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  • #904,261
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:50am Jun 12, 2014 3:50am
Saw a stat a couple years old indicating retails are about one third of market.
The FF positions sample may be indicative of what retails are doing.
High capital participants may move the mkt but they do it to screw retails over, hence the predictive usefulness of the retails stats.
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #904,262
  • Jun 12, 2014 3:55am Jun 12, 2014 3:55am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} That number will never arrive ... not even in the near 4 years! However, anything above the 1.30 is more than possible ..
never say never ...at least when you mention such long time frames...

but this is my view anyway
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurr.png Size: 63 KB
fokyou forexfactory
  • #904,263
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:08am Jun 12, 2014 4:08am
Quoting DNTme
{quote} never say never ...at least when you mention such long time frames... but this is my view anyway {image}
We will be there between September - December 2014 ...
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #904,264
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:19am Jun 12, 2014 4:19am
Quoting Vachus
{quote} We will be there between September - December 2014 ...
let it be...

i have some long term trades aiming 1.42

patience is a virtue, i'm keen to evolve to have it

IF we'll see a rotation of price above 3650..then we can arrive there quicker than december
fokyou forexfactory
  • #904,265
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:22am Jun 12, 2014 4:22am
Quoting DNTme
{quote} never say never ...at least when you mention such long time frames... but this is my view anyway {image}
i like your point of view, am long to 1.40
  • #904,266
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:29am Jun 12, 2014 4:29am
Quoting DNTme
{quote} never say never ...at least when you mention such long time frames... but this is my view anyway {image}
interesting pattern but before reversal it will dip down more just my op worth .02$
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #904,267
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:31am Jun 12, 2014 4:31am
only 2 bull candles in 4hour chart this week on eur/nzd. thats incredible. nearly every candle is negative. rsi is at about 17!
  • #904,268
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:42am Jun 12, 2014 4:42am
Quoting Halba
only 2 bull candles in 4hour chart this week on eur/nzd. thats incredible. nearly every candle is negative. rsi is at about 17!
Time to buy it up cheap cheap
  • #904,269
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:46am Jun 12, 2014 4:46am
Quoting lancedes
{quote} Time to buy it up cheap cheap
Thank you for giving money to bears.

Buy even more
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #904,270
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:48am Jun 12, 2014 4:48am
Quoting lancedes
{quote} Time to buy it up cheap cheap
Whats your entry point
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #904,271
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:49am Jun 12, 2014 4:49am
Quoting RussJ
{quote} Yep day to forgt, wish I had a lye in and she grabbed a taxi.. my knees are killing me and not from exercising... but from the front end smash going to be a knee jerk day today my opinion.. 1.3486 is the exact number the retrace will come off..... I still think we will see 1.3415 or 1.3387 by Friday's close if 1.3415 holds us Friday then Monday will see 1.3387... However The difficult part is deciding how far back the retrace off 1.3486 will take us.. normally not a problem but the chart in question I need to view is the Monthly and I...
Yup, if you saw the levels on my charts we have almost the same number, 1.3485 is my Great Wall for this big range of numbers that come from 1994 and have worked since then...

However, the fat-finger fall of last Thursday didn't get there, instead it bounced with conviction, so I've spent all these days forgetting about it... until now, of course.

But to me, it still is so obvious, too obvious to reach there. That's why I entered as soon as I spotted some chance. Anyway, I was S/O overnight.

I've entered again at 1.3525 with S/L at 1.3501, not looking good either.
Visit my Drumming & Percussion Blog - DrumsCult com
  • #904,272
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:50am Jun 12, 2014 4:50am
Quoting milam
in long 3527, risking 14 pips........ I know I am going against the odds......well......
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #904,273
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:54am Jun 12, 2014 4:54am
Quoting milam
{quote}
ouch

i've tried all last week to buy bottom. i know what you feel

all is in MM
fokyou forexfactory
  • #904,274
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:55am Jun 12, 2014 4:55am
Quoting OfWolfAndMan
The way I see it, Bears target 3351 but sub 3476 opens window for more opportunities, so far the price ricocheted between 3671 & 3511 i.e inside 3rd quarter 3832 is the bear norm, usually price retraces upto that point. 3524 & 3438 are failed ones negative 50%, most likely good support. EURUSD [Daily Chart] {image}
I gave up on that 1.3832 norm, do you still trust in it? I thought that could be invalidated.

Btw, did your friend get a nice spanish name for his company?
Visit my Drumming & Percussion Blog - DrumsCult com
  • #904,275
  • Jun 12, 2014 4:57am Jun 12, 2014 4:57am
sell and buy
Attached Image
fokyou forexfactory
  • #904,276
  • Jun 12, 2014 5:01am Jun 12, 2014 5:01am
Quoting Thirsty
{quote} Morning Mates, We have just reached 0,97%, just above our target, this is a clear indicator that this is the right strategy. If we reach 1,3517 today, it will be a new record, TP achieved in 3 days, which means that we are now following the trend. It also means the our profitability will be lower as well as our risk. Let us see. Cheers!
Greetings fellow traders,

Like predicted we have just reached the TP and 1% profit confirming that the strategy is working.

The bias is still on short, but following the strategy after reaching the TP within the same monthly period, our position will be staying out of the market until the end of June.

(just in time to watch some good football matches without thinking about forex... I swift the attentions to sporting bet for the next couple of weeks... You know, go were the money is!)

We will be back in July for a new entry.

Cheers!
KEEP CALM AND CARRY ON SHORTING
  • #904,277
  • Jun 12, 2014 5:01am Jun 12, 2014 5:01am
Now we could correct to 1.3586 & 1.3646
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #904,278
  • Jun 12, 2014 5:01am Jun 12, 2014 5:01am
Quoting DNTme
{quote} ouch i've tried all last week to buy bottom. i know what you feel all is in MM
Price have broken the down tl and made an undershot, I am back in
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #904,279
  • Jun 12, 2014 5:03am Jun 12, 2014 5:03am
I have 1.3440 as possible bounce level.... but reaching this level should see further fresh new lows even after a bounce!

If bulls have anything to say in the matter they must protect price from either current levels or at the very low of 1.3485 and if so i can honestly see a retrace towards 1.37... Thereafter, it will just a matter of price breakout direction, up or down.

We have news later today for US where consensus is dollar bullish, this I think will trigger price either way and show where we go at least till next weeks FOMC.

In reality i have no idea where this goes and for me its all rather 50/50 LOL

BTW, Brazil to beat Croatia tonight 3-0
Cheers!!
  • #904,280
  • Jun 12, 2014 5:07am Jun 12, 2014 5:07am
Just read this on Forexlive.com

Institute for the World Economy’s latest report

  1. ECB overstepping mandate with targetted LTRO programme

On Germany:

  1. raises 2014 GDP to 2% vs 1.9%
  2. maintains 2015 forecast at 2.5%
  3. jobless to drop to 6.5% by 2015

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