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  • #900,701
  • May 26, 2014 2:37am May 26, 2014 2:37am
EURUSD H1

Looking short at fibo 38.2%
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  • #900,702
  • May 26, 2014 2:40am May 26, 2014 2:40am
Quoting SaiLyfee
Does anybody know or have the link where it is webcasted though? I doubt Bloomberg will have it on their site.
if not on BBG, then try this guys..

https://twitter.com/OpenEurope

or

http://www.euronews.com/news/streaming-live/
  • #900,703
  • May 26, 2014 2:41am May 26, 2014 2:41am
Quoting Piters
{quote} if not on BBG, then try this guys.. https://twitter.com/OpenEurope or http://www.euronews.com/news/streaming-live/
Thank you very much, appreciate it
  • #900,704
  • Edited 3:55am May 26, 2014 2:45am | Edited 3:55am
Quoting Piters
{quote} if not on BBG, then try this guys.. https://twitter.com/OpenEurope or http://www.euronews.com/news/streaming-live/

Maybe CNBC

They have loads of losers talking shit on that TV show

But the chicks are pretty hot
  • #900,705
  • May 26, 2014 2:49am May 26, 2014 2:49am
43 held well ....till now
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #900,706
  • May 26, 2014 2:55am May 26, 2014 2:55am
Quoting ikdenk
{quote} Tokyo close = London open + 1 hour, right?
5:00 am EST
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #900,707
  • May 26, 2014 3:00am May 26, 2014 3:00am
Quoting milam
43 held well ....till now
seems like there a few bears sitting there....
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #900,708
  • May 26, 2014 3:11am May 26, 2014 3:11am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} 5:00 am EST
5 am in New York would be a 6 pm close in Tokyo, could be right, the hard working salarimen. Can someone in Japan please confirm?
  • #900,709
  • May 26, 2014 3:15am May 26, 2014 3:15am
Trying this with DEMO account. Reasons in the pic.
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  • #900,710
  • May 26, 2014 3:22am May 26, 2014 3:22am
Quoting ikdenk
{quote} 5 am in New York would be a 6 pm close in Tokyo, could be right, the hard working salarimen. Can someone in Japan please confirm?
.
Attached Image
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #900,711
  • May 26, 2014 3:23am May 26, 2014 3:23am
Quoting milam
43 held well ....till now
Since, it broke 3643 and touched 3645, I guess it may go to 3661
  • #900,712
  • May 26, 2014 3:25am May 26, 2014 3:25am
So is there any conclusion of movement from Draghi speech ?
  • #900,713
  • May 26, 2014 3:27am May 26, 2014 3:27am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Since, it broke 3643 and touched 3645, I guess it may go to 3661
possible... now she is at the 20 average...with a few attempt (with h1 and h2) to test the recent high.
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #900,714
  • May 26, 2014 3:40am May 26, 2014 3:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i have 92 also,, 3634 to 3592 has 3613.5 in the middle. i considered this to 3661. on my hands w/o some little evidence
watching this one . it may need 3627/28 w/o breaking 13,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #900,715
  • May 26, 2014 3:44am May 26, 2014 3:44am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} . {image}
Thanks! That proves it without a doubt, tubes full at 6.01 unless saki time to celebrate wins for the day.
  • #900,716
  • May 26, 2014 3:45am May 26, 2014 3:45am
each bar is such a mess....all range bars (in the pb's).....staying out atm
Wherever you go, there you are.
  • #900,717
  • May 26, 2014 4:11am May 26, 2014 4:11am
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Goodvalley, in my opinion historic charts tell you very little, if not read with what was happening at that time. For example, what happens this Monday won't be what happens in normal days because UK and USA are not trading this Monday. When we see a spike or any sudden movement on historical charts, we should also try to search what events triggered these moves. Many times news are lined up few hours apart. Market shuttles between certain levels until the whole series of news is out and then it takes a direction. Historic...
I partly agree, but when historic charts keep showing price being stopped and rejected or paused at same levels again and again, they don't talk about what happened then. They talk about where movement has a big stop. If this stop keeps on showing up through the years with all kinds of different events and news (and these spots appear when price goes up and when price goes down), that "should" mean that that level has something to it no matter the event that caused the price to travel there.
Since HFT , algos or whatever didn't exist or now don't have the same shape and technology that existed in 2000, 1995 etc. but you still find the levels, one can do two things: be a conspiranoic thinking we live in 'Matrix' and writting some stupid nonsense like I did in a previous post or do some reasoning about numbers, proportions and related behaviour.

And of course wait for the levels to appear again, since charts that last years prove it.

The other side of that coin is that nothing that happened in the past guarantees what can happen in the future. Here's my opinion on this: many say history repeats. I think that's not the exact definition. The exact definition is we are the same again and again, therefore we react the same. That builds patterns, repeating episodes throughout history. That builds up predictive behaviour. Add some statistics to the mix. Then, in the case of trading, add some objective, factual cold data such as levels that show up time and again. Add proportions which tame volatility, confluences, projections knowing the right point of origin...

And last -this is becoming too long- I agree that for the sake of the day or the week you're in, you have to look at live charts and what happens in the world. But you would be partly blind if you don't watch what happened yesterday or last week or last month.
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  • #900,718
  • May 26, 2014 4:35am May 26, 2014 4:35am
Quoting Goodvalley
{quote} I partly agree, but when historic charts keep showing price being stopped and rejected or paused at same levels again and again, they don't talk about what happened then. They talk about where movement has a big stop. If this stop keeps on showing up through the years with all kinds of different events and news (and these spots appear when price goes up and when price goes down), that "should" mean that that level has something to it no matter the event that caused the price to travel there. Since HFT , algos or whatever didn't exist or...
I have to agree with this. Taking only price where it is right now. It's pretty obvious price reacts in exactly this area over and over for years save a couple times it walked right through. Now will I plan a day or week trade in advance on this? No. But when price reaches these levels, I certainly sit up and take notice of the PA around them on the lower TF's. For whatever historical "reasons" may be behind them, they are important to watch for me. I tend to agree with people don't change much and that in itself produces recognizable patterns and levels. Just my 2 cents.
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Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #900,719
  • Edited 5:32am May 26, 2014 4:59am | Edited 5:32am
Quoting albchr
{quote} I have to agree with this. Taking only price where it is right now. It's pretty obvious price reacts in exactly this area over and over for years save a couple times it walked right through. Now will I plan a day or week trade in advance on this? No.(1) But when price reaches these levels, I certainly sit up and take notice of the PA around them on the lower TF's. For whatever historical "reasons" may be behind them, they are important to watch for me. I tend to agree with people don't change much (2)...
1.- Say you have a tool box. Confluences, calculations, projections that seem to statistically work, whatever. If the signs do align...

2.- Hari Seldon (Isaac Asimov - 'Foundation') was right all the time. He only needed really large numbers to draw his projection. All kinds of things happen. But we remain the same. The same instincts, the same fears, the same bravery, the same ambitions. We have a phrase for that in Spain: the goat always heads for the mountain. In Far East, they have fables about scorpions and frogs.
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  • #900,720
  • May 26, 2014 5:07am May 26, 2014 5:07am
This is a DEMO. Don't follow any of this. Muppet trading here.

In her 'Fibonacci Analysis' book, Constance Brown discusses why Fibos seem to work and not to work now and then. Then she gives some rules that let you get the right spot to draw the fibos. For example, the initial point does not have to be the exact top or bottom of a move/leg. She states one can spot the candle that really pushes. There may be other signs. For example, 50% being more or less in the middle of a large body candle (not the case in the following pic).

Just for practicing and searching for signs alingment...
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