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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #46,181
  • May 21, 2014 3:52am May 21, 2014 3:52am
The important number is where we are at right now.
February this year the low was 100.75.
If this fails there is a lot of downside potential ....unless the BoJ has a line in the sand.

Long @ 100.85, SL 100.70, TP waiting on further decision but at least 101.15
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #46,182
  • May 21, 2014 4:06am May 21, 2014 4:06am
Quoting Didgeridoo
{quote} If you lose a trade, it is not always just your trade to blame - IMO. It is sometimes the condition of the market. So, it is therefore the decision to enter any given market that matters, as your trade does. In other words, you may want to refrain from these market conditions because they are very unfriendly at the moment. (IMO)
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,183
  • May 21, 2014 4:15am May 21, 2014 4:15am
Quoting FXSayWhat
When did Yellen revise the forward guidance and took out the 6.5% job target? what was the support since?
Yeah she never made any real impact speeches lately didn,t she
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,184
  • May 21, 2014 4:21am May 21, 2014 4:21am
Quoting Exodus
The important number is where we are at right now. February this year the low was 100.75. If this fails there is a lot of downside potential ....unless the BoJ has a line in the sand. Long @ 100.85, SL 100.70, TP waiting on further decision but at least 101.15
Same with you.. But not use TP.. Will close manually
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  • #46,185
  • May 21, 2014 4:52am May 21, 2014 4:52am
Quoting Donika
{quote} Yeah she never made any real impact speeches lately didn,t she
What are the two tools in US monetary policy? 1. QE 2. 0 interest. Just to put them in order, QE comes before the 0 interest. It is also logic to completely retire QE before raise the interest. therefore, there isn't anything she can do either other than wait and see how the economy react to the taper.

On the side note tho, since interest rate is the last line of defenses, one rate hike would lead to series of rate hikes. If the initial decision isn't treated correct, and if economy growth does not meet the expectation after the initial rate hike, there is a very high possibility collapse in confident in Fed and market.

at currently growth pace, i feel it's still a bit far from raising the interest because the house and retail are doing terrible.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #46,186
  • May 21, 2014 6:35am May 21, 2014 6:35am
Remember this Page 2301
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  • #46,187
  • May 21, 2014 6:36am May 21, 2014 6:36am
Quoting santuary123
{quote} Same with you.. But not use TP.. Will close manually {image}
Stop to BE+5, got to go out now.....

I have no TP set, but every time I call one of my trades somebody asks what TP I have (it seems) so I thought I better put one.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #46,188
  • May 21, 2014 6:38am May 21, 2014 6:38am
Quoting Trendzalore
price has mad higher high but OBV is not following on the daily, 4hr or 1hr and there is clear divergence with OBV having mad lower lows. With all that in mind the scenarios that can happen are that price can now range and build a new base and find price agreement in this area or it can retest the weekly value area high 102.41 before resuming up, or being out of balance it cold shoot up or down very quickly. As I have noted my bias is a sharp move south possibly as low as 100.85 which is a previous monthly value area high.......and don't laugh........................but...
Posted march 29th
  • #46,189
  • May 21, 2014 7:49am May 21, 2014 7:49am
so bear trap it was
  • #46,190
  • May 21, 2014 7:54am May 21, 2014 7:54am
welcome back mr bull, we missed you
Do what's right for you
  • #46,191
  • May 21, 2014 7:56am May 21, 2014 7:56am
if you bought in this morning at 100.8 congrads
forex forex forex
  • #46,192
  • May 21, 2014 7:58am May 21, 2014 7:58am
Quoting swimmax
if you bought in this morning at 100.8 congrads

and take profit... 99.60 will print soon enough
  • #46,193
  • May 21, 2014 7:58am May 21, 2014 7:58am
Quoting swimmax
if you bought in this morning at 100.8 congrads

not this morning but a great entry point.
  • #46,194
  • May 21, 2014 8:05am May 21, 2014 8:05am
No possibility that this is a bull trap before the dive?
  • #46,195
  • May 21, 2014 8:10am May 21, 2014 8:10am
Obvious trap.
  • #46,196
  • May 21, 2014 8:12am May 21, 2014 8:12am
Quoting Trendzalore
Obvious trap.
So it's gonna dive deep down? How high will it go before free fall?
  • #46,197
  • May 21, 2014 8:12am May 21, 2014 8:12am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} Stop to BE+5, got to go out now..... I have no TP set, but every time I call one of my trades somebody asks what TP I have (it seems) so I thought I better put one.
I'm back. Current price is potentially an exit point @ 101.30.
Stop to 101 while I think about it, also safeguard in case I fall asleep.... ​
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #46,198
  • May 21, 2014 8:22am May 21, 2014 8:22am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} I'm back. Current price is potentially an exit point @ 101.30. Stop to 101 while I think about it, also safeguard in case I fall asleep.... ​
  • #46,199
  • May 21, 2014 8:25am May 21, 2014 8:25am
Kuroda speech failed to break longterm uptrend. We got a nice bottom here today.
  • #46,200
  • May 21, 2014 8:27am May 21, 2014 8:27am
Quoting Exodus
{quote} I'm back. Current price is potentially an exit point @ 101.30. Stop to 101 while I think about it, also safeguard in case I fall asleep.... ​
Imagine this guy singing you a lullaby Haruhiko Kuroda

And i think its gonna hold in this range for a while
Heed the lessons of failure.
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