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  • #907,881
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:22pm Jun 30, 2014 12:22pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} can not agree more
Infinitus, just checked out your other page - wow! Hadn't thought of MurreyMath being applied that way... it's quite amazing and impressive and have no idea how it's done! LOL but somehow, makes sense!
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #907,882
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:24pm Jun 30, 2014 12:24pm
Quoting Nan-ook
I am doomed... sht Euro, sht Pound :/
What possibility is, that it from now 1.3690 (without more move up) will drop to 1.3600 and lower? Zero, yes?
  • #907,883
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:25pm Jun 30, 2014 12:25pm
Quoting Nan-ook
I am doomed... sht Euro, sht Pound :/
I mean this in a helpful way......

you have been fighting the trend since last week and hoping for a sudden drop, by the time you realise that you are wrong and let your shorts go and consider going long, it will be time to short..... you appear to be trading what you want to happen rather than what is happening... these are classic bad habits that you need to break sooner rather than later otherwise all your trading will continue in the same manner.....

forget everything about what you want to happen
consider the probabilities of what could happen next - this could be long and short
wait for confirmation of the probability and then trade it using classic techniques
repeat
  • #907,884
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:31pm Jun 30, 2014 12:31pm
Quoting Nan-ook
{quote} What possibility is, that it from now 1.3690 (without more move up) will drop to 1.3600 and lower? Zero, yes?
=======
Snad
  • #907,885
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:32pm Jun 30, 2014 12:32pm
Quoting Nan-ook
{quote} What possibility is, that it from now 1.3690 (without more move up) will drop to 1.3600 and lower? Zero, yes?
not zero
  • #907,886
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:33pm Jun 30, 2014 12:33pm
there is a bullish Div on daily chart and both simple and Exp. 200 MVA are crossed up so bullish power seems to be enough for 13760....80 zone
  • #907,887
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:33pm Jun 30, 2014 12:33pm
MaxDoom, thanks... i know my mistakes, but unfortunately that I know doesn´t make to repeat them.. :/
I am bad trader with a few bright moments... but that is is not enough :/
Maybe time to stop and look around, and then maybe start again... :/
  • #907,888
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:41pm Jun 30, 2014 12:41pm
What happen on usd it had good new why usd bad .???
  • #907,889
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:44pm Jun 30, 2014 12:44pm
Quoting vlady1974
{quote} I am looking for a UJ short but I've not yet caught up on my homework for the other crosses. I was too lazy / slow on the GU trade so I missed placing the trade even though my alerts were triggered this morning. I hadn't considered the CHFJPY so cheers for that. I did do some work on USDCHF but not enough clearly - I'll take another gander! Much appreciated.
No problem glad to help. I missed GU breakout trade aswell, well not really missed i was quite watching charts just didnt had chance to enter in market as there were barely any pullbacks, and didnt placed pending ahead.
  • #907,890
  • Jun 30, 2014 12:46pm Jun 30, 2014 12:46pm
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} not zero
But very low probability.. :/
  • #907,891
  • Edited 7:29pm Jun 30, 2014 12:51pm | Edited 7:29pm
hav a whole bunch of shorts , TP1 @36777 = http://screencast.com/t/NFkObe4JySDt

No demo acct.
  • #907,892
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:05pm Jun 30, 2014 1:05pm
Quoting giveachance
{quote} lol he is saying the same since we fell from 1.3993 to 1.38. he bought at 1.38. again at 1.37. again at 1.36. got lucky with this spike to unwound some. trend is still down
Baby, i was wondering when are we going to start?! Sold below $1.36 and feeling the pressure?! ... but i won't have this war yet, first i finish with FxSaywhat -then we will see..
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #907,893
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:09pm Jun 30, 2014 1:09pm
Quoting Nan-ook
{quote} But very low probability.. :/
In the last 5 minutes of the 4H candle, price has been suddenly risen to match certain level when closing the 4H candle.

It "should" mean continuation to at least 1.3717, see chart below.

Now, this would be four levels in this chart with no retrace. IF there's no retrace now (don't think there'll be), we should expect a good retrace from around the 1.3717 level once it is hit.

In the chart, you can see an hypothetical Fibo retrace from 1.3717 level to the orginal point of this last move. 61.8 would be just on the next level below 1.3662 and 38.2 would be just in the 1.3629 level. We can also look at the 50% point which has somehow acted as a "station" point in little previous moves as seen in the chart.

So hopefully there's good chance of a good retrace from 1.3717 or some point above/near to it.
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  • #907,894
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:12pm Jun 30, 2014 1:12pm
If NY close btw 3690 and 3698 then Asia will touch 3722 before going down. Untill then scalping is my business
  • #907,895
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:17pm Jun 30, 2014 1:17pm
Quoting Goodvalley
{quote} In the last 5 minutes of the 4H candle, price has been suddenly risen to match certain level when closing the 4H candle. It "should" mean continuation to at least 1.3717, see chart below. Now, this would be four levels in this chart with no retrace. IF there's no retrace now (don't think there'll be), we should expect a good retrace from around the 1.3717 level once it is hit. In the chart, you can see an hypothetical Fibo retrace from 1.3717 level to the orginal point of this last move. 61.8 would be just on the next level below 1.3662...
Forgot to show the sudden rise for the last 5 minutes of last 4H candle to make it close above certain specific level. My levels were drawn weeks before, as shown many times.

It seemed to be flat or declining, but it suddenly went up for the 4-hour close.

It isn't mandatory for the price to go up without retrace, but this is a good indicator for very high probabilities for it to do so.
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  • #907,896
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:28pm Jun 30, 2014 1:28pm
WAW. that was big move.

thanks man
  • #907,897
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:30pm Jun 30, 2014 1:30pm
Quoting vlady1974
{quote} Infinitus, just checked out your other page - wow! Hadn't thought of MurreyMath being applied that way... it's quite amazing and impressive and have no idea how it's done! LOL but somehow, makes sense!

Hi Vlady,

how are you? Hope all is well and running
  • #907,898
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:35pm Jun 30, 2014 1:35pm
Quoting Abdul2012
WAW. that was big move. thanks man
Yeah didnt you see the Huge 3+B options ? ?!? We also at very significant point in time for market!
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #907,899
  • Jun 30, 2014 1:37pm Jun 30, 2014 1:37pm
Quoting Abdul2012
WAW. that was big move. thanks man
You are joking, no.

It was only a 57 pip move.

It only looks so big because the moves before were so lousy.

I also expect PA to go higher, how much I do not know. My interest will be there again when I see some signs for a downmove.
  • #907,900
  • Edited 2:25pm Jun 30, 2014 1:52pm | Edited 2:25pm
Maybbe I will start praying

Oh my Forex God...be so kind a noble and let this drop begin..
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