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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #46,121
  • May 20, 2014 9:36am May 20, 2014 9:36am
hmm 25 mins to get back over 101.31
Do what's right for you
  • #46,122
  • May 20, 2014 9:39am May 20, 2014 9:39am
Quoting momochi
hmm 25 mins to get back over 101.31
Time to buy?
  • #46,123
  • May 20, 2014 10:04am May 20, 2014 10:04am
who knows, but looks like americans just getting the low of the day maybe angry that they got stopped out overnight.

R:R is pretty good here
Do what's right for you
  • #46,124
  • May 20, 2014 10:04am May 20, 2014 10:04am
entered long at 101.26. Going to reverse at Weekly TL
  • #46,125
  • May 20, 2014 10:14am May 20, 2014 10:14am
S1 is holding well so far. time to hit R1 ?
No guts, no glory
  • #46,126
  • May 20, 2014 10:52am May 20, 2014 10:52am
If price close below 101.080, I think it might test the low of the 2nd and 4th April at around 100.750
  • #46,127
  • May 20, 2014 11:48am May 20, 2014 11:48am
US10Y yield still holding 2.5% support, if UJ at 101.2 holds too, longs will survive. right now at 101.25 maybe it's risky but with solid r/r for adding another long.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #46,128
  • May 20, 2014 12:10pm May 20, 2014 12:10pm
Hey Yen experts...would you tell us how will tonights BoJ rate decision influence yen pairs?? If rate is kept will yen rise or fall
always draw trendlines
  • #46,129
  • May 20, 2014 12:13pm May 20, 2014 12:13pm
Below 101.00 will see some serious carnage. Think it will hold up until BoJ though. Kuroda has been getting increasingly more bullish on the economy though, if USDJPY disconnects from the recent correlations of the last 18 months (US rates) there will be significant downside here IMO


Short term Increase in bond market volatility better played vs higher yield currencies. Increases in US yields over the medium term better played vs EUR.
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  • #46,130
  • May 20, 2014 12:20pm May 20, 2014 12:20pm
I personally beleive usd/jpy wont go down more!

Dont forget from early June USD gets expensive...through mid july,,,,then in august it gows back down. Its seasonality of dollar
always draw trendlines
  • #46,131
  • May 20, 2014 12:23pm May 20, 2014 12:23pm
Bullish or not, I think Kuroda understands that they've basically reached the point where printing more money simply isn't going to do any good anymore, and in fact may well have the opposite effect.

Couple this with the beginnings of a possible global sharemarket correction, and there's no reason why UJ couldn't easily fall back into double digits again.
  • #46,132
  • May 20, 2014 12:24pm May 20, 2014 12:24pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
{image}Usdjpy forms a nice range between 101.50 and 101.10 on 15m tf. it might as well stay within this range till JP MPS tomorrow.
101.50 and 101.10 range was a good call last night.
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I'd say price might as well stay within this range till the next news event.

24 hours to FOMC and couple more hours to JP's MPS.
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  • #46,133
  • May 20, 2014 12:29pm May 20, 2014 12:29pm
101.20 well defended ...until BoJ
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #46,134
  • May 20, 2014 12:39pm May 20, 2014 12:39pm
Hey F Factors whats your op on tomorrows BOJ events are you planning on putting up trades ahead of the event. ATM i,m mainly USD/JPY. EUR pairs are acting crazy and stalled
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,135
  • May 20, 2014 1:22pm May 20, 2014 1:22pm
Quoting Trader221
Beware of bear traps for today
I am with you.... This pair can not remain lower for long time.
  • #46,136
  • May 20, 2014 1:45pm May 20, 2014 1:45pm
Quoting Donika
Hey F Factors whats your op on tomorrows BOJ events are you planning on putting up trades ahead of the event. ATM i,m mainly USD/JPY. EUR pairs are acting crazy and stalled
I will try for buy limit at 100.55 SL below 100.00 and limit sell at 101.85 + 102.02 SL above 102.30
But better wait after main event if op before event seems like gambling.. dont want judge will rise or fall
Better i got small profit from correction after events

Yeah EU seems strange.. was fighting in EU.. and the winner will decides direction.. lol
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  • #46,137
  • May 20, 2014 2:12pm May 20, 2014 2:12pm
Quoting Trendzalore
{quote}
Maybe its just me. hasnt happened yet but today might be the beggining of the market crash, even if by slow motion.
just saying.................i wonder if all this is the beginning
Sure looking like it now.
  • #46,138
  • May 20, 2014 2:16pm May 20, 2014 2:16pm
Quoting tk5
Hey Yen experts...would you tell us how will tonights BoJ rate decision influence yen pairs?? If rate is kept will yen rise or fall
It is kinda difficult to see how they can change the rate while they are still printing Yen like they are (which I can't remember but it is a lot).
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #46,139
  • May 20, 2014 2:22pm May 20, 2014 2:22pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Have a look at EUR/XXX such as EUR/NZD and EUR/AUD
EurAud - used to be my favourite pair!
Think I should zoom-out from the 1-hour charts, 4-hour looks much more interesting....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #46,140
  • May 20, 2014 4:15pm May 20, 2014 4:15pm
I think yen is going to fall to level at 101.1 before BOJ and then I expect bullish rally to 103-104.
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