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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #46,041
  • May 19, 2014 5:49am May 19, 2014 5:49am
USDJPY breaks 200 day mva, key support looms

EURUSD stops or offers loom overhead?

See Daily Forex Trading Outlook

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  • #46,042
  • May 19, 2014 6:32am May 19, 2014 6:32am
Quoting Iraniatrader
Hi everybody I think UJ is going down to 100.80 ... any idea???
It could test 100.00, good probability it will.
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #46,043
  • May 19, 2014 7:12am May 19, 2014 7:12am
Quoting Iraniatrader
Hi everybody I think UJ is going down to 100.80 ... any idea???
hey m8,
I highly doubt it b,cas 200d moving avg is set at 101.2x yall see hard to break the rising trendline. Just my 2cents op
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,044
  • May 19, 2014 8:04am May 19, 2014 8:04am
Either it's forming some kind of a bottom here at 101.15 or it's getting ready to crash down to 100.60.

My preferred scenario is the latter.
  • #46,045
  • May 19, 2014 8:07am May 19, 2014 8:07am
BoJ`s monetary policy will be out on Wednesday, it should be good for a UJ long in my opinion. I`m predicting at best they will keep rates unchanged, while Yellen`s speech at night should add a bullish tone for the USD.
  • #46,046
  • May 19, 2014 9:06am May 19, 2014 9:06am
Although Core Machinery Orders Rose substantially (19.1% actual against 6.1 forecast) nikkei is showing - 0.64% atm seems Tax hike was hit hard, still in a bearish trend
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,047
  • May 19, 2014 9:24am May 19, 2014 9:24am
Quoting Sammowammo
The USD/JPY can be quite boring...but it's on its climb now. Now I don't have the levers, but soon enough (if not now) it's up up up... So for scalpers, it's in and out as it goes up. You tell me if I'm wrong....
You were wrong
  • #46,048
  • May 19, 2014 9:29am May 19, 2014 9:29am
Is it finally a reversal at 101.09? Seems like it is with the candlestick reversal patterns formed.
  • #46,049
  • May 19, 2014 9:31am May 19, 2014 9:31am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} And have you see the crashes that result? Ugly. I believe a passenger train like that derailed not too long ago
Do they know they can sit inside?
  • #46,050
  • May 19, 2014 9:51am May 19, 2014 9:51am
'Demand for U.S. Treasuries will continue to be supported by risk aversion, limiting the upside in dollar-yen.' - Ueda Harlow Ltd. (based on Bloomberg)
And 69% of traders are presently holding long position. Which includes me to the category. will it bounce again or take out stops and for a weaker yen.
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,051
  • May 19, 2014 10:46am May 19, 2014 10:46am
I close all my long..

edit : dont want judge will rise or fall..
But for me it will fall, first must bounce for some correction..

My opinion :
Even BOJ not change about rates, UJ still underpreasure.. But it can change when FOMC.. but i dont think it will move much (same song every month )..

Oyeah this my chart for today..
If can back again above 101.36 is good
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  • #46,052
  • May 19, 2014 10:53am May 19, 2014 10:53am
What I expect here is atleast to retrace to 101.50 levels before it goes down further if it's Bearish. So i'm still longing for 101.10 supports. The reason it turned out to be bearish is because of risk aversion due to Russian-ukraine and Euro rate cuts. Good for bonds, and should be bad for every stock market. Hot money I guess are going back to safe haven (which is Yen) and U.S treasuries. Our local bonds here were down too by 30bps, the 20years.
  • #46,053
  • May 19, 2014 11:23am May 19, 2014 11:23am
for me its another op for sell again.. lets see...
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #46,054
  • May 19, 2014 11:25am May 19, 2014 11:25am
Sort from 40 ish
  • #46,055
  • May 19, 2014 11:49am May 19, 2014 11:49am
I will see tomorrow for open position again..

I have plan.. But dont sure will hit or no..
I waiting UJ for make higher tommorow.. if cant break high friday and today i will join for short..
Possible for bounce up for correction.. But dont know will make higher high from today or no..
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  • #46,056
  • May 19, 2014 11:58am May 19, 2014 11:58am
Quoting mied
for me its another op for sell again.. lets see...
Agree
  • #46,057
  • May 19, 2014 12:02pm May 19, 2014 12:02pm
Interesting turnaround in the DOW, erasing all the early gains.

Should cap upside enthusiasm in this pair.
  • #46,058
  • May 19, 2014 12:18pm May 19, 2014 12:18pm
If BOJ peeps into a stronger yen on Wednesday it,s bye bye cansas for all the longers i,d say theres only a slight chance to see bullish yen i,d guess. And on the other hand US will praise a stronger yen compared to usd inhumanly b,cas every once a while japs need to get beaten to wake US up History repeats in many ways.

I,d say i,ll be unwise to hold a long position ATM but unfortunately i am
Heed the lessons of failure.
  • #46,059
  • May 19, 2014 1:04pm May 19, 2014 1:04pm
Quoting Donika
If BOJ peeps into a stronger yen on Wednesday it,s bye bye cansas for all the longers i,d say theres only a slight chance to see bullish yen i,d guess. And on the other hand US will praise a stronger yen compared to usd inhumanly b,cas every once a while japs need to get beaten to wake US up History repeats in many ways. I,d say i,ll be unwise to hold a long position ATM but unfortunately i am

Ive been holding a long haha and will continue too.
  • #46,060
  • May 19, 2014 2:06pm May 19, 2014 2:06pm
all this up and down and up and down is confusing me. Dont know what to trust anymore.
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