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AUD/USD

  • #79,281
  • Jun 11, 2014 11:56pm Jun 11, 2014 11:56pm
Quoting albchr
{quote} I hear ya Ken. Sorry for disappearing here. Got a panicked phone call from my neighbor just after my last post and dropped everything.
I went out after the last post.

All good no stop orders triggered.

A bit tricky to call .941x is the top. Will wait the reaction in the next session.
  • #79,282
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:06am Jun 12, 2014 12:06am
Weaker Employment figure dent the AU strength. However, sustained trading below 0.9355 can negate the presence of ascending trend channel extending the downtrend towards 0.9330-25 and 0.9300 (crucial level). Break of 0.9380 can restore the up move towards 0.9400 and 0.9420 levels.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #79,283
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:38am Jun 12, 2014 12:38am
When Franky opens, Sydney closes but Tokyo is still open for 3 more hours. That might be the time for Japanese funds to ramp aussie up.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,284
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:57am Jun 12, 2014 12:57am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I went out after the last post. All good no stop orders triggered. A bit tricky to call .941x is the top. Will wait the reaction in the next session.
Gotta love the suspense no?
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,285
  • Jun 12, 2014 12:59am Jun 12, 2014 12:59am
Quoting ffleo
When Franky opens, Sydney closes but Tokyo is still open for 3 more hours. That might be the time for Japanese funds to ramp aussie up.
I think this move is USD weakness atm more than anything imo. I am looking for UJ to break 102 again for test of Yen strength. AJ still gaining. NU at a dangerous level, if left with a doji like candle could provide opportunity for pullback and even perhaps reversal....

I don't enjoy this time of day though... many false signals imo.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #79,286
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:04am Jun 12, 2014 1:04am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} I think this move is USD weakness atm more than anything imo. I am looking for UJ to break 102 again for test of Yen strength. AJ still gaining. NU at a dangerous level, if left with a doji like candle could provide opportunity for pullback and even perhaps reversal.... I don't enjoy this time of day though... many false signals imo.
the Japanese only trade aussie, pound, euro, kiwwi. They do not trade the USD at all. They keep buying all other currencies than the USD.

the Japanese wear the same pants as the Fed to screw all other countries. The Fed and the Japanese central bank printed the most cheap money to screw everyone else.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Yen-move-AsianFX_234.png Size: 273 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,287
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:08am Jun 12, 2014 1:08am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} the Japanese only trade aussie, pound, euro, kiwwi. They do not trade the USD at all. They keep buying all other currencies than the USD. the Japanese wear the same pants as the Fed to screw all other countries. {image}
Good morning ffleo
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,288
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:10am Jun 12, 2014 1:10am
Quoting albchr
{quote} Good morning ffleo
yeah it is early morning, a little past 1 am. it is 2am already for you.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,289
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:13am Jun 12, 2014 1:13am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} yeah it is early morning, a little past 1 am. it is 2am already for you.
Yeah, I normally don't get up until 3am for London open. Been getting up at 1:30 lately.

That's a handy looking chart you have there.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,290
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:13am Jun 12, 2014 1:13am
Quoting albchr
{quote} Gotta love the suspense no?
It's good to set the orders and stay away from the screens
  • #79,291
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:16am Jun 12, 2014 1:16am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} the Japanese only trade aussie, pound, euro, kiwwi. They do not trade the USD at all. They keep buying all other currencies than the USD. the Japanese wear the same pants as the Fed to screw all other countries. The Fed and the Japanese central bank printed the most cheap money to screw everyone else. {image}
Nice chart. Yah i was looking at correlations. I was looking at the GU vs GJ. I may have been mistaken though, I missed the EU with 3 bear hrly candles. Euro seams flimsy to me of past however -is willing to please anyone. I am not real sure where the money is atm, I will wait for London before making any decisions.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #79,292
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:17am Jun 12, 2014 1:17am
Quoting albchr
{quote} Yeah, I normally don't get up until 3am for London open. Been getting up at 1:30 lately. That's a handy looking chart you have there.
Found that chart a few days ago. It helped me to understand why aussie and cable spike so much in their repesctive data release. It is the Japanese funds that spike the two currencies, usually for aussie at 9:30 pm and cable at 4:30am. If Japanese retail trade only Asian and European currencies, their banks trade mostly the same.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,293
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:23am Jun 12, 2014 1:23am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It's good to set the orders and stay away from the screens
So true. Intervention is normally more costly than none. I have enough positions now I should just shut down the platform and check things every couple days.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,294
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:24am Jun 12, 2014 1:24am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Nice chart. Yah i was looking at correlations. I was looking at the GU vs GJ. I may have been mistaken though, I missed the EU with 3 bear hrly candles. Euro seams flimsy to me of past however -is willing to please anyone. I am not real sure where the money is atm, I will wait for London before making any decisions.
look at the yen pairs you will find that yen pairs follow fibs, trendlines, R/S levels much better than the currencies in UDS pairs. For example, EJ follow techs much better than EU. GJ much better than GU.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,295
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:26am Jun 12, 2014 1:26am
Quoting albchr
{quote} So true. Intervention is normally more costly than none. I have enough positions now I should just shut down the platform and check things every couple days.
good for peace of mind.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,296
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:27am Jun 12, 2014 1:27am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} Found that chart a few days ago. It helped me to understand why aussie and cable spike so much in their repesctive data release. It is the Japanese funds that spike the two currencies, usually for aussie at 9:30 pm and cable at 4:30am. If Japanese retail trade only Asian and European currencies, their banks trade mostly the same.
It would help explain that. I wonder how they arrive at those totals. Must have access to all the retail brokers I guess.
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,297
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:28am Jun 12, 2014 1:28am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} good for peace of mind.
Not to mention the account .. lol
Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #79,298
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:31am Jun 12, 2014 1:31am
Quoting albchr
{quote} It would help explain that. I wonder how they arrive at those totals. Must have access to all the retail brokers I guess.
That chart is copyrighted by BIS. should be quite legit.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #79,299
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:32am Jun 12, 2014 1:32am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} look at the yen pairs you will find that yen pairs follow fibs, trendlines, R/S levels much better than the currencies in UDS pairs. For example, EJ follow techs much better than EU. GJ much better than GU.
Agree 100% . I think it must have to do volatility. The scope of range allows for better fit.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #79,300
  • Jun 12, 2014 1:34am Jun 12, 2014 1:34am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Agree 100% . I think it must have to do volatility. The scope of range allows for better fit.
A currency has to print. without printing unlimited money, a currency cannot beat the USD and Yen. Just rate change does not cut it.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
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