result of the ECB monetary policy (at 18:45 pm) and ECB's Draghi press konverensi (at 19:30 pm). The ECB probably will not change its monetary policy. However, if the ECB's Draghi will not give...
you have 5 out of 5 posts that are all promoting the same site..... you need to come up with some original stuff or you will soon find your self in the commercial section... = friendly advice
  • #908,445
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:32am Jul 3, 2014 3:32am
Quoting CholiPop
Am I the only one who feels suspense and nervousness leading into today's action?
I think your sentiment represents the feelings of MANY. That in itself, suggests a whole lot of volatility - IMO.
  • #908,446
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:45am Jul 3, 2014 3:45am
Does anyone knows when the NFP news will be relased...kindly assist with information.
  • #908,447
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:49am Jul 3, 2014 3:49am
Quoting milam
{quote} sl's trailed to be........I have not any idea what will happen.....I cannot trade news and I also know that broker are making a lot of money in those days, so if they do I will certainly not..... I am looking @ gu (day trade) at the moment....her PA walk like an drunken man, there is also news coming on here.....so I think meditation is a option...
took profit @ around +15 pips........

this news coming is probably going to swing up, down, right and left before finding his direction......so I take little now and little later....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,448
  • Jul 3, 2014 3:55am Jul 3, 2014 3:55am
Quoting bimbo4christ
Does anyone knows when the NFP news will be relased...kindly assist with information.
look at the calander
  • #908,449
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:05am Jul 3, 2014 4:05am
Quoting bimbo4christ
Does anyone knows when the NFP news will be relased...kindly assist with information.
13:30 GMT
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #908,450
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:11am Jul 3, 2014 4:11am
Quoting meleeam
Great US number. Buying euros 1.3650 SL:1.3630 TP: open long-term
Raised my SL to yesterday lows. If I got hit I wont do anything until NFP numbers, i'll just wait.

I think everyones views is that the market topped out here at 1.37 and its going to resume lower.. but i see no reasons for that. Considering what is happening to AUD and RBA, which yesterday talked down his currency with Draghi-like threats, Its becoming (for some time now) a theme but the results are always the same, it keeps going up, I won't see why it would be any diferent with the euro.
So no top at 1.37, its going higher.

Yellen yesterday in my opinion build a nice layout on how the FED will likely try to fight high inflation without raising rates, markets didnt noticed it. I believe no one is really paying attention; its summer.
  • #908,451
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:26am Jul 3, 2014 4:26am
The most impressive thing on ADP yesterday was not the number but the 15 pips spike down on the headline. Nothing like 15 pip spikes to build up my expectations on the already-dead-meaningless-to-the-fed-NFP number.
  • #908,452
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:30am Jul 3, 2014 4:30am
So far, I have not yet let go my short since 688.

But will see for the next move when the talk begins.
  • #908,453
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:45am Jul 3, 2014 4:45am
EU H4

my money's on Euro to climb - May/June swing mid still fairly distant at 13748 - gl
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  • #908,454
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:48am Jul 3, 2014 4:48am
EURUSD fell during yesterday session, testing the 1.3650 handle, previous resistance change its role and become a new area of short-term support. We need to see a break above the 1.3705 level in order to be comfortable buying.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #908,455
  • Edited 5:08am Jul 3, 2014 4:57am | Edited 5:08am
Quoting meleeam
{quote} Raised my SL to yesterday lows. If I got hit I wont do anything until NFP numbers, i'll just wait. I think everyones views is that the market topped out here at 1.37 and its going to resume lower.. but i see no reasons for that. Considering what is happening to AUD and RBA, which yesterday talked down his currency with Draghi-like threats, Its becoming (for some time now) a theme but the results are always the same, it keeps going up, I won't see why it would be any diferent with the euro. So no top at 1.37, its going higher. Yellen yesterday...

my view is that we are now in rage and 37 is the top of that range(3678), yes the bigger trend is up, but the intermediate trend is down, the range is also a flag of a bearish flag, flags are very good to trade because they normally fail, if that is the case his failure will hit his nose on the uptrendline that determines the bigger trend, prices could also very well break that up trendline just to find in his way a double bottom bull flag......in that case we will have a false break line and a fail final flag trapping a large number of bears if the dbbf holds......this is what I think, but the market does not give a shit of what I think....which really pisses me off...

and not trade for me also today....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #908,456
  • Jul 3, 2014 4:59am Jul 3, 2014 4:59am
I would like to see 1.340/50 and then up, who cares... but it is impossible i think today.. :/
  • #908,457
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:10am Jul 3, 2014 5:10am
today we have big news ahead of us i hope we will see real movement on the price
  • #908,458
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:15am Jul 3, 2014 5:15am
Quoting milam
{quote} my view is that we are now in rage and 37 is the top of that range(3678), yes the bigger trend is up, but the intermediate trend is down, the range is also a flag of a bearish flag, flags are very good to trade because they normally fail, if that is the case his failure will hit his nose on the uptrendline that determines the bigger trend, prices could also very well break that up trendline just to find in his way a double bottom bull flag......in that case we will have a false break line and a fail final flag trapping a large number of...
So you are playing a range.. its not bad thinking, we are in dead water markets now anyway, it may be even the best strategy.

Anyway look what I found from a year ago, Reuters surveys are around 200 or so strategists and they were in May predicting EURUSD to be trading at 1.26 around now, and some even went for 1.06, times really change fast.
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  • #908,459
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:20am Jul 3, 2014 5:20am
I suspect that we could see some serious whipsawing at about 1.30pm BST. If Draghi tries to talk the euro down and at the same time the NFP report fails to impress the market, who knows what might happen. My own view is that the NFP result will surpass expectations and if so, EUR-USD with a push down from Draghi, could go into free-fall. I remain bearish at least for the present - but then, what do I know?!
  • #908,460
  • Jul 3, 2014 5:25am Jul 3, 2014 5:25am
Quoting Vectamart
I suspect that we could see some serious whipsawing at about 1.30pm BST. If Draghi tries to talk the euro down and at the same time the NFP report fails to impress the market, who knows what might happen. My own view is that the NFP result will surpass expectations and if so, EUR-USD with a push down from Draghi, could go into free-fall. I remain bearish at least for the present - but then, what do I know?!
its just my chart....and i see something else here

time we'll tell
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