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  • #904,361
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:34pm Jun 12, 2014 12:34pm
Long EUR might be new risk off trade for now.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #904,362
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:38pm Jun 12, 2014 12:38pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} spx now at 1949. To 2020 that is 3.64%. dow now at 16917 and dax at 9992. Give them 1.8%, dow would be at 17220, and dax would be at 10170. You do not think dow would meet strong resistance at 17000, and dax meet strong resistance at 10000? If dow and dax simply do not follow, how can spx go up by itself? very likely spx turns around at 1960-ish.
How to explain spx by fibo levels? Do not tell me that fibos do not work.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: spx-fibs_256.png Size: 49 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #904,363
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:43pm Jun 12, 2014 12:43pm
Quoting Citiboy
Long EUR might be new risk off trade for now.
long euro only may have too much risk. Hedge that with cable shorts. Or hedge that with aussie shorts when EA drops to 1.43 (already close)
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #904,364
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:44pm Jun 12, 2014 12:44pm
TRY losing ground again as stocks sell off... the guys with ak-47 and knives riding in the bed of 1992 Datsun dust colored pick up trucks must have just steam rolled another town. its like the nazis taking france.


Saw a headline that Iran is sending in troops.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #904,365
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:57pm Jun 12, 2014 12:57pm
Quoting zusch
Looks like a bullish reversal 4hr candle about to close after sweeping a new low, nearly to 1.35. That vanilla options level everyone was talking about is pretty far away still, but I suppose anything is possible.
Now euro went up after that options expiry. Anyone still want to put focus on options? I do not .

Another myth for FX is the COT report.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #904,366
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:02pm Jun 12, 2014 1:02pm
Quoting Piters
{quote} dont be surprised we see EU to 1.36 today..
Not such a daft idea after all - it's trying lol.
  • #904,367
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:06pm Jun 12, 2014 1:06pm
Quoting stewrigh
{quote} Not such a daft idea after all - it's trying lol.
it surely is trying.

Quoting ffleo
watch out for potential bounce of euro {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euro - i7860-TDA_250.png Size: 464 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #904,368
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:25pm Jun 12, 2014 1:25pm
Quoting Citiboy
Long EUR might be new risk off trade for now.
If risk is going to be being funded by Euros then yes, It will be the new risk-off trade. But thats not what will happen.
Risk-off still means lower euro.
  • #904,369
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:47pm Jun 12, 2014 1:47pm
So it begins
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...es-effect.html
  • #904,370
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:55pm Jun 12, 2014 1:55pm
Quoting Goodvalley
The st fall was stopped by something that doesn't exist. Nice entry at 1.3544 with 1 pip S/L for 1.3595 That's 50:1 {image}
My low was 3542 at Dukascopy

And now?
  • #904,371
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:59pm Jun 12, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} My low was 3542 at Dukascopy And now?
And on FXCM I have 3541
  • #904,372
  • Jun 12, 2014 2:22pm Jun 12, 2014 2:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if we are to bounce. now st um at 3521 till 3486 seems ok.. these are above the 347x leg. we do have a norm still in the 3734. the thing that has me doubtful is 3661/68 letting it. even on this smaller leg 3589 is there, and i am not saying it has too. i would like to start a open candle above 3600 and close it sub 3502
lots of bull talk in the mix. one step at a time, it aint over till its over. smaller leg and or much more has to be covered. 3589/3676 is still the smaller bear leg territory.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #904,373
  • Jun 12, 2014 2:29pm Jun 12, 2014 2:29pm
Quoting Piters
{quote} dont be surprised we see EU to 1.36 today..
That 1.36 is seemingly a tough row to hoe...

Do you think everybody else knows about the options expiry...or only a fist full of traders at FF?

Maybe we should send out a memo...

Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #904,374
  • Jun 12, 2014 2:40pm Jun 12, 2014 2:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lying st eyeing 3513 min. that would mean 3521 would have to break. so if we break 3521. it may set up 3497... between 3497 and 3513 it may bounce to 3533 before 3497... these would still fit the quoted post. still holding shorts and looking for a bounce to add. no stone writing here. st lies but it may keep myself from entering in a area to early. and even then it may be wrong. but it does set up more extreme levels for instance if i wanted to Long or tp some. not that i recommend one. 21 still holding.....
and since we have now gone to.. let see if the bears will take out 3325.. of course bulls want higher and if 3325 is bs atm.. if it is bs, bears still dont mind 3737.. but if we go to 3589 and below high.. 3494 would st set up 3325.. lets c what happens
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #904,375
  • Jun 12, 2014 2:53pm Jun 12, 2014 2:53pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} That 1.36 is seemingly a tough row to hoe... Do you think everybody else knows about the options expiry...or only a fist full of traders at FF? Maybe we should send out a memo...
If you ask me.. I see 1.38 [EU] or near.. and 1.705-1.71 [GU]

but wont happen overnight..

we'll see mate.. with or without MEMO

  • #904,376
  • Jun 12, 2014 2:58pm Jun 12, 2014 2:58pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} My low was 3542 at Dukascopy And now?
And now it did BE.

And reloaded, of course. Same exact place.

We'll see, but the important thing wasn't if right or wrong. It was how nice it could have been / be that 1 pip s/l trade
Visit my Drumming & Percussion Blog - DrumsCult com
  • #904,377
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:09pm Jun 12, 2014 3:09pm
its hard to get news in my little cabin in the woods. i read a lot here about banks// the interest i had was the printing by fed. the fed printed is what i hear. btw how much of the 700 billion tarp was spent? then how much was absorbed back after repayment? the fed balance sheet is growing, on the other hand the government is selling less bonds (more money is coming in) and at the same time bank reserves are near the all time highs. when banks have large reserves it makes the banks balance sheet stronger. stock markets at a high and yet the banks saving more in deposits. maybe i am missing something.

now lets consider the other side of the coin. e bank stress test on a curve grade (rarely talked about). i even heard with the negative ecb rates that more euros are being deposited by e banks. whats that say? is it remotely possible that instead of taking a risk of loaning money. the e banks are taking the negative interest hit, in hopes of strengthening their banks in case of stress. and if so. why do this if everything is so peachy?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #904,378
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:12pm Jun 12, 2014 3:12pm
Quoting Piters
{quote} If you ask me.. I see 1.38 [EU] or near.. and 1.705-1.71 [GU] but wont happen overnight.. we'll see mate.. with or without MEMO

I'm not a price cheerleader, dude...

I really don't care where it goes, only that it takes me for a little ride...

Not going to disagree with the 1.38...that's right in the range of yearly roll, already posted my view on this...

Link

Up...Down...
No matter.
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #904,379
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:18pm Jun 12, 2014 3:18pm
65/70 pip up spike on cable. More than negates the down spike 4 hrs ago.
  • #904,380
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:21pm Jun 12, 2014 3:21pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} I'm not a price cheerleader, dude... I really don't care where it goes, only that it takes me for a little ride... Not going to disagree with the 1.38...that's right in the range of yearly roll, already posted my view on this... Link Up...Down... No matter.
yeah.. you know the game..

if price goes OUR way.. then Great.. if not.. WE Send a MEMO

too easy!!
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